Oleksandria vs Kryvbas KR Predictions
Premier League · Ukraine
Oleksandria
Full Time
1 - 1
AI predicted 0 - 2
Kryvbas KR
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Kryvbas KR Win
@ 1.59(+2% edge)
Match Result
6.8/10Late Drama as Oleksandria and Kryvbas KR Share the Spoils in 1-1 Draw
Oleksandria and Kryvbas KR played out a tense 1-1 draw at CSC Nika Stadium, with both sides leaving it late to find the net in a match that simmered before bursting into life in the final 20 minutes. After a cagey first half where clear-cut chances were at a premium, Kryvbas KR broke the deadlock in the 70th minute, only for Oleksandria to respond with an equalizer ten minutes from time. Both teams struggled to assert themselves for large spells, but the closing stages delivered drama as tactical tweaks and substitutions injected fresh impetus. Ultimately, neither side could find a decisive winner, leaving the points shared in a result that reflected the balance of play.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
0 - 2
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results0/1 hit
Key Moments
70' — Goal
Kryvbas KR open the scoring, capitalizing on a rare defensive lapse from Oleksandria.
81' — Goal
Oleksandria equalize, showing resilience and renewed attacking intent.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Oleksandria receive two yellow cards, Kryvbas KR one, reflecting the match's competitive edge.
Oleksandria
Oleksandria set up in a 4-1-4-1 formation, prioritizing midfield solidity and defensive organization. They kept their shape well for much of the contest, but struggled to create sustained attacking pressure until falling behind. The introduction of more attacking intent in the final stages paid off, as they found a late equalizer to salvage a point. Discipline was tested, as they picked up two yellow cards in a physical encounter.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Kryvbas KR
Kryvbas KR deployed a 4-3-3 formation, looking to use width and midfield control to unsettle the hosts. Their patience was rewarded with a breakthrough in the 70th minute, but they were unable to hold onto their lead under late pressure. The side maintained good discipline, collecting only one yellow card, and showed flashes of attacking quality, though they ultimately could not kill the game off.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Oleksandria's 4-1-4-1 formation prioritized compactness in midfield, with D. Vashchenko anchoring and supporting the back four. Their approach limited Kryvbas KR's space between the lines but initially lacked penetration going forward. Kryvbas KR's 4-3-3 looked to stretch the play, using the wide areas to probe Oleksandria's flanks. After taking the lead, Kryvbas KR appeared to drop deeper, inviting pressure, which eventually led to the equalizer. Substitutions and a late tactical shift from Oleksandria injected more urgency and numbers into attack, ultimately paying dividends. Set pieces and transitions were key battlegrounds, but neither side could capitalize consistently. The match's tempo increased notably after the opening goal, with both managers reacting to the changing state of play.
Turning Point
Oleksandria's equalizer in the 81st minute, which shifted momentum and ensured a share of the spoils.
Man of the Match
P. Yade
Provided energy and creativity in midfield, instrumental in Oleksandria's late push and equalizer.
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Expected goals · model says 0.80
Expected goals · model says 2.00
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS: Yes
48%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 0-2 · 1-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Oleksandria vs Kryvbas KR Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Oleksandria vs Kryvbas KR?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Oleksandria vs Kryvbas KR(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Kryvbas KR Win@ 1.59
Kryvbas KR are in strong form (WWDLW), have a much better away record than Oleksandria's home record, and face a home side with just 2 wins all season and a -36 goal difference. Model probability (0.65) is slightly above the implied probability.
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BTTS: No
Oleksandria have failed to score in 2 of their last 5, average just 0.74 goals per game, and have the lowest clean sheet rate in the league. Kryvbas KR have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 5 and are likely to keep Oleksandria out.
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Correct Score: 0–2
This is the model's most likely correct score, reflecting Kryvbas KR's attacking strength and Oleksandria's defensive frailty.
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The Case For This Oleksandria vs Kryvbas KR Prediction
Kryvbas KR travel to Oleksandria as clear favourites, with the home side mired in a long winless run and struggling at both ends of the pitch. Kryvbas KR's attack has been prolific recently, while Oleksandria's defence continues to leak goals. With both form and league position strongly favouring the visitors, a comfortable away win is anticipated.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Oleksandria have lost 4 of their last 5 and are on a 3-game losing streak.
- →Kryvbas KR are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 (WWDLW) and have scored 3+ goals in 3 of those matches.
Defence
- →Oleksandria's home record is dire: 2 wins, 1 draw, 11 losses, 8 goals scored, 30 conceded.
- →Kryvbas KR's away record is solid: 5 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses, 21 goals scored, 23 conceded.
- →Oleksandria average just 0.74 goals scored per game and have the lowest clean sheet % in the league (3.7%).
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries for either side.
How Oleksandria and Kryvbas KR Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Oleksandria vs Kryvbas KR Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Oleksandrialast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Kryvbas KRlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Oleksandria enter this match in poor form, having lost four of their last five and conceding heavily, including back-to-back 3-0 home defeats. Kryvbas KR, on the other hand, are on a strong run with three wins and a draw in their last five, highlighted by a 3-1 away win at Veres Rivne and a 3-3 draw away to SK Poltava.
Oleksandria vs Kryvbas KR — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
What History Says: Oleksandria vs Kryvbas KR
The last ten meetings are almost even, but recent results have swung towards Kryvbas KR, who won the last meeting 3-0 at home. The last three matches have all ended with a clean sheet for the winner, suggesting a trend towards one-sided scorelines.
Oleksandria vs Kryvbas KR Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Oleksandria wins
3
Draws
3
Kryvbas KR wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Oleksandria vs Kryvbas KR
The away win is priced close to model probability, offering a very slight edge. There is no value on the draw or home win at current odds. With no odds available for BTTS or total goals, value cannot be determined in those markets.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Oleksandria vs Kryvbas KR
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, possession, corners) are missing for several recent games, reducing model granularity.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds for goal or BTTS markets, so value cannot be precisely calculated for those.
- ⚠️End-of-season motivation/rotation risk not fully quantifiable from provided data.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Oleksandria vs Kryvbas KR: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.