Liverpool W vs Arsenal W Predictions

FA WSLFA WSL · England
high confidence
Liverpool W

Liverpool W

Full Time

1 - 3

AI predicted 0 - 3

Arsenal W

Arsenal W

🗓️ Saturday, 16 May 2026 at 13:00 BST (venue time) · 12:00 UTC (your time)📍 Anfield, Liverpool

Win Probability (1X2)

Liverpool W 8%Draw 19%Arsenal W 73%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: Arsenal W Win

Match Result

7/10

Arsenal Women Blitz Liverpool With First-Half Flurry at Anfield

Arsenal Women produced a scintillating first-half display to defeat Liverpool Women 3-1 at Anfield, sealing a deserved victory on the road. The visitors stunned the hosts with three goals in the space of 16 minutes before the interval, effectively putting the contest out of reach despite a late Liverpool rally. Liverpool managed to pull one back in the 74th minute, but Arsenal’s early attacking verve and defensive discipline ensured there would be no dramatic comeback. The result underlines Arsenal’s attacking quality and ability to seize control of matches with clinical finishing, while Liverpool were left to rue a sluggish opening period that proved costly.

💪 AI Prediction Report

DECENT HIT

Predicted

0 - 3

⚡

Actual

1 - 3

✅Result
❌BTTS
✅O/U 2.5
❌Score

💰 Bet Results1/2 hit

1x2 — Arsenal W
❓
BTTS — No
❌
Over/Under 2.5 — Over
✅

Key Moments

21' — Goal

Arsenal W open the scoring, capitalizing on early dominance.

32' — Goal

Arsenal W double their lead, putting Liverpool W on the back foot.

37' — Goal

Arsenal W score a third, all but sealing the result before halftime.

74' — Goal

Liverpool W pull one back, but the deficit remains too great.

Unknown' — Yellow Card

Arsenal W receive the only booking of the match.

Liverpool W

Liverpool W

5.5/10

Liverpool Women struggled to impose themselves in the first half, conceding three times in a damaging spell that left them chasing the game. Despite their efforts to regroup after the break, the deficit proved too great to overcome, though they did manage to find the net in the 74th minute to restore some pride. The hosts showed more intent in the second half but lacked the cutting edge and defensive solidity required to trouble Arsenal’s lead.

Key Players

Liverpool W Goalscorer (74'): Scored Liverpool's only goal, offering a brief lifeline.

Strengths

Improved attacking intent in the second halfResilience to respond with a goal despite the deficit

Weaknesses

Slow start and defensive lapses in the first halfStruggled to contain Arsenal’s attacking movement
Arsenal W

Arsenal W

8/10

Arsenal Women asserted their dominance early, racing into a three-goal lead with strikes in the 21st, 32nd, and 37th minutes. Their first-half performance was marked by incisive attacking play and clinical finishing, effectively deciding the match before halftime. Arsenal managed the game well after the break, absorbing Liverpool's pressure and maintaining their composure, despite conceding once late on. Their only blemish was a yellow card, but otherwise it was a professional and commanding display.

Key Players

Arsenal W Goalscorer (21'): Opened the scoring to set Arsenal on their way.
Arsenal W Goalscorer (32'): Doubled the lead, putting Liverpool under severe pressure.
Arsenal W Goalscorer (37'): Added the third, effectively sealing the win before halftime.

Strengths

Ruthless attacking in the first halfGame management and defensive organization after the break

Weaknesses

Allowed Liverpool a late consolation goalPicked up a yellow card

Tactical Analysis

With both teams’ formations unavailable, Arsenal’s early three-goal burst suggests a high-pressing, attack-minded approach that overwhelmed Liverpool’s defensive structure. Their ability to score three times in quick succession points to effective movement between the lines and sharp finishing. Liverpool, meanwhile, appeared unprepared for Arsenal’s intensity and struggled to adapt until the second half. After the break, Arsenal shifted focus to game management, absorbing Liverpool’s increased pressure and maintaining defensive discipline, while Liverpool’s tactical adjustments led to a consolation goal but not a full comeback.

Turning Point

Arsenal’s third goal in the 37th minute, which effectively ended Liverpool’s hopes before halftime.

Man of the Match

Arsenal W Goalscorer (37')

Delivered the decisive third goal and capped a dominant first-half display.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Liverpool W0.75

Expected goals · model says 0.75

Arsenal W2.35

Expected goals · model says 2.35

Win Probability
Liverpool W 10% Draw 17% Arsenal W 73%

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

BTTS: Yes

48%

Likely Scores

0-2 · 0-1 · 0-3

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Liverpool W vs Arsenal W Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
19%
73%
Liverpool W 8%Draw 19%Arsenal W 73%
Both Teams to Score
26%
74%
Yes 26%No 74%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
61%
39%
Over 2.5 61%Under 2.5 39%

Who do you think wins: Liverpool W vs Arsenal W?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Liverpool W vs Arsenal W Prediction

Arsenal W travel to Liverpool W as heavy favorites, boasting superior form, a potent attack, and a dominant head-to-head record. Liverpool W are struggling at both ends of the pitch and have lost three straight, while Arsenal W continue to push for a top finish and have shown both attacking flair and defensive solidity. Expect Arsenal W to control proceedings, likely keeping a clean sheet and scoring multiple goals.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • →H2H: Arsenal W have won 8 of last 10 meetings

Attack

  • →Arsenal W: 2.8 goals scored per game in last 5, unbeaten in 4 of last 5
  • →Liverpool W: 3 consecutive losses, only 1 goal per game in last 5

Defence

  • →Arsenal W: 50% season clean sheet rate

Match Context

  • →Liverpool W: only 3 home wins in 10 this season
  • →Arsenal W: 6 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss away from home
  • →Liverpool W: failed to score in 3 of last 5

How Liverpool W and Arsenal W Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Liverpool W vs Arsenal W Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Liverpool WLiverpool Wlast 5 matches
C. Holland
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

Z. Shaw
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Arsenal WArsenal Wlast 5 matches

No scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.

Liverpool W come into this match on a three-game losing streak, having conceded late goals and struggled to create clear chances. Arsenal W, by contrast, are unbeaten in their last four league matches, recently thrashing Leicester City WFC 7-0 and winning comfortably at Aston Villa W.

Liverpool W vs Arsenal W — Last 10 Matches

Liverpool WLiverpool WLast 10 results
L1-3
L0-1
L0-1
W3-2
D0-0
W2-0
L0-2
W4-1
L1-3
W2-0
Lvs Arsenal W1-3
L@ Manchester City W0-1
Lvs West Ham W0-1
W@ Everton W3-2
D@ Brighton W0-0
Wvs Leicester City WFC2-0
L@ Chelsea W0-2
Wvs Aston Villa W4-1
L@ Manchester United W1-3
Wvs Tottenham Hotspur W2-0

Concerns

  • −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
  • −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Arsenal WArsenal WLast 10 results
W3-1
W1-0
W3-0
D1-1
W7-0
W5-2
W5-0
W2-0
W1-0
W2-0
W@ Liverpool W3-1
Wvs Everton W1-0
W@ Aston Villa W3-0
D@ Brighton W1-1
Wvs Leicester City WFC7-0
Wvs Tottenham Hotspur W5-2
Wvs West Ham W5-0
W@ London City Lionesses2-0
Wvs Manchester City W1-0
W@ Chelsea W2-0

Strengths

  • +Defensively solid — 0.0 conceded/game
  • +50% clean sheet rate this season

Concerns

  • −Struggling to score — 0.0 goals/game

What History Says: Liverpool W vs Arsenal W

The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in Arsenal W's favor, with 8 wins in the last 10 matches and a consistent pattern of clean sheets against Liverpool W. The most common scorelines have been 0-2 and 0-1 in Arsenal's favor.

Liverpool W vs Arsenal W Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

2

Liverpool W wins

0

Draws

8

Arsenal W wins

20%0% draws80%
16 May 26Liverpool W vs Arsenal W1-3
6 Dec 25Arsenal W vs Liverpool W2-1
22 Mar 25Arsenal W vs Liverpool W4-0
9 Mar 25Arsenal W vs Liverpool W0-1
15 Dec 24Liverpool W vs Arsenal W0-1
28 Jan 24Liverpool W vs Arsenal W0-2

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Liverpool W vs Arsenal W

No bookmaker odds are available, so value cannot be assessed. However, given the model's strong lean toward Arsenal W and a low likelihood of Liverpool W scoring, any odds above 1.40 for Arsenal W or above 1.80 for BTTS No would represent value.

Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Liverpool W Win7.008.0%-6.3%
Draw5.5019.0%+0.8%
Arsenal W Win1.0873.0%-19.6%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.5value1.8061.0%+5.4%
Under 2.51.9139.0%-13.4%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yesvalue5.5026.0%+7.8%
No1.1474.0%-13.7%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 5.50EV +0.045
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 @ 1.80EV +0.098
Both Teams Score: Yes @ 5.50EV +0.430

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Liverpool W vs Arsenal W

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided; value bets cannot be calculated.
  • ⚠️Recent match stats (shots, possession, etc.) are incomplete.
  • ⚠️Lineups for both teams are not confirmed.
  • ⚠️Liverpool W may have home motivation, but form is poor.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Liverpool W vs Arsenal W: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 10 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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