Ludogorets II vs Dunav Ruse Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk โ€” No extreme form or market signal โ€” routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs ยท World
high confidence
Ludogorets II

Ludogorets II

Full Time

1 - 1

AI predicted 2 - 1

Dunav Ruse

Dunav Ruse

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Saturday, 3 Oct 2026 at 10:00 UTC

Win Probability (1X2)

Ludogorets II 47%Draw 32%Dunav Ruse 21%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: Ludogorets II Win

Match Result

5.5/10

Ludogorets II and Dunav Ruse Share the Spoils in Stalemate

In a tightly contested friendly encounter, Ludogorets II and Dunav Ruse played out a 1-1 draw, with neither side able to assert dominance or find a decisive winner. The match, characterized by balanced play and few clear-cut chances, saw both teams find the net once but ultimately cancel each other out over the ninety minutes. Despite the lack of detailed match statistics, the even scoreline reflects a game where both Ludogorets II and Dunav Ruse matched each other stride for stride. With no yellow or red cards issued, the contest was played in good spirits, and both teams will take positives from a disciplined and competitive performance.

๐Ÿ˜… AI Prediction Report

CLOSE BUT NO CIGAR

Predicted

2 - 1

โšก

Actual

1 - 1

โŒResult
โœ…BTTS
โŒO/U 2.5
โŒScore

๐Ÿ’ฐ Bet Results0/2 hit

1X2 โ€” Home
โŒ
Over/Under 2.5 โ€” Over
โŒ

Key Moments

N/A' โ€” Goal

Ludogorets II scored their only goal of the match.

N/A' โ€” Goal

Dunav Ruse responded with an equalizer to level the score.

Ludogorets II

Ludogorets II

6.5/10

Ludogorets II showed flashes of attacking intent but were unable to break down Dunav Ruse's defense for a second time. Their solitary goal was not enough to secure victory, as they struggled to create sustained pressure or capitalize on key moments. Defensively, they kept their discipline, avoiding any bookings and maintaining composure throughout.

Strengths

Disciplined defendingMaintained composure under pressure

Weaknesses

Lacked cutting edge in attackStruggled to create clear chances
Dunav Ruse

Dunav Ruse

6.5/10

Dunav Ruse matched their hosts in both effort and execution, finding the net once and keeping the game finely balanced. Their defensive organization was evident, as they managed to limit Ludogorets II's opportunities and avoided any disciplinary issues. However, like their opponents, they were unable to find a breakthrough to tilt the result in their favor.

Strengths

Solid defensive organizationMaintained discipline

Weaknesses

Limited attacking threatUnable to capitalize on key moments

Tactical Analysis

With no lineup or formation data available, it is clear that both teams approached the match with a focus on discipline and defensive solidity. The lack of bookings and the low-scoring nature of the game suggest that neither side took undue risks, resulting in a tactically cautious encounter. Both Ludogorets II and Dunav Ruse appeared content to keep their shape, limiting space and opportunities for their opponents. Set pieces and transitions may have provided the best openings, but neither team managed to exploit these moments decisively. The match ultimately reflected the hallmarks of a friendly: competitive but measured, with both sides prioritizing structure over expansive play.

Turning Point

The equalizing goal for Dunav Ruse, which ensured the match ended level and took the momentum away from Ludogorets II.

Man of the Match

N/A

No individual player stood out due to the lack of detailed data and an evenly matched contest.

Ludogorets II vs Dunav Ruse: Match Preview

Ludogorets II arrive with a formidable home record, unbeaten in eight and averaging over three goals per game at their own ground this season. Their recent form is mixed (LDWLD), but their overall campaign has been far more consistent than Dunav Ruse, who have managed just one win in nine and come into this friendly off the back of a 0-1 defeat. With no league points at stake, both sides may rotate, but Ludogorets II's underlying rates suggest they maintain the upper hand.

The matchup is shaped by Ludogorets II's prolific attack (3.0 goals per game) against a Dunav Ruse defence that has conceded in every one of their last five matches. Dunav Ruse have shown some attacking threat on the road (nine away goals in six), but their defensive frailties are exposed by a clean sheet rate of just 22%. The goal environment is supported by both teams' high over 2.5 rates (Ludogorets II 66.7%, Dunav Ruse 55.6%) and a BTTS count of three from their last five each.

Expect Ludogorets II to control possession and create the better chances, especially early, with their home scoring rate and Dunav Ruse's tendency to concede first. While Dunav Ruse can threaten on the break, the home side's superior numbers in both attack and defence make them favourites to edge a match likely to see goals at both ends.

๐ŸŽฎ Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react โ€” then simulate the match and see what happens.

Ludogorets II1.70

Expected goals ยท model says 1.70

Dunav Ruse1.15

Expected goals ยท model says 1.15

Win Probability
Ludogorets II 50% Draw 24% Dunav Ruse 26%

Over 2.5 Goals

54%

BTTS: Yes

56%

Likely Scores

1-1 ยท 1-0 ยท 2-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above โ€” every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration โ€” not betting advice.

Ludogorets II vs Dunav Ruse Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
47%
32%
21%
Ludogorets II 47%Draw 32%Dunav Ruse 21%
Both Teams to Score
54%
46%
Yes 54%No 46%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
56%
44%
Over 2.5 56%Under 2.5 44%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
54%
46%
Over 9.5 54%Under 9.5 46%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Ludogorets II vs Dunav Ruse that most previews miss.

  • 1Ludogorets II have scored 25 goals and conceded just 4 in their last eight home matches.
  • 2Dunav Ruse's last five games have averaged 2.6 total goals, with both teams scoring in three.
  • 3Six of the last ten H2H meetings have seen both teams find the net.

Who do you think wins: Ludogorets II vs Dunav Ruse?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

More Friendlies Clubs Predictions

The Case For This Ludogorets II vs Dunav Ruse Prediction

Statistical rates point to a moderate-to-high scoring fixture, with Ludogorets II's home attack (3.13 goals per home game) facing a Dunav Ruse side conceding 1.44 per match overall. The home side's unbeaten home record and superior season-long numbers give them the edge, but Dunav Ruse's away scoring (1.5 per away game) suggests they can contribute. The likeliest scenario is a competitive match with Ludogorets II's offensive output making the difference.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • โ†’Both teams have seen BTTS in three of their last five matches.

Attack

  • โ†’Ludogorets II average 3.0 goals scored per game this season, with 25 in 8 home matches.

Defence

  • โ†’Dunav Ruse have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five and concede 1.44 per game.

๐Ÿšฉ Ludogorets II vs Dunav Ruse Corners Prediction

low confidence
10expected total corners
Over 54%
Under 46%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 5 corners for Ludogorets II and 5 for Dunav Ruse, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 67% ยท Over 10.5: 42%.

How Ludogorets II and Dunav Ruse Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Ludogorets II vs Dunav Ruse Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals รท 5 games.

Ludogorets IILudogorets IIlast 5 matches
E. Bile
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

K. Nikolov
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

N. Nikolov
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Dunav RuseDunav Ruselast 5 matches
J. Saint-Louis
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

A. Valino
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Ludogorets II have been dominant at home this season, winning seven of nine and scoring 27 while conceding just seven overall. Their recent five-match run is less emphatic (one win, two draws, two losses), but the underlying rates remain strong. Dunav Ruse, by contrast, have just one win in their last nine and have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five, with a negative goal difference and only moderate attacking output.

Ludogorets II vs Dunav Ruse โ€” Last 10 Matches

Ludogorets IILudogorets IILast 10 results
D1-1
W2-0
W2-0
L2-3
D1-1
W2-1
W8-0
W3-1
W5-0
W2-1
Dvs Dunav Ruse1-1
Wvs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa2-0
Wvs Chernomorets Burgas Sofia2-0
L@ Yantra 20192-3
Dvs Nesebar1-1
Wvs Yantra 20192-1
Wvs Akademik Svishtov8-0
Wvs FK Minyor Pernik3-1
Wvs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa5-0
Wvs Sevlievo2-1
Dunav RuseDunav RuseLast 10 results
D1-1
L0-1
D1-1
D1-1
D0-0
L1-2
L1-3
D2-2
L1-3
W5-0
D@ Ludogorets II1-1
L@ Cherno More Varna0-1
D@ Cherno More Varna1-1
Dvs Dobrudzha1-1
D@ Spartak Varna0-0
Lvs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1-2
L@ CSKA Sofia1-3
D@ Etar Veliko Tarnovo2-2
Lvs Spartak Varna1-3
W@ CS Dinamo Bucureศ™ti5-0

Concerns

  • โˆ’Inconsistent โ€” 3+ losses in last 5
  • โˆ’No clean sheets in last 5 matches

What History Says: Ludogorets II vs Dunav Ruse

Dunav Ruse have the edge in recent head-to-heads, winning five of the last ten, including a 3-1 away win in 2025. However, Ludogorets II have won two of the last four at home, and scorelines have often been competitive, with both teams scoring in six of the last ten meetings.

Ludogorets II vs Dunav Ruse Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

3

Ludogorets II wins

3

Draws

4

Dunav Ruse wins

30%30% draws40%
3 Oct 26Ludogorets II vs Dunav Ruse1-1
7 Mar 26Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets II1-0
21 Jan 26Ludogorets II vs Dunav Ruse0-0
30 Aug 25Ludogorets II vs Dunav Ruse1-3
17 Feb 25Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets II1-0
5 Aug 24Ludogorets II vs Dunav Ruse4-1

Things to Watch: Ludogorets II vs Dunav Ruse

  • โš ๏ธNo bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited.
  • โš ๏ธStandings and precise home/away splits for the current league context are missing.
  • โš ๏ธBoth teams' recent lineups and tactical setups are unclear due to incomplete data.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ€” always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Ludogorets II 2โ€“1 Dunav Ruse

The model favours Ludogorets II to win 2-1, anchored by their 3.0 goals per game average and unbeaten home record. The most robust data point is their attacking output at home, but the main risk is underestimating Dunav Ruse's ability to score away, as they've averaged 1.5 goals per away match and have a history of competitive H2H results.

Ludogorets II vs Dunav Ruse: Common Questions

Who will win Ludogorets II vs Dunav Ruse?

Ludogorets II are favoured with a 47% probability of victory, compared to 21% for Dunav Ruse and 32% for the draw. Their unbeaten home record and 3.0 goals per game average are decisive factors.

Will both teams score in Ludogorets II vs Dunav Ruse?

There is a 54% probability of both teams scoring, supported by both sides' BTTS counts (three of their last five) and Dunav Ruse's away scoring rate.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in Ludogorets II vs Dunav Ruse?

The model gives a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals, reflecting Ludogorets II's high-scoring home matches (66.7% over 2.5 rate) and Dunav Ruse's defensive record.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Ludogorets II vs Dunav Ruse: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline โ€” season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 2 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes โ€” see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

More Ludogorets II vs Dunav Ruse Resources