Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth Predictions
Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 2
Bournemouth
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
Match Result
7/10Forest and Bournemouth Share the Spoils in End-to-End City Ground Finale
Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth played out a 1-1 draw at the City Ground in a lively Premier League encounter that saw both sides create chances but ultimately cancel each other out. Morgan Gibbs-White put Forest ahead in the 34th minute, capping a strong first-half showing from the hosts, but Bournemouth responded early in the second half through Evanilson’s well-taken equaliser in the 54th minute. The match ebbed and flowed, with Forest registering 15 shots (5 on target) and Bournemouth edging possession with 55% and firing 17 shots (4 on target) of their own. Both teams pushed for a winner, but resolute defending and a lack of clinical finishing in the final third meant the points were shared on the final day.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results2/3 hit
Key Moments
34' — Goal
Morgan Gibbs-White opens the scoring for Forest after a well-worked move.
54' — Goal
Evanilson levels for Bournemouth with a composed finish.
67' — Yellow Card
Forest pick up a yellow card as the game grows tense.
73' — Yellow Card
Bournemouth receive a booking as both sides push for a winner.
Nottingham Forest
Forest started brightly in their familiar 4-4-2, pressing energetically and finding joy down the flanks. Their attacking intent was rewarded when Morgan Gibbs-White struck in the 34th minute, giving the home fans hope of a final-day victory. However, Forest struggled to maintain their first-half intensity after the break, with Bournemouth’s midfield gradually seizing control. Despite creating 15 shots and winning 6 corners, Forest couldn’t find a decisive second goal, and their defensive line was breached not long after halftime. Defensively, Forest were largely solid, with Milenković and Morato putting in strong shifts, but they occasionally looked vulnerable to Bournemouth’s quick transitions. The midfield duo of Sangaré and Anderson worked hard, but Forest’s attacking pair of Igor Jesus and Chris Wood found themselves well-marshalled for long stretches.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Bournemouth
Bournemouth’s 4-2-3-1 formation allowed them to dominate possession, especially in the second half, with Tyler Adams and Alex Tóth dictating play from deep. After falling behind, Bournemouth responded well, upping the tempo and finding their reward through Evanilson’s 54th-minute strike. They finished with more shots (17) and looked the likelier to score as the match wore on, but ultimately failed to convert their territorial advantage into a winning goal. Defensively, Senesi and Hill provided stability, while Truffert offered width going forward. Marcus Tavernier and Eli Junior Kroupi were lively in advanced positions, but a lack of cutting edge in the final third prevented Bournemouth from taking all three points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Forest lined up in a classic 4-4-2, focusing on width and direct play, with Hutchinson and Gibbs-White supporting the front two. Their pressing in the first half unsettled Bournemouth, but as the game wore on, the visitors’ 4-2-3-1 allowed them to gain a foothold in midfield. Tyler Adams and Alex Tóth’s double pivot provided a solid base, enabling Bournemouth’s attacking trio to push higher and stretch Forest’s back line. Set pieces were a notable feature for Forest, who won six corners but failed to capitalise. Bournemouth’s approach was more patient, building from the back and seeking to exploit spaces between Forest’s lines. Both managers made tactical tweaks through substitutions, but neither side could find the decisive edge in the final stages.
Turning Point
Evanilson’s equaliser in the 54th minute shifted momentum firmly in Bournemouth’s favour, forcing Forest onto the back foot for much of the second half.
Man of the Match
Morgan Gibbs-White
Scored Forest’s only goal and remained their most creative and dangerous player throughout.
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.55
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
55%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
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Where the Model Sees Value: Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
Both teams have shown a tendency to draw this season (Bournemouth 16, Forest 10 draws), and the H2H record contains several stalemates. Forest are tough to beat at home, while Bournemouth have drawn 7 away games.
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BTTS: Yes
Both teams average 2+ goals scored per game in their last 5, and BTTS has landed in 3 of Bournemouth's last 5 and 2 of Forest's last 5. Defensive records are not watertight.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Season over 2.5 goal rates are high for both (Forest 52.8%, Bournemouth 58.3%), and recent form suggests attacking intent from both sides.
More Premier League Predictions
The Case For This Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth Prediction
Nottingham Forest welcome Bournemouth to the City Ground in a clash between two sides with contrasting league positions but similar recent form. Forest have found some attacking rhythm lately, but their home record is patchy, while Bournemouth are finishing the season strongly, unbeaten in their last five and with a solid away record. Both teams have shown a propensity for goals, and the H2H history suggests Bournemouth have the psychological edge.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Bournemouth unbeaten in last 5 (WWDWW), Forest also in good form (DLWWW)
- →Bournemouth have dominated H2H: 6 wins, 4 draws in last 10 vs Forest
Attack
- →Both teams average 2 goals scored per game in their last 5 matches
Injuries & Team News
- →No major injuries for either side
Match Context
- →Forest's home record is weak (4W, 7D, 7L); Bournemouth solid away (6W, 7D, 5L)
🚩 Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 3.5 corners for Nottingham Forest and 6 for Bournemouth, for an expected total of 9.5. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 61% · Over 10.5: 35%.
How Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Nottingham Forestlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Bournemouthlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Forest have found momentum late in the season, with three wins and a draw in their last five, including an impressive 3-1 away win at Chelsea. Bournemouth are also in strong form, unbeaten in five and winning four, including away victories at Arsenal and Newcastle. Both teams look confident in attack but Forest's home record remains a concern.
Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
What History Says: Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth
Bournemouth have been Forest's bogey team, with six wins and four draws in the last ten meetings. Notably, Bournemouth have won on their last two visits to the City Ground, and Forest have failed to register a single win in this fixture in recent years. Draws are not uncommon, but Bournemouth's away threat is clear.
Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
0
Nottingham Forest wins
4
Draws
6
Bournemouth wins
Things to Watch: Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, corners, etc.) missing for recent games
- ⚠️Final round of the season may see unpredictable motivation or rotated squads
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.