MC Oran vs CR Belouizdad Predictions
Ligue 1 · Algeria
MC Oran
AI Predicted Score
0 - 1
CR Belouizdad
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Recommended Bets: MC Oran vs CR Belouizdad
MC Oran vs CR Belouizdad: Match Preview
MC Oran come into this fixture on the back of a rare defeat, but their overall record remains robust: just one loss in eight and a defensive record unmatched in the division. Sitting fifth, they have conceded only two goals all season, with four home clean sheets from four. CR Belouizdad, meanwhile, top the table, unbeaten after eight matches, and have found the net 13 times—more than double MC Oran's output. The visitors' recent form is strong, with three wins and two draws in their last five, and they have not failed to score in any away game this campaign.
The tactical battle is clear: MC Oran's defensive structure, which has produced an 87.5% clean sheet rate, against the league's most prolific away attack. CR Belouizdad average two goals per away match, but MC Oran's matches are the lowest-scoring in the league, with an average of just 0.88 total goals. Both teams have shown discipline at the back, with only two BTTS outcomes in their last five matches combined. Set-piece and discipline data are unavailable, but both teams' yellow card counts in recent matches suggest a competitive, physical edge.
Statistically, the model projects a low-scoring contest, with the away side's attacking consistency just tipping the balance. CR Belouizdad's track record in this fixture and their ability to score away from home make them slight favourites, but MC Oran's defensive resilience suggests margins will be fine. Expect a tight first half and a single goal likely to settle the outcome.
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Expected goals · model says 0.50
Expected goals · model says 0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
17%
BTTS: Yes
23%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
MC Oran vs CR Belouizdad Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind MC Oran vs CR Belouizdad that most previews miss.
- 1MC Oran's home matches have produced just three goals in four games, all in their favour, with zero conceded.
- 2CR Belouizdad have scored in every away match this season, averaging two goals per away game.
- 3Only one of the last ten H2H meetings ended 0-0, but five finished with under 2.5 goals.
Who do you think wins: MC Oran vs CR Belouizdad?
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Where the Model Sees Value: MC Oran vs CR Belouizdad(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches: MC Oran's season over 2.5 rate is 0%, and CR Belouizdad's away games average 1.4 goals per match. The model projects an 82% probability for under 2.5 goals, driven by MC Oran's defensive record (0 goals conceded at home in 4 matches).
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BTTS: No
MC Oran have failed to score in 3 of their last 5, and have not conceded at home all season (4 clean sheets in 4). CR Belouizdad have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5. The BTTS 'No' probability is 81%.
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Match Result: CR Belouizdad Win
CR Belouizdad are unbeaten this season (6W, 2D), have scored 10 goals in 5 away matches, and have won 6 of the last 10 H2H meetings. The away win probability is 42%, reflecting their superior attacking rate (1.63 goals/game) versus MC Oran's output (0.63).
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More Ligue 1 Predictions
The Case For This MC Oran vs CR Belouizdad Prediction
This fixture pairs the league's most formidable defence with its most consistent attack, with MC Oran conceding just twice in eight matches and CR Belouizdad averaging over 1.6 goals per game. The statistical shape is low-scoring: MC Oran's home matches have yet to see a single goal conceded, and their matches average just 0.88 total goals. CR Belouizdad's away matches are higher-scoring but still moderate, at 3.4 goals per game, though this is skewed by one high-scoring draw. The matchup is defined by MC Oran's ability to restrict chances and CR Belouizdad's capacity to convert. MC Oran's last five have produced only two goals for and two against, with three clean sheets. CR Belouizdad, meanwhile, have scored in every away match and failed to score only once all season. The head-to-head record tilts strongly to the visitors, who have won six of the last ten meetings and scored in all but one. The model expects a tight contest, with CR Belouizdad's attacking depth eventually breaking through MC Oran's defensive structure. The most likely outcome is a narrow away win, with a high probability of under 2.5 goals and a significant chance of a goalless first half. MC Oran's lack of attacking punch—just 0.63 goals per game—limits their upside, while CR Belouizdad's away scoring rate gives them the edge.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →CR Belouizdad are unbeaten in eight, with the league's highest away scoring tally (10 goals in 5 away games).
Defence
- →MC Oran have not conceded a goal at home in four matches this season.
Match Context
- →The last ten head-to-head meetings have produced six CR Belouizdad wins and just two for MC Oran.
How MC Oran and CR Belouizdad Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
MC Oran vs CR Belouizdad Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
MC Oranlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
CR Belouizdadlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
MC Oran have lost just once in eight, but their attack has stalled with three scoreless outings in the last five. CR Belouizdad are unbeaten, winning four of their last five, and have scored in every away match this season. Both teams are defensively solid, but only the visitors carry a consistent attacking threat.
MC Oran vs CR Belouizdad — Last 8 Matches
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +87.5% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +62.5% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: MC Oran vs CR Belouizdad
CR Belouizdad have won six of the last ten meetings with MC Oran, including two of the last three away from home. Draws are rare, and most recent matches have been decided by one or two goals, with only one goalless draw in the last decade.
MC Oran vs CR Belouizdad Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
MC Oran wins
2
Draws
6
CR Belouizdad wins
Things to Watch: MC Oran vs CR Belouizdad
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Lack of shot and possession data limits precision on attacking/defensive process.
- ⚠️Both teams have strong clean sheet records, increasing draw probability if early goal is not scored.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
MC Oran 0–1 CR BelouizdadThe model points to a narrow 1-0 win for CR Belouizdad, anchored by their away scoring rate (2.0 per away game) against MC Oran's lack of attacking output (0.63 per game). The biggest risk is MC Oran's defensive solidity at home, which could frustrate the visitors and produce a goalless draw.
MC Oran vs CR Belouizdad: Common Questions
Who will win MC Oran vs CR Belouizdad?
CR Belouizdad are slight favourites with a 42% win probability, reflecting their unbeaten record and superior scoring rate. MC Oran's defensive record keeps the draw probability high at 40%, with the home win rated at just 18%.
Will both teams score in MC Oran vs CR Belouizdad?
The model gives just a 19% probability for both teams to score, as MC Oran have failed to score in three of their last five and have not conceded at home all season.
How many goals are expected in MC Oran vs CR Belouizdad?
Under 2.5 goals is highly likely (82% probability), with both teams' matches trending low-scoring—MC Oran's games average just 0.88 goals, and CR Belouizdad's away matches average 2.0.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for MC Oran vs CR Belouizdad: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.