Odense vs Vejle Predictions
Superliga · Denmark
Odense
Full Time
0 - 1
AI predicted 2 - 1
Vejle
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.9(+1% edge)
Match Result
7.2/10Vejle Stun Odense Early, Hold On for Smash-and-Grab Away Win
Vejle pulled off a classic away upset at Nature Energy Park, snatching a 1-0 victory over Odense despite being under siege for much of the match. The visitors struck early through J. Duin in the 5th minute and then defended doggedly, weathering relentless pressure from the hosts. Odense dominated possession with 67% and fired 16 shots (7 on target), but could not find a way past T. H. Jakobsen and a resolute Vejle backline. Despite Odense's territorial and statistical superiority, Vejle’s disciplined 4-2-3-1 formation and well-timed interventions frustrated the home side. Odense’s attacking duo of N. Ganaus and J. Niemiec were repeatedly denied, while Vejle’s rare forays forward nearly doubled their lead, but ultimately it was their defensive effort that secured all three points.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
0 - 1
💰 Bet Results0/3 hit
Key Moments
5' — Goal
J. Duin finishes clinically to give Vejle a shock early lead.
22' — Yellow Card
C. Sorensen (Vejle) booked for a late tackle as Odense pressed forward.
39' — Yellow Card
R. Falk (Odense) cautioned for dissent in a heated midfield exchange.
55' — Yellow Card
M. Vestergaard (Vejle) shown yellow for time-wasting as Vejle defend their lead.
70' — Odense Pressure
Odense pile on the pressure, forcing multiple corners and shots on target, but are denied by Jakobsen.
Odense
Odense controlled the match from start to finish, bossing possession and creating a flurry of chances—16 shots in total, with 7 on target. Their midfield trio dictated play, and they won 8 corners as they pressed for an equalizer. However, a lack of clinical finishing and some inspired goalkeeping from the opposition left them frustrated. The early concession forced them to chase the game, but despite their dominance, the breakthrough never arrived.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Vejle
Vejle executed their game plan to perfection: an early goal from J. Duin gave them the lead, and from there they absorbed wave after wave of Odense pressure. Limited to just 5 shots (1 on target), they focused on defensive organization, with the back four and midfield shield working tirelessly. Goalkeeper T. H. Jakobsen was outstanding, making several crucial saves. Their discipline was tested, picking up two yellow cards, but they held firm to claim a valuable away win.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Odense set up in a 4-3-1-2, looking to dominate the midfield and attack through the center, which they did effectively in terms of possession and territorial advantage. Their full-backs pushed high, and the midfield trio orchestrated play, but the lack of width and a packed Vejle defense made clear-cut chances hard to come by. Vejle's 4-2-3-1 was compact and disciplined, with the two holding midfielders screening the back four and the wingers dropping deep to help out defensively. After taking the lead, Vejle sat deeper, ceding possession and relying on quick transitions and set pieces for rare attacking moments. Substitutions (not detailed in the data) may have been used to inject fresh legs, but the tactical story was Odense’s probing against a well-organized low block. Vejle’s time management and tactical fouls disrupted Odense’s rhythm, and their defensive line held firm under intense late pressure.
Turning Point
J. Duin's 5th-minute goal allowed Vejle to sit deep and play on their terms, forcing Odense to chase the game.
Man of the Match
T. H. Jakobsen
Produced several crucial saves to preserve Vejle's lead in the face of relentless Odense attacks.
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Expected goals · model says 2.00
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS: Yes
58%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Odense vs Vejle Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Odense vs Vejle?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Odense vs Vejle(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.9
The model gives a 27% chance to the draw, slightly above the implied probability from the odds. Both teams have a history of close games and Odense have been inconsistent, while Vejle have drawn 5 away matches this season.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Odense matches see over 2.5 goals 73% of the time this season, and both teams' defences concede frequently. Recent H2H also show open games.
BTTS: Yes@ 1.67
Both teams have scored in 4 of Odense's last 5 and Vejle's attack has shown some life, but the value is marginal at current odds.
More Superliga Predictions
The Case For This Odense vs Vejle Prediction
Odense host Vejle in a clash where the home side are clear favourites but have shown defensive vulnerabilities, while Vejle's away record is poor but they are coming off a morale-boosting win. Expect an open game with chances for both sides, but Odense's superior attacking output and home advantage should see them edge it.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Recent H2H matches have often been high-scoring and competitive.
Defence
- →Odense average 1.8 goals scored and conceded per game in their last 5, showing high-scoring, open matches.
- →Vejle have failed to win away all season (0W 5D 10L), conceding 34 in 15 away games.
- →Odense have a strong home scoring record (28 in 15 home games) but a leaky defence (29 conceded).
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries for either team.
🚩 Odense vs Vejle Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.2 corners for Odense and 4.2 for Vejle, for an expected total of 10.4. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (59%). Over 8.5: 71% · Over 10.5: 47%.
How Odense and Vejle Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Odense vs Vejle Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Odenselast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Vejlelast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Odense have alternated wins and losses in their last five, with a form string of LWLWL, indicating inconsistency but also attacking threat (1.8 goals/game). Vejle snapped a four-game losing streak with a home win last time out, but their away form remains dreadful and they've struggled for goals on the road.
Odense vs Vejle — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 71.88% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: Odense vs Vejle
The last 10 meetings have slightly favoured Vejle (6 wins), but Odense have been stronger at home, winning 3-0 in the last such fixture. Scorelines are often open, with both teams finding the net in several recent clashes.
Odense vs Vejle Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Odense wins
1
Draws
6
Vejle wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Odense vs Vejle
There is a small value edge on the draw at current odds, reflecting Odense's inconsistency and Vejle's tendency to draw away. The BTTS market is close to fair value, while the away win is overpriced given Vejle's away struggles. Over 2.5 goals would be a value play if odds are above 1.60.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Odense vs Vejle
- ⚠️No current odds for over/under markets, so value cannot be precisely calculated.
- ⚠️Some missing match stats for recent games may affect the accuracy of shot/corner projections.
- ⚠️Vejle's motivation and lineup rotation risk as they are bottom of the table.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Odense vs Vejle: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.