NorthEast United vs Goa Predictions
Indian Super League · India
NorthEast United
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Goa
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Recommended Bets: NorthEast United vs Goa
NorthEast United vs Goa: Match Preview
NorthEast United arrive in strong early-season form, unbeaten through five league matches and sitting second in the table. Their defensive record is the standout: just two goals conceded, three clean sheets in the last five, and only one match where they've failed to score. Goa, meanwhile, have been less consistent, with one win from four and a negative goal difference, but have managed to find the net in every league outing so far.
The statistical matchup is defined by NorthEast United's defensive discipline against a Goa side that creates chances but struggles to convert them into dominant scorelines. NorthEast United are averaging 12.4 shots and 5.2 on target per game over their last five, while Goa's shot output is lower (9.6 total, 2.4 on target) and their defence has yet to keep a clean sheet. Both teams have a tendency to score in the first half (four first-half goals each in their last five), but NorthEast United's matches rarely open up into high-scoring affairs (just one over 2.5 goals in five).
Given these rates, the model expects a balanced contest with limited clear chances. The likeliest scenario is a low-scoring draw, with NorthEast United's defensive structure preventing Goa from building momentum, but Goa's record of scoring in every match suggesting they will find a way through. The distribution of probable outcomes is heavily weighted towards 1-1 and 1-0/0-1, with little evidence for a goalfest.
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS: Yes
44%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 0-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
NorthEast United vs Goa Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind NorthEast United vs Goa that most previews miss.
- 1NorthEast United's clean sheet rate (60%) is the second highest in the league after five matches.
- 2Goa have seen both teams score in all four of their league matches, with a BTTS rate of 100%.
- 3The last ten head-to-heads have produced 30 goals (3.0 per game), but only two of the last five have gone over 2.5 goals.
Who do you think wins: NorthEast United vs Goa?
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Where the Model Sees Value: NorthEast United vs Goa(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Only 20% of NorthEast United's matches and 50% of Goa's have gone over 2.5 goals this season, with both teams averaging just over 1.5 goals scored per game and NorthEast United conceding only 0.4 per match.
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Correct Score: 1–1
Five of the last ten head-to-head meetings have ended in a draw, and both teams have drawn multiple matches already this season with similar scoring rates.
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More Indian Super League Predictions
The Case For This NorthEast United vs Goa Prediction
Statistical signals point to a tightly contested match, with NorthEast United's defensive solidity (0.4 goals conceded per game, 60% clean sheet rate) offset by Goa's consistent ability to score in every league match so far. Both sides have shown a tendency towards low-scoring, competitive games, and the distribution of results in the head-to-head history further supports a high draw probability.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Five of the last ten meetings between these sides have ended level, with three finishing 1-1 or 2-2.
Defence
- →NorthEast United have conceded just two goals in five league matches, with three clean sheets in their last five.
- →Goa have scored in every league match but have yet to keep a clean sheet this season.
🚩 NorthEast United vs Goa Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for NorthEast United and 4.5 for Goa, for an expected total of 9.3. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 59% · Over 10.5: 33%.
How NorthEast United and Goa Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
NorthEast United vs Goa Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
NorthEast Unitedlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Goalast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
NorthEast United are unbeaten in five, with three wins and two draws, conceding just twice and keeping three clean sheets. Goa's form is mixed, with one win, two draws, and one defeat, but they have scored in every league match and have yet to keep a clean sheet.
NorthEast United vs Goa — Last 5 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +60% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: NorthEast United vs Goa
The last ten meetings have produced five draws, with both sides winning twice each. Scorelines have often been close, with three 1-1 or 2-2 draws and only two matches settled by more than one goal.
NorthEast United vs Goa Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
NorthEast United wins
5
Draws
2
Goa wins
Things to Watch: NorthEast United vs Goa
- ⚠️Small sample size for Goa's away form (only one league away match played).
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available for value or edge analysis.
- ⚠️Early season data may exaggerate defensive or attacking strengths due to limited fixtures.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
NorthEast United 1–1 GoaA 1-1 draw is the statistical baseline, driven by NorthEast United's defensive record (0.4 goals conceded per game) and Goa's consistent, if unspectacular, attacking output. The main risk to this scenario is Goa's tendency for chaotic, high-BTTS matches, but NorthEast United's defensive structure and low over 2.5 rate should keep the scoreline in check.
NorthEast United vs Goa: Common Questions
Who will win NorthEast United vs Goa?
The model gives NorthEast United a 41% chance of victory, Goa 23%, and the draw 36%. Both teams have been difficult to beat, but NorthEast United's defensive record gives them a slight edge at home.
Will both teams score in NorthEast United vs Goa?
There's a 53% probability of both teams scoring, with Goa having scored in every league match and NorthEast United keeping three clean sheets in their last five. The head-to-head history also shows a high BTTS rate.
Is under 2.5 goals a good bet for NorthEast United vs Goa?
Under 2.5 goals is favoured (59% probability), as NorthEast United's matches have gone under in four of five this season and their defensive numbers are among the league's best.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for NorthEast United vs Goa: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.