Liverpool vs Fulham Predictions
Premier League · England
Liverpool
Full Time
2 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 1
Fulham
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
@ 3.55(+23% edge)
Match Result
7.2/10Liverpool See Off Fulham with First-Half Blitz at Anfield
Liverpool produced a professional performance at Anfield, dispatching Fulham 2-0 with both goals arriving in a decisive four-minute spell before half-time. The Reds, lining up in a 4-2-3-1, controlled the tempo for much of the match, edging possession with 53% and firing 18 shots, five of which tested Bernd Leno in the Fulham goal. Fulham, to their credit, matched Liverpool's attacking intent with 19 shots and nine corners, but lacked the clinical edge to break through a resolute home defence. The contest's turning point came late in the first half, as Liverpool struck twice in quick succession to seize command. Fulham responded with attacking changes and pushed forward after the break, but the hosts remained disciplined, seeing out the result without major scares. The victory strengthens Liverpool's position in the league, while Fulham are left to rue missed opportunities in a match that was closer than the scoreline suggests.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
2 - 0
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
36' — Goal
Liverpool open the scoring after sustained pressure, breaking Fulham’s resistance.
40' — Goal
Liverpool double their lead just four minutes later, capitalizing on Fulham’s defensive disarray.
Liverpool
Liverpool were efficient and composed, capitalizing on a dominant spell late in the first half to secure all three points. Their 4-2-3-1 formation allowed for fluid transitions, with the midfield duo of Dominik Szoboszlai and Curtis Jones providing balance and creativity. Defensively, the Reds were solid, limiting Fulham to just four shots on target despite the visitors' 19 attempts. The front four, led by Cody Gakpo, were lively throughout, and the fullbacks provided width and attacking thrust. While Liverpool could have added to their tally, their game management in the second half ensured a comfortable finish.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Fulham
Fulham showed plenty of ambition at Anfield, matching Liverpool’s attacking output with 19 shots and enjoying significant spells of possession. Their 4-2-3-1 setup allowed Oscar Bobb and Harry Wilson to probe down the flanks, while Rodrigo Muniz led the line with determination. However, a lack of composure in front of goal and vulnerability during Liverpool’s first-half surge proved costly. Despite trailing by two at the break, Fulham continued to push forward in the second half, earning nine corners and threatening on several occasions. Ultimately, their inability to convert pressure into goals left them empty-handed.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both sides set up in a 4-2-3-1, leading to an open and dynamic contest with plenty of midfield battles and attacking intent. Liverpool’s double pivot provided stability, allowing their attacking quartet to interchange and exploit spaces between the lines. Fullbacks Robertson and Frimpong pushed high, stretching Fulham and creating overloads out wide. Fulham mirrored Liverpool’s shape and sought to press high, but were undone by quick transitions and incisive play in the final third. After falling behind, Fulham committed more bodies forward, utilizing their width and set pieces, but Liverpool’s defensive structure held firm. Substitutions from both managers aimed to inject fresh legs and attacking impetus, but neither side altered their base formation significantly.
Turning Point
Liverpool’s four-minute double salvo before half-time (36’ and 40’) that put them firmly in control.
Man of the Match
Cody Gakpo
Led the line with purpose, directly involved in both goals and set the attacking tone for Liverpool.
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Expected goals · model says 1.80
Expected goals · model says 0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
51%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 2-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Liverpool vs Fulham Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Liverpool vs Fulham?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Liverpool vs Fulham(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 3.1
Model estimates a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals, while the odds imply just 32%. Both teams have high season over 2.5 rates (LIV 61%, FUL 58%), and H2H often sees 3+ goals.
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes@ 3.55
Model probability of BTTS is 51% vs implied 28%. Both teams average around 1.4 goals conceded per game and recent H2Hs are BTTS-heavy.
More Premier League Predictions
The Case For This Liverpool vs Fulham Prediction
Liverpool host Fulham at Anfield in a match where both sides have shown attacking intent but also defensive vulnerabilities. Liverpool's home record is strong, but recent form is mixed, while Fulham have struggled away but are capable of scoring. The H2H history is goal-rich and competitive, suggesting another open contest. Liverpool are favorites, but Fulham's resilience and Liverpool's inconsistency could keep it close.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Liverpool's home form (8W, 4D, 3L) vs Fulham's away struggles (4W, 3D, 8L)
Attack
- →Recent H2H meetings are high-scoring (6/10 over 2.5, 7/10 BTTS)
Defence
- →Both teams average over 1.3 goals conceded per game
- →Liverpool's last 5: 1.2 scored, 1.6 conceded per game; Fulham's last 5: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded
Injuries & Team News
- →No major injuries reported for either side
🚩 Liverpool vs Fulham Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.3 corners for Liverpool and 5.6 for Fulham, for an expected total of 10.9. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (64%). Over 8.5: 75% · Over 10.5: 52%.
How Liverpool and Fulham Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Liverpool vs Fulham Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Liverpoollast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Fulhamlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Liverpool vs Fulham — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
Strengths
- +High-volume attack — 17 shots/game
- +Dominant in possession — 57% avg
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
What History Says: Liverpool vs Fulham
Liverpool vs Fulham Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
Liverpool wins
4
Draws
1
Fulham wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Liverpool vs Fulham
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Liverpool vs Fulham
- ⚠️Fulham's last 5 matches have missing shot/possession data, reducing confidence in attack/defence estimates
- ⚠️Liverpool's recent form is inconsistent (LLWDL), raising volatility risk
- ⚠️API prediction strongly favors Fulham/draw, but market and model both lean Liverpool; possible model divergence
- ⚠️Lineups not confirmed—late injuries or rotations could impact probabilities
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Liverpool vs Fulham: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 6 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.