Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
Full Time
5 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 1
Radomiak Radom
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Match Result
8.4/10Legia Warszawa Run Riot: Five-Star Rout Stuns Radomiak Radom
Legia Warszawa produced a scintillating attacking display at the Stadion Wojska Polskiego, cruising to a commanding 5-0 victory over Radomiak Radom in the Ekstraklasa. The hosts were relentless from the outset, scoring three goals inside the opening 20 minutes and effectively putting the contest to bed before half-time. With seven shots on target from 17 attempts, Legia's forwards were clinical and their midfield orchestrated wave after wave of attacks. Radomiak Radom, despite edging possession with 51%, were overwhelmed by Legia's intensity and struggled to create clear chances, managing only two shots on target all evening. The visitors' defensive frailties were ruthlessly exposed, and two yellow cards only compounded a frustrating night. Legia's dominance was underlined by their ability to maintain pressure and add to their tally even after the break, sealing a statement win early in the season.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
5 - 0
Key Moments
7' — Goal
Łukasz Zjawiński opens the scoring for Legia, setting the tone for the hosts.
10' — Goal
Rafał Adamski doubles Legia's lead, capitalizing on Radomiak's defensive lapse.
17' — Goal
Zjawiński strikes again, making it 3-0 and effectively ending the contest early.
44' — Goal
Legia add a fourth before half-time, further demoralizing the visitors.
51' — Goal
Legia score their fifth, capping a ruthless attacking performance.
Yellow Card' — Card
Legia pick up a yellow, their only disciplinary blemish.
Yellow Card' — Card
Radomiak receive two yellow cards as frustration boils over.
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa delivered a near-flawless performance, combining attacking flair with defensive solidity in their 3-1-4-2 system. The hosts started at a blistering pace, netting three times in the first 17 minutes and never looking back. Their midfield, marshaled by Damian Szymański and Bartosz Kapustka, controlled the tempo and provided a steady supply line to the front two. Defensively, Legia were rarely troubled, with the back three snuffing out Radomiak's sporadic attacks. The team's ability to press high and transition quickly was key to their dominance. Even after building a comfortable lead, Legia maintained their intensity, adding two more goals after the break and keeping a clean sheet. The only blemish was a yellow card, but overall, this was a statement performance.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom endured a torrid evening in Warsaw, unable to cope with Legia's early onslaught. Despite enjoying a slight edge in possession (51%), the visitors struggled to progress the ball into dangerous areas and mustered just two shots on target. Their 4-1-4-1 setup was quickly overrun, particularly in transition, and defensive lapses allowed Legia to build an insurmountable lead before half-time. Radomiak showed some composure on the ball but lacked penetration and were forced into fouls as they chased shadows for much of the match. Two yellow cards reflected their frustration, and the inability to adapt tactically or stem the flow of goals will be a concern moving forward.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Legia Warszawa's 3-1-4-2 formation allowed them to flood the midfield and press Radomiak high up the pitch. The wingbacks provided width, while the central midfielders dictated play and supported the forwards. This structure enabled Legia to transition quickly from defense to attack, overwhelming Radomiak's 4-1-4-1 setup, which struggled to cope with the hosts' numbers in central areas. Radomiak's lone holding midfielder, Ibrahima Camará, was often isolated, and the back four were exposed by Legia's incisive passing and movement. The visitors' attempts to play out from the back were repeatedly disrupted, leading to turnovers and quick Legia attacks. Set pieces were not a significant factor, with Legia winning three corners to Radomiak's two, but the open play dominance was decisive.
Turning Point
Zjawiński's second goal in the 17th minute, making it 3-0, extinguished any hope of a Radomiak comeback.
Man of the Match
Łukasz Zjawiński
His early brace set Legia on their way and his movement constantly troubled Radomiak's defense.
Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom: Match Preview
Legia Warszawa approach this clash at the top of the Ekstraklasa, having started the new campaign with back-to-back wins and a +3 goal difference. Their home form remains a foundation, with a 3-1 victory over Zaglebie Lubin reinforcing their status as early pacesetters. Radomiak Radom, in contrast, have split their opening two fixtures and find themselves in the bottom half, conceding three goals on their only away trip so far.
The matchup is shaped by Legia’s attacking output and Radomiak’s defensive vulnerability. Legia’s average of 2.0 goals scored and 22+ shots per league match is backed by a 50% clean sheet rate, while Radomiak’s defence has conceded two or more in both league outings. Shot and possession data tilt heavily towards the hosts, and Radomiak’s last five matches have all seen both teams score, suggesting their attack can trouble even organised defences. Set-piece metrics also favour Legia, who average more corners per game and commit fewer fouls than Radomiak.
The model projects a match with above-average scoring chances, led by Legia’s sustained attacking pressure at home. While Radomiak’s BTTS streak and ability to score in every recent fixture signals a threat, their defensive record away from Radom makes a clean sheet unlikely. The most probable outcome is a Legia win with both sides on the scoresheet, but the visitors’ capacity for disruptive moments—especially in the first half—cannot be dismissed.
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Expected goals · model says 1.90
Expected goals · model says 1.00
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS: Yes
54%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 2-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom that most previews miss.
- 1Radomiak have seen both teams score in each of their last five matches across all competitions.
- 2Legia’s last three home matches against Radomiak (all competitions) have produced at least three goals each time.
- 3Radomiak average just 1.2 shots on target per game over their last five, compared to Legia’s 3.0.
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The Case For This Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom Prediction
Legia Warszawa enter this fixture with a perfect start to the league season, having collected six points from two matches and boasting a home win where they scored three goals. Radomiak Radom, meanwhile, have split their opening games and sit in the bottom half, conceding four goals already. The league table and underlying rates point to a clear advantage for the hosts, especially at Stadion Wojska Polskiego where Legia have been consistently strong. The statistical contrast is pronounced: Legia average 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per league match so far, while Radomiak's defence is shipping 2.0 per game and their attack has yet to fail to score. Legia's shot volume (22 and 25 in their two league games) dwarfs Radomiak's (10 and 13), and the home side's clean sheet rate (50%) stands in stark contrast to the visitors' 0%. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in a majority of recent matches, and Radomiak's last five have all produced BTTS. Given these rates, the model expects Legia's attack to generate sustained pressure and create a multi-goal threat, while Radomiak's ability to find the net keeps the away side in the contest. The likeliest outcome is a Legia win with both teams contributing to the scoreline, but the visitors' defensive frailty away from home makes a clean sheet for the hosts more plausible than for Radomiak.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Legia have scored 2.0 goals per game in the league this season, conceding just 0.5.
- →Radomiak have conceded 2.0 goals per game and have not kept a clean sheet in any competition in their last five.
Match Context
- →Legia have won six of the last ten head-to-heads, including a 3-1 friendly win last month.
🚩 Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.4 corners for Legia Warszawa and 3.6 for Radomiak Radom, for an expected total of 9. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (59%). Over 8.5: 54% · Over 10.5: 29%.
How Legia Warszawa and Radomiak Radom Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Legia Warszawalast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Radomiak Radomlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Legia Warszawa arrive on a two-match league winning streak, scoring four and conceding just once, with their underlying shot and possession metrics among the league’s best. Radomiak Radom have alternated results but remain winless away, conceding three at GKS Katowice and failing to keep a clean sheet in their last five. The form trajectory favours Legia, especially at home.
Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom — Last 4 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 3.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom
Legia have claimed six wins in the last ten meetings with Radomiak, including a 3-1 friendly last month and two recent league matches by three-goal margins. Radomiak’s only away win in this period came in 2024, but Legia’s home dominance in this fixture is clear, with multiple high-scoring victories.
Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
6
Legia Warszawa wins
2
Draws
2
Radomiak Radom wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture, so no value edges or recommended bets can be calculated. Once odds are released, the largest model divergences are likely to be in the home win and both teams to score markets, given the underlying rates.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom
- ⚠️Small sample size: only two league matches played for each side this season.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so no value bets or edges can be calculated.
- ⚠️Recent friendlies may distort form and shot averages.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Legia Warszawa 2–1 Radomiak RadomLegia Warszawa are forecast to edge this contest 2-1, underpinned by their superior scoring and shot creation rates at home—2.0 goals per game and over 20 shots per match so far. The likeliest way this projection falters is if Radomiak’s attack capitalises on early opportunities or Legia’s finishing regresses, but the underlying rates and head-to-head record make the home side clear statistical favourites.
Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom: Common Questions
Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom?
Legia Warszawa are given a 57% probability of victory, based on their strong home scoring rate and Radomiak’s defensive struggles. Radomiak are rated at just 16% to win, with a 27% chance of a draw.
Will both teams score in Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom?
The model estimates a 56% probability for both teams to score, reflecting Radomiak’s BTTS streak (5/5) and Legia’s consistent attacking output.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in this match?
There is a 58% probability for over 2.5 goals, with both sides averaging at least 1.5 goals scored per game and Radomiak’s defence conceding two per match so far.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 7 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.