Marine vs Worksop Town Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk โ€” No extreme form or market signal โ€” routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
National League - NorthNational League - North ยท England
high confidence
Marine

Marine

AI Predicted Score

1 - 1

Worksop Town

Worksop Town

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Saturday, 5 Sept 2026 at 15:00 BST (venue time) ยท 14:00 UTC (your time)๐Ÿ“ Rossett Park, Crosby

Win Probability (1X2)

Marine 36%Draw 36%Worksop Town 28%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Marine vs Worksop Town: Match Preview

Marine enter this match sitting 20th in the table with just one win from four league games, but their only victory was a convincing 4-1 away result last time out. At Rossett Park, however, they've lost both fixtures without scoring, highlighting a blunt home attack. Worksop Town, mid-table in 11th, have alternated between wins and losses, with two victories coming against sides in the bottom half and two defeats in their last outings. Both teams have negative goal differences and are looking to stabilise after inconsistent starts.

The statistical matchup points towards a low-scoring affair. Marine's home league matches have averaged only 1.5 total goals (0 for, 3 against in 2 games), while Worksop Town's away games have produced an average of 2.0 (2 for, 2 against). Both sides are averaging 1.0 goal scored per game this season, and neither has kept a clean sheet in the league. Notably, Marine have scored all four of their league goals in a single away match, while Worksop Town have failed to score in two of their last three. The last five for both sides show a combined three clean sheets and five failures to score, underlining the attacking limitations.

Given these rates, the model expects a cautious contest with limited clear chances. The most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 22% likelihood, while under 2.5 goals is favoured at 63%. Marine's strong home head-to-head record is offset by their current lack of home goals, and Worksop Town's away form is similarly inconclusive. With neither attack in rhythm and both teams trending towards low-scoring games, a draw is marginally more likely than a home or away win.

๐ŸŽฎ Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react โ€” then simulate the match and see what happens.

Marine1.10

Expected goals ยท model says 1.10

Worksop Town0.95

Expected goals ยท model says 0.95

Win Probability
Marine 39% Draw 30% Worksop Town 31%

Over 2.5 Goals

34%

BTTS: Yes

41%

Likely Scores

1-0 ยท 1-1 ยท 0-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above โ€” every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration โ€” not betting advice.

Marine vs Worksop Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
36%
36%
28%
Marine 36%Draw 36%Worksop Town 28%
Both Teams to Score
44%
56%
Yes 44%No 56%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
37%
63%
Over 2.5 37%Under 2.5 63%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Marine vs Worksop Town that most previews miss.

  • 1Marine have failed to score in three of their last five matches, including both home league games this season.
  • 2Worksop Town's away matches average just 2.0 total goals (2 scored, 2 conceded in 2 games), supporting the model's under 2.5 lean.
  • 3All four previous head-to-heads have been won by the home side, but Marine have scored at least twice in both home meetings.

Who do you think wins: Marine vs Worksop Town?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

More National League - North Predictions

The Case For This Marine vs Worksop Town Prediction

This fixture profiles as a low-scoring, closely matched contest between two sides with limited attacking output and a history of tight games at this venue. Marine have yet to score at home this season, while Worksop Town have managed just two goals in two away matches. Both teams' season-long averages sit at 1.0 goal scored per game, and neither defence is especially robust, but the lack of attacking threat is the more prominent trend.

Key Factors at a Glance

Defence

  • โ†’Worksop Town's away record shows 1 win and 1 loss, with only 2 goals scored and 2 conceded.

Match Context

  • โ†’Marine have failed to score in both home league matches this season.
  • โ†’All four previous head-to-heads have been won by the home side, with Marine winning both at Rossett Park.

How Marine and Worksop Town Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Marine vs Worksop Town Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals รท 5 games.

MarineMarinelast 5 matches
M. McDonald
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

S. Hilton
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

F. Sinclair-Smith
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

G. kattah
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Worksop TownWorksop Townlast 5 matches
K. Harratt
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

A. Starcenko
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

L. Whitham
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Marine have endured a tough start, losing three of their opening four league matches and failing to score in all three defeats. Their only win was a 4-1 away result, suggesting some attacking potential, but their home form is a concern. Worksop Town have been inconsistent, with two wins and two losses, but their recent back-to-back defeats and just two goals scored in two away games highlight similar issues in attack.

Marine vs Worksop Town โ€” Last 4 Matches

MarineMarineLast 4 results
W4-1
L0-2
L0-1
L0-1
W@ King's Lynn Town4-1
Lvs Chorley0-2
L@ Hereford0-1
Lvs Macclesfield0-1

Concerns

  • โˆ’Inconsistent โ€” 3+ losses in last 5
Worksop TownWorksop TownLast 4 results
L0-3
L0-1
W2-1
W2-1
Lvs Hereford0-3
L@ Hebburn Town0-1
Wvs AFC Telford United2-1
W@ Darlington 18832-1

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form โ€” 3+ wins in last 5
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 75% of games this season

What History Says: Marine vs Worksop Town

The head-to-head record is limited but notable: all four previous meetings have been won by the home side, with Marine claiming both at Rossett Park, scoring twice or more each time. However, the most recent encounter saw Marine win 4-2 at home, though current form suggests a lower-scoring affair this time.

Marine vs Worksop Town Head-to-Head History

Last 4 meetings between these sides

4

Marine wins

0

Draws

0

Worksop Town wins

100%0% draws0%
14 Mar 26Marine vs Worksop Town4-2
18 Oct 25Worksop Town vs Marine1-2
27 Jan 24Marine vs Worksop Town2-1
25 Nov 23Worksop Town vs Marine0-1

Things to Watch: Marine vs Worksop Town

  • โš ๏ธVery limited sample size for both teams' home/away splits (2 matches each).
  • โš ๏ธNo shots, possession, or set-piece data available for either side.
  • โš ๏ธBookmaker odds unavailable; value assessment is incomplete.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ€” always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Marine 1โ€“1 Worksop Town

The model projects a 1-1 draw, with the strongest data point being both teams' season average of just 1.0 goal scored per game and Marine's complete lack of home goals. The main risk is that either side breaks their attacking slump, particularly if Marine's recent 4-goal outburst away from home signals a genuine improvement rather than an outlier.

Marine vs Worksop Town: Common Questions

Who will win Marine vs Worksop Town?

The model rates the draw as the single most likely outcome at 36%, with Marine given a 36% chance to win and Worksop Town 28%. Both teams have struggled for attacking consistency, making a stalemate the statistical favourite.

Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Marine vs Worksop Town?

Under 2.5 goals is favoured at 63% probability. Marine's home matches average just 0.75 goals per game for and 1.5 overall, while Worksop Town's away games average 2.0, both pointing to a low-scoring contest.

Is both teams to score likely in Marine vs Worksop Town?

Both teams to score is rated at 44%, with 'no' slightly more likely at 56%. Marine have failed to score in both home league games, and Worksop Town have blanked in two of their last three, so a goal for both sides is not assured.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Marine vs Worksop Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline โ€” season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes โ€” see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

More Marine vs Worksop Town Resources