Le Havre vs Boulogne Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
Le Havre
Full Time
6 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 1
Boulogne
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
7.5/10Le Havre Run Riot: Six-Star Show Sinks Boulogne in Friendly Rout
Le Havre delivered a commanding performance in this club friendly, dismantling Boulogne 6-1 in a one-sided affair. The hosts were ruthless in attack, netting six goals without reply for much of the match, and demonstrating a clear gulf in class between the two sides. Boulogne managed a solitary consolation, but were otherwise overwhelmed by Le Havre’s relentless offensive display. Despite the lack of detailed match statistics and lineups, the scoreline alone tells the story: Le Havre were clinical and dominant, while Boulogne struggled to keep pace. With no cards shown, the match was played in a sporting spirit, but Boulogne’s defense was left with plenty to ponder after being breached six times.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
6 - 1
💰 Bet Results0/1 hit
Key Moments
N/A' — Goal
Le Havre open the scoring and set the tone for a dominant display.
N/A' — Goal
Le Havre double their lead, putting Boulogne on the back foot.
N/A' — Goal
Le Havre continue to pile on the goals, stretching their advantage.
N/A' — Goal
Boulogne pull one back, but it proves only a consolation.
Le Havre
Le Havre put on a scintillating attacking display, racking up six goals and controlling proceedings from start to finish. Their forward line was in fine form, capitalizing on nearly every opportunity and keeping Boulogne’s defense under constant pressure. The hosts’ ability to maintain focus and intensity throughout the match ensured there was no let-up, even after building a commanding lead.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Boulogne
Boulogne endured a torrid afternoon, conceding six goals and rarely threatening to get back into the contest. Their defense was repeatedly exposed, and the lack of yellow or red cards suggests they struggled to disrupt Le Havre’s rhythm. The solitary goal offered little consolation in a match where Boulogne were second best in every department.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Without detailed lineup and formation data, it is clear from the scoreline that Le Havre’s attacking setup was highly effective, allowing them to break through Boulogne’s defensive lines repeatedly. The hosts likely pressed high and committed numbers forward, while Boulogne’s defensive organization was unable to cope with the movement and finishing quality of Le Havre’s attackers. The absence of cards suggests a clean match, but Boulogne’s lack of resistance in midfield and defense was evident. Le Havre’s ability to maintain attacking pressure throughout the match hints at strong squad depth and tactical discipline, while Boulogne may need to revisit their defensive structure and transition play after being so comprehensively outplayed.
Turning Point
Le Havre’s early goals set the tone, effectively ending the contest as a competitive fixture before halftime.
Man of the Match
Le Havre Attackers
Collectively ruthless, scoring six goals and leading the rout.
Le Havre vs Boulogne: Match Preview
Le Havre approach this friendly after a challenging run in Ligue 1, with just one win in their last five and a form string of LDLDL. Their attack has struggled for consistency, averaging 0.8 goals across recent matches, while their defence has conceded 1.4 per game. Boulogne, meanwhile, come in from Ligue 2 with a similar lack of momentum, drawing four of their last five and scoring just three times in that span. Both sides have failed to score in two of their last five, and neither has built sustained momentum.
From a statistical perspective, the match is shaped by low scoring rates on both sides. Le Havre’s home record (4 goals for, 4 against in three games) is steady but unspectacular, while Boulogne’s away games have averaged exactly two goals per match. Boulogne’s defensive structure is notable, with a 43% clean sheet rate and an average of just one goal conceded per game this season. Set-piece threat is modest: Le Havre average 5.6 corners and Boulogne 3.8 per game in the last five, while both sides commit over 14 fouls per match, hinting at a stop-start rhythm and a likely cards count above four.
The model expects a cagey contest with few clear chances. The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, with under 2.5 goals the likeliest goal environment (68%). Both teams’ limited attacking output and Boulogne’s defensive discipline suggest a match where neither side is likely to pull away, and the distribution of scorelines is heavily weighted towards 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, and 1-1.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.00
Expected goals · model says 0.85
Over 2.5 Goals
28%
BTTS: Yes
36%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Le Havre vs Boulogne Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Le Havre vs Boulogne that most previews miss.
- 1Boulogne’s matches have finished under 2.5 goals in 6 of 7 outings this season (86%).
- 2Le Havre have scored just once before half-time in their last five matches, with all four of their recent goals coming after the break.
- 3Three of the last five Le Havre v Boulogne meetings have ended in draws, with neither side scoring more than twice in any game.
Who do you think wins: Le Havre vs Boulogne?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Le Havre vs Boulogne(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both sides average under 1.2 goals scored per game this season, and Boulogne’s matches have gone over 2.5 goals just 14% of the time; the model assigns a 68% chance to under 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Read more ↓
Draw: Draw
Recent form and the head-to-head series both point towards stalemate: three of the last five meetings have ended level, and both teams have drawn multiple times in their last five outings.
Read more ↓
More Friendlies Clubs Predictions
The Case For This Le Havre vs Boulogne Prediction
Statistically, this friendly projects as a low-scoring, closely contested affair, with both Le Havre and Boulogne showing muted attacking rates and a tendency to grind out draws. Le Havre’s home attack is slightly more productive, but Boulogne’s away resilience and clean sheet rate balance the scales.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams have failed to score in two of their last five matches.
Defence
- →Le Havre average just 1.17 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game this season.
- →Boulogne have kept clean sheets in 43% of their matches and have seen only 14% of games go over 2.5 goals.
🚩 Le Havre vs Boulogne Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Le Havre and 4 for Boulogne, for an expected total of 8.8. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (61%). Over 8.5: 52% · Over 10.5: 27%.
How Le Havre and Boulogne Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Le Havre vs Boulogne Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Le Havrelast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Boulognelast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Le Havre’s recent form shows a team struggling for wins, with only one victory in their last five and a negative goal difference over that span. Boulogne have been even less incisive, drawing four of their last five and averaging just 0.6 goals per match in that period. Both sides have lacked attacking spark and momentum heading into this friendly.
Le Havre vs Boulogne — Last 8 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
What History Says: Le Havre vs Boulogne
The head-to-head record is balanced, with three draws in the last five meetings and neither side managing more than two goals in a game. The most recent encounter was a 2-0 Boulogne win in the 2014 Coupe de France, but overall, these fixtures have been tight and low-scoring.
Le Havre vs Boulogne Head-to-Head History
Last 6 meetings between these sides
2
Le Havre wins
3
Draws
1
Boulogne wins
Things to Watch: Le Havre vs Boulogne
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value cannot be precisely quantified.
- ⚠️Standings and motivation data are missing; as this is a friendly, rotation risk is elevated.
- ⚠️Head-to-head data is outdated, with no recent competitive meetings.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Le Havre 1–1 BoulogneA 1-1 draw is the statistical baseline, driven by both teams’ sub-1.2 goals per game scoring rates and Boulogne’s strong clean sheet percentage. The biggest risk to this projection is the friendly context, which could see unexpected squad rotation or a more open approach than league matches.
Le Havre vs Boulogne: Common Questions
Who will win Le Havre vs Boulogne?
The model gives Le Havre a 36% chance to win, Boulogne a 27% chance, and the draw is most likely at 37%. Both teams have struggled to convert chances recently, making a stalemate the most probable result.
Will Le Havre vs Boulogne be under or over 2.5 goals?
There is a 68% probability of under 2.5 goals, based on both teams’ low scoring rates and Boulogne’s record of only one match over 2.5 goals in seven this season.
Are both teams likely to score in Le Havre vs Boulogne?
Both teams to score is rated at 48%, with slightly higher probability for 'No' (52%). Each side has failed to score in two of their last five matches, and defences have generally had the upper hand.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Le Havre vs Boulogne: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 2 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.