NEOM vs Al-Hazm Predictions
Pro League ยท Saudi-Arabia
NEOM
Full Time
1 - 1
AI predicted 2 - 1
Al-Hazm
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: NEOM Win
Match Result
7.1/10NEOM and Al-Hazm Share Spoils After Early Lead Cancelled in Tabuk Stalemate
NEOM and Al-Hazm played out a 1-1 draw at the King Khalid Sport City Stadium, with both sides showing flashes of quality but ultimately unable to find a decisive edge. The hosts struck early through Alexandre Lacazette in the 7th minute, capitalizing on their strong start and home advantage. However, Al-Hazm regrouped after the break, finding their equalizer in the 58th minute to set up a tense second half. NEOM enjoyed the lion's share of possession (56%) and looked the more controlled side for large spells, registering 7 shots on target from 10 attempts. Al-Hazm, meanwhile, were more direct, firing 12 shots but only 4 on target, and relied on a disciplined 4-1-4-1 setup to frustrate the hosts. Despite both teams creating chances and a flurry of late substitutions, neither could break the deadlock, leaving the points shared in Tabuk.
๐ AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
1 - 1
๐ฐ Bet Results1/3 hit
Key Moments
7' โ Goal
Alexandre Lacazette puts NEOM ahead with a composed finish.
58' โ Goal
Omar Al Soma levels for Al-Hazm, finishing off a swift move.
Various' โ Yellow Cards
Physical contest sees two NEOM and one Al-Hazm player booked.
NEOM
NEOM started brightly, pressing high and making their early dominance count with a well-taken goal from Alexandre Lacazette. Their 4-4-2 formation allowed for width and attacking combinations, particularly in the first half, and they managed to test Al-Hazm's goalkeeper with 7 shots on target. However, after conceding the equalizer, NEOM struggled to regain their attacking rhythm, and their control of possession did not translate into a winning goal. Defensively, they remained organized but occasionally looked vulnerable to Al-Hazm's direct attacks.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al-Hazm
Al-Hazm weathered an early storm and gradually grew into the contest, showing resilience after falling behind. Their 4-1-4-1 formation provided defensive stability and allowed them to absorb pressure before launching quick transitions. The equalizer in the 58th minute was a reward for their persistence, and they finished the game with more total shots (12) despite less possession. Al-Hazm's midfield worked tirelessly to disrupt NEOM's rhythm, but they lacked the clinical edge to snatch all three points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
NEOM lined up in a 4-4-2, looking to stretch the play and exploit the flanks, which paid dividends early on. Their midfield quartet pressed high, aiming to disrupt Al-Hazm's buildup and create turnovers. Al-Hazm responded with a compact 4-1-4-1, using Loreintz Rosier as a shield in front of the defense and looking to hit on the break. The tactical battle was defined by NEOM's attempts to probe through possession and Al-Hazm's disciplined shape, which became more assertive after their equalizer. Substitutions from both sides in the second half injected fresh legs but did not alter the tactical balance significantly.
Turning Point
Omar Al Soma's equalizer in the 58th minute shifted momentum and ensured Al-Hazm left with a point.
Man of the Match
Omar Al Soma
Scored the vital equalizer and led Al-Hazm's attack with determination.
๐ฎ Prediction Playground
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Expected goals ยท model says 1.60
Expected goals ยท model says 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
1-1 ยท 1-0 ยท 2-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above โ every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration โ not betting advice.
NEOM vs Al-Hazm Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: NEOM vs Al-Hazm?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: NEOM vs Al-Hazm(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: NEOM Win
NEOM have a stronger home/away split, better recent H2H, and a slightly better attack. Al-Hazm's away record is weak and their defense concedes heavily.
Read more โ
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have high season over 2.5 rates (NEOM 55%, Al-Hazm 61%), and both average 1.6 goals scored in their last 5.
BTTS: Yes
Three of last five for both teams have seen BTTS. Both defences are below average, and both attacks are scoring regularly.
More Pro League Predictions
The Case For This NEOM vs Al-Hazm Prediction
NEOM host Al-Hazm in a mid-table clash where both teams have shown attacking intent but defensive frailties. NEOM have the edge at home, with a slightly better record and a strong H2H trend in their favour. Al-Hazm's away form is inconsistent, and their defense has been vulnerable all season. Expect a competitive game with goals on both sides, but NEOM's home advantage and recent attacking displays make them slight favourites.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- โNEOM have won 3 of the last 4 H2H meetings.
Attack
- โBoth teams average 1.6 goals scored in last 5 matches.
Defence
- โAl-Hazm concede 1.71 goals/game this season (away: 22 in 14).
Injuries & Team News
- โNo significant injuries reported.
Match Context
- โNEOM's home record is better than Al-Hazm's away record.
- โHigh over 2.5 goal percentages for both teams.
๐ฉ NEOM vs Al-Hazm Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.6 corners for NEOM and 4.9 for Al-Hazm, for an expected total of 9.5. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (53%). Over 8.5: 60% ยท Over 10.5: 35%.
How NEOM and Al-Hazm Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
NEOM vs Al-Hazm Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals รท 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
NEOMlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet โ available after predictions are regenerated.
Al-Hazmlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet โ available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
NEOM vs Al-Hazm โ Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack โ 15 shots/game
Strengths
- +Solid recent form โ 3+ wins in last 5
What History Says: NEOM vs Al-Hazm
NEOM vs Al-Hazm Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings between these sides
3
NEOM wins
1
Draws
1
Al-Hazm wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: NEOM vs Al-Hazm
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per ยฃ1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per ยฃ1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate โ always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: NEOM vs Al-Hazm
- โ ๏ธNo bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- โ ๏ธSome away team recent match stats missing (shots, possession, etc.), reducing model confidence.
- โ ๏ธBoth teams are mid-table with limited motivation, which can lead to unpredictable performances.
- โ ๏ธSmall H2H sample size.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for NEOM vs Al-Hazm: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 21 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes โ see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.