Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis Predictions
Super League 1 · Greece
Levadiakos
AI Predicted Score
0 - 1
Aris Thessalonikis
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: No
@ 1.8(+48% edge)
Recommended Bets: Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis
Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis: Match Preview
Levadiakos come into this match still searching for their first win and, more alarmingly, their first goal of the Super League 1 campaign. While their early-season form was dire, recent weeks have seen them tighten up defensively, holding three of their last five opponents to goalless draws, including back-to-back 0-0 results. Aris Thessalonikis, on the other hand, have found some rhythm, winning their last two league matches and climbing to fifth in the table, but their away record remains mixed with two wins and two heavy defeats.
The tactical battle will likely hinge on whether Levadiakos' newfound defensive discipline can withstand Aris' more dynamic attack. Levadiakos average just 0.6 goals conceded per game over their last five, but have offered nothing going forward, with zero goals and only 3.2 shots on target per match. Aris have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 14.4 shots per game in their last five, but their away defence has been breached 10 times in four matches, suggesting vulnerability if Levadiakos can muster any attacking intent. Set pieces could play a role, with both sides averaging over four corners per match recently, but neither has shown a consistent threat from dead balls.
Given Levadiakos' extreme attacking struggles and Aris' recent momentum, the model expects a low-scoring affair, with Aris' edge in form and firepower likely to tell. However, if Levadiakos can replicate their recent defensive performances, another stalemate is possible, especially if Aris fail to break through early. The most probable scenario is a narrow Aris win, but the draw remains a live possibility given the hosts' recent streak of clean sheets and goalless games.
How Levadiakos and Aris Thessalonikis Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Levadiakoslast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Aris Thessalonikislast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Levadiakos' recent form is defined by defensive improvement and attacking impotence: three clean sheets in their last five, but still no goals scored all season. Aris Thessalonikis, by contrast, have won their last two league games and are trending upward, with five goals in those victories and a more assertive attacking approach. The momentum is firmly with Aris, while Levadiakos cling to the hope that their defensive solidity can finally yield points.
Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis — Last 8 Matches
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.0 goals/game
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Over 2.5 goals in 71.43% of games this season
- +High-volume attack — 14 shots/game
Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis that most previews miss.
- 1Levadiakos have played 720 minutes of league football this season without scoring a single goal.
- 2Three of Levadiakos' last five matches have finished 0-0, including their last two at home.
- 3Aris have scored four of their last five league goals before half-time, while Levadiakos have not scored in either half all season.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 0.55
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
24%
BTTS: Yes
29%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 0-0 · 0-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
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The Case For This Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis Prediction
Levadiakos enter this fixture on a run of five consecutive matches without scoring, but with three clean sheets in that span, they have become increasingly stubborn at the back. Aris Thessalonikis, meanwhile, arrive with momentum from back-to-back wins, but their away form is still patchy, and their attack has not always turned dominance into goals on the road. The clash sets up as a test of Levadiakos' defensive resolve against Aris' recent attacking uptick, but the home side's inability to threaten in the final third could again be decisive.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Aris Thessalonikis have won their last two league games, scoring five goals.
Defence
- →Levadiakos have drawn three of their last five, all 0-0, showing defensive improvement but zero attacking threat.
Match Context
- →Levadiakos have not scored a single goal in eight league matches this season.
Where the Model Sees Value: Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: No@ 1.83
Levadiakos have failed to score in all eight league matches this season and have not found the net in their last five, while three of their last five have ended 0-0. Aris have kept two clean sheets in their last five and Levadiakos' attack shows no sign of improvement in shot quality or output.
Read more ↓
Match Result: Draw@ 3.24
Levadiakos have drawn three of their last five, including back-to-back 0-0s, and Aris have shown a tendency to struggle breaking down deep blocks away from home, with a 0-0 and a 2-1 among their last four away league games.
Read more ↓
More Super League 1 Predictions
🚩 Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.6 corners for Levadiakos and 5.2 for Aris Thessalonikis, for an expected total of 10.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (64%). Over 8.5: 75% · Over 10.5: 52%.
What History Says: Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis
Aris Thessalonikis have had the better of this fixture historically, winning five of the last ten meetings and losing just once. However, the last three matches in Levadia have been close, with two 1-1 draws and a single home win for Levadiakos. Draws have been common, but Aris' overall record and recent form give them the edge.
Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
Levadiakos wins
4
Draws
5
Aris Thessalonikis wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis
The standout value lies in 'BTTS: No' at 1.80, with the model assigning an 82% probability to at least one side failing to score — a +47.6% edge over the market. The draw at 3.20 also carries a small positive expected value, reflecting Levadiakos' run of stalemates and Aris' occasional away struggles. The market appears to underestimate just how toothless Levadiakos have been in attack.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis
- ⚠️Levadiakos' defensive solidity is recent and could regress if Aris score early.
- ⚠️Aris' away defence has conceded 10 in 4 away matches this season, but recent form suggests improvement.
- ⚠️If Levadiakos break their scoring drought, the model's low BTTS and under goals probabilities could be off.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Levadiakos 0–1 Aris ThessalonikisThe model projects a 1-0 win for Aris Thessalonikis, driven by Levadiakos' historic inability to score — eight matches without a goal is an extreme outlier at this level. The greatest risk to this call is Aris' patchy away defence, which has been leaky at times, but unless Levadiakos can suddenly find a cutting edge, their improved defensive structure is unlikely to be enough for more than a point.
Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis: Common Questions
Who will win Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Aris Thessalonikis are favoured with a 50% win probability, compared to just 17% for Levadiakos and 33% for the draw. This is largely due to Aris' recent two-game winning streak and Levadiakos' ongoing goal drought.
Will both teams score in Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Both teams to score is highly unlikely, with the model giving just an 18% chance for 'yes' and 82% for 'no'. Levadiakos have failed to score in all eight league matches, while three of their last five have ended 0-0.
Can Levadiakos' goalless run continue?
The data suggests Levadiakos' scoring drought is likely to continue, as they've averaged only 3.2 shots on target per game in their last five and have failed to score in every league match this season. The model assigns a 32% chance to another 0-0 or goalless outcome for the home side.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 25 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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