Mumbai City vs East Bengal II Predictions

Indian Super LeagueIndian Super League ยท India
high confidence
Mumbai City

Mumbai City

AI Predicted Score

1 - 2

East Bengal II

East Bengal II

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Tuesday, 5 May 2026 at 19:30 GMT+5:30 (venue time) ยท 14:00 UTC (your time)๐Ÿ“ Mumbai Football Arena, Mumbai

Win Probability (1X2)

Mumbai City 26%Draw 33%East Bengal II 41%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

๐ŸŽฎ Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react โ€” then simulate the match and see what happens.

Mumbai City1.30

Expected goals ยท model says 1.30

East Bengal II1.60

Expected goals ยท model says 1.60

Win Probability
Mumbai City 31% Draw 24% East Bengal II 44%

Over 2.5 Goals

55%

BTTS: Yes

58%

Likely Scores

1-1 ยท 1-2 ยท 0-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above โ€” every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration โ€” not betting advice.

Mumbai City vs East Bengal II Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
26%
33%
41%
Mumbai City 26%Draw 33%East Bengal II 41%
Both Teams to Score
56%
44%
Yes 56%No 44%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
58%
42%
Over 2.5 58%Under 2.5 42%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
73%
27%
Over 9.5 73%Under 9.5 27%

Who do you think wins: Mumbai City vs East Bengal II?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Mumbai City vs East Bengal II Prediction

This fixture features Mumbai City, a defensively solid but low-scoring side, against an East Bengal II team with the league's most prolific attack. Mumbai City have been hard to beat at home but have struggled to create chances and score goals, averaging just 0.6 goals per game in their last five. East Bengal II, meanwhile, have been involved in high-scoring games, averaging 2.8 goals for and 1.0 against in their last five, and have the highest over 2.5 goal percentage in the league. Expect East Bengal II to dictate the attacking tempo, but Mumbai City's defensive organization and home record could keep things competitive, especially in the first half.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • โ†’East Bengal II have a 75% over 2.5 goals rate and are unbeaten away.
  • โ†’East Bengal II have scored 10 goals in their last 3 matches.

Attack

  • โ†’East Bengal II average 2.75 goals scored per game (season), 2.8 in last 5.
  • โ†’Mumbai City average only 0.6 goals scored per game in last 5.
  • โ†’Mumbai City are unbeaten at home (2W 2D), but their attack is blunt.

Defence

  • โ†’Mumbai City have kept 3 clean sheets in last 5 but only 1 win in last 4.

Injuries & Team News

  • โ†’No significant injuries for either side.

๐Ÿšฉ Mumbai City vs East Bengal II Corners Prediction

medium confidence
11.7expected total corners
Over 73%
Under 27%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 4 corners for Mumbai City and 7.7 for East Bengal II, for an expected total of 11.7. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (73%). Over 8.5: 82% ยท Over 10.5: 62%.

How Mumbai City and East Bengal II Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Mumbai City vs East Bengal II Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals รท 5 games.

Mumbai CityMumbai Citylast 5 matches

No scorer data yet โ€” available after predictions are regenerated.

East Bengal IIEast Bengal IIlast 5 matches

No scorer data yet โ€” available after predictions are regenerated.

Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.

Mumbai City vs East Bengal II โ€” Last 10 Matches

Mumbai CityMumbai CityLast 10 results
L1-2
D0-0
L0-2
D1-1
W1-0
W1-0
W2-1
D2-2
D1-1
W1-0
Lvs East Bengal II1-2
D@ Bengaluru0-0
L@ Goa0-2
D@ Jamshedpur1-1
Wvs Odisha1-0
W@ ATK Mohun Bagan1-0
W@ Inter Kashi2-1
Dvs SC Delhi2-2
Dvs NorthEast United1-1
W@ Kerala Blasters1-0

Strengths

  • +45.45% clean sheet rate this season

Concerns

  • โˆ’Struggling to score โ€” 0.6 goals/game
East Bengal IIEast Bengal IILast 10 results
W2-1
W3-0
D3-3
W3-1
W7-0
D1-1
D0-0
L1-2
W4-1
W3-0
W@ Mumbai City2-1
Wvs Odisha3-0
Dvs Bengaluru3-3
W@ Chennaiyin3-1
Wvs Mohammedan7-0
Dvs Kerala Blasters1-1
Dvs Goa0-0
Lvs Jamshedpur1-2
Wvs SC Delhi4-1
Wvs NorthEast United3-0

Strengths

  • +4/5 wins in last 5 โ€” excellent form
  • +Prolific attack โ€” 3.6 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 80% of games this season
  • +High-volume attack โ€” 15 shots/game

What History Says: Mumbai City vs East Bengal II

Mumbai City vs East Bengal II Head-to-Head History

Last 1 meeting between these sides

0

Mumbai City wins

0

Draws

1

East Bengal II wins

0%0% draws100%
5 May 26Mumbai City vs East Bengal II1-2

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Mumbai City vs East Bengal II

Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per ยฃ1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Mumbai City Win2.5026.0%-14.0%
Drawvalue3.6033.0%+5.2%
East Bengal II Win1.5041.0%-25.7%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.5value4.5058.0%+35.8%
Under 2.51.1842.0%-42.7%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yesvalue4.5056.0%+33.8%
No1.1844.0%-40.7%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 3.60EV +0.188
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 @ 4.50EV +1.610
Both Teams Score: Yes @ 4.50EV +1.520

EV per ยฃ1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate โ€” always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Mumbai City vs East Bengal II

  • โš ๏ธNo head-to-head data available for these teams.
  • โš ๏ธEast Bengal II have only 1 away match in the league so far, sample size is small.
  • โš ๏ธMumbai City's defensive stats are strong, but their low attacking output increases draw risk.
  • โš ๏ธSome match stats (shots, possession) are missing for several recent fixtures.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ€” always gamble responsibly.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Mumbai City vs East Bengal II: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 28 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes โ€” see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

More Mumbai City vs East Bengal II Resources