Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
Olimpija Ljubljana
Full Time
2 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 2
NK Slaven Belupo
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Match Result
7/10Olimpija Ljubljana Battle Back to Edge Slaven Belupo in Entertaining Friendly
Olimpija Ljubljana staged an impressive turnaround to secure a 2-1 victory over NK Slaven Belupo in this international club friendly. The visitors struck early, but Olimpija responded with resilience, netting twice to overturn the deficit and claim the win. The match provided plenty of attacking intent from both sides, with the hosts ultimately showing greater composure in front of goal. Slaven Belupo took the lead in just the 3rd minute, catching Olimpija cold. However, the home side grew into the contest, equalizing in the 15th minute and then seizing control after the break. The decisive moment arrived in the 61st minute, when Olimpija found the net again to complete their comeback. Despite both teams pushing forward, no further goals were scored, and Olimpija Ljubljana held on for a deserved victory.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
2 - 1
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
3' — Goal
NK Slaven Belupo take the lead with an early strike.
15' — Goal
Olimpija Ljubljana level the match with a well-worked equalizer.
61' — Goal
Olimpija Ljubljana complete the comeback, scoring what proves to be the winner.
Olimpija Ljubljana
Olimpija Ljubljana showed impressive character after conceding an early goal, gradually asserting themselves and dictating the tempo for much of the match. Their attacking play was rewarded with a well-taken equalizer in the 15th minute, and they continued to probe Slaven Belupo's defense before finally taking the lead just after the hour mark. The hosts managed the closing stages effectively, denying their opponents a route back into the game.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
NK Slaven Belupo
NK Slaven Belupo made the perfect start with a goal inside three minutes, but struggled to maintain their early momentum. Although they competed well and created chances, their inability to capitalize after going ahead proved costly. The defense was eventually breached twice, and despite their efforts, they couldn't find a way back into the match after falling behind.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With detailed lineups unavailable, both teams appeared to favor an attacking approach, as evidenced by the early and frequent goals. Olimpija Ljubljana's ability to recover from an early setback suggests tactical flexibility and strong in-game management. The hosts pressed higher after conceding, gradually pinning Slaven Belupo back and exploiting defensive gaps. Slaven Belupo, meanwhile, started brightly but became more reactive after their opener, struggling to regain control once Olimpija seized the initiative. The absence of cards suggests a friendly but competitive spirit, with both sides focusing on open play rather than physicality.
Turning Point
Olimpija Ljubljana's equalizer in the 15th minute shifted the momentum, allowing the home side to settle and eventually take control of the match.
Man of the Match
Olimpija Ljubljana Goal Scorer (61')
Scored the decisive goal and played a key role in the comeback victory.
Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo: Match Preview
Olimpija Ljubljana come into this friendly off a mixed run in their domestic league, with three wins in their last five but only one clean sheet and a negative goal difference across the season. NK Slaven Belupo, meanwhile, have been involved in high-scoring games all year, with 26 goals scored and 23 conceded in 11 matches, and a recent form line of DLWWL. With no league points at stake, both sides may approach this as an opportunity to experiment, but the underlying scoring rates remain relevant.
Statistically, the matchup is shaped by Slaven Belupo's prolific attack and leaky defence. They average 2.36 goals scored per game and have seen 91% of their matches go over 2.5 goals. Olimpija have improved defensively in their last five (0.6 conceded per game), but their home record is less convincing, conceding eight in five. Both teams tend to do their scoring in the second half, and neither side has been reliable for clean sheets—Slaven Belupo's clean sheet rate sits at just 9%.
The model expects a match with above-average goal volume, with Slaven Belupo's attacking output likely to be the difference. The most probable outcomes are a narrow away win or a draw, with 1-2 and 2-2 the likeliest correct scores. The main caveat is the friendly setting, which could see reduced intensity or squad rotation, but the statistical profile points clearly towards goals.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.50
Expected goals · model says 1.80
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
BTTS: Yes
65%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 2-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo that most previews miss.
- 1Slaven Belupo's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 10 of 11 this season (91%).
- 2Olimpija Ljubljana have scored just 2 of their last 8 goals in the first half, with 75% coming after the break.
- 3Slaven Belupo average only 2.4 shots on target per game in their last five, despite scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Who do you think wins: Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
NK Slaven Belupo's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 10 of 11 this season (91%), and Olimpija Ljubljana have seen 67% over 2.5, with both sides averaging above 2 goals scored/conceded per game.
Read more ↓
Match Result: NK Slaven Belupo Win
NK Slaven Belupo's season scoring rate (2.36 per game) and Olimpija's home defensive record (8 conceded in 5) tilt the probabilities towards the visitors, despite the neutral venue.
Read more ↓
More Friendlies Clubs Predictions
The Case For This Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo Prediction
Statistically, this friendly is set up for an open contest. NK Slaven Belupo's season-long scoring and concession rates (2.36 for, 2.09 against per game) point to a high goal environment, while Olimpija Ljubljana's recent defensive improvement (just 0.6 conceded per game in their last five) is offset by a season record of 1.5 conceded per match. Both sides have a strong over 2.5 trend: 91% for Slaven Belupo, 67% for Olimpija. The matchup is defined by Slaven Belupo's attack, which has produced 26 goals in 11 matches, against an Olimpija side that has kept just one home clean sheet in their last five. Conversely, Olimpija's attack has found some rhythm lately (1.6 goals per game last five), but Slaven Belupo's defensive numbers are even more porous, with just one clean sheet in their last five and a 9% clean sheet rate all season. Both teams tend to score more after the break (Olimpija: 6/8 last five goals in second half; Slaven Belupo: 6/9). Given these rates, the model expects chances at both ends, with Slaven Belupo's higher attacking ceiling likely to be decisive. The likeliest scorelines cluster around 1-2 and 2-2, with a draw or narrow away win most probable. The main risk is a more cautious approach due to the friendly context, but the underlying numbers favour goals and an edge to the Croatian side.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →NK Slaven Belupo have averaged 2.36 goals scored and 2.09 conceded per match this season.
- →Olimpija Ljubljana have kept just one clean sheet in their last five home matches.
Match Context
- →Over 2.5 goals has landed in 91% of Slaven Belupo's matches and 67% of Olimpija's.
🚩 Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for Olimpija Ljubljana and 5.2 for NK Slaven Belupo, for an expected total of 10.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (57%). Over 8.5: 69% · Over 10.5: 44%.
How Olimpija Ljubljana and NK Slaven Belupo Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Olimpija Ljubljanalast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
NK Slaven Belupolast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Olimpija Ljubljana have won three of their last five, but defensive frailty persists with only one clean sheet in that span. NK Slaven Belupo's recent results are mixed, but their matches are consistently high-scoring, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.4 against in the last five. Both sides arrive with attacking momentum but defensive questions.
Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Over 2.5 goals in 71.43% of games this season
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 91.67% of games this season
What History Says: Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo
There is no head-to-head data available for these teams, so no historical trends can be drawn for this matchup.
Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
1
Olimpija Ljubljana wins
0
Draws
0
NK Slaven Belupo wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo
With no bookmaker odds available, the model cannot identify clear value edges. However, the probability estimates suggest over 2.5 goals and the away win would be worth monitoring for value if market prices become available, given the strong statistical backing for both outcomes.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value and expected value cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️No head-to-head or standings data; model relies solely on season and recent form rates.
- ⚠️Friendly context introduces motivation and rotation uncertainty.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Olimpija Ljubljana 1–2 NK Slaven BelupoThe model projects a 2-1 win for NK Slaven Belupo, primarily on the strength of their season-long scoring rate (2.36 per game) and Olimpija's vulnerability at home. The biggest risk to this outcome is a lower-intensity approach typical of friendlies, which could suppress goal volume or see more rotation than usual.
Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo: Common Questions
Who will win Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo?
NK Slaven Belupo are favoured with a 40% probability of victory, compared to 26% for Olimpija Ljubljana and 34% for the draw. The edge comes from Slaven Belupo's superior attacking output this season.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo?
The model assigns a 68% probability to over 2.5 goals, reflecting both teams' high-scoring trends—Slaven Belupo have seen 91% of their matches go over this line, and Olimpija 67%.
Are both teams likely to score in Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Both teams to score is rated at 59%, as neither side has been reliable for clean sheets (Olimpija 17%, Slaven Belupo 9% clean sheet rates) and both average over a goal per game.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 30 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo Resources
Olimpija Ljubljana Predictions
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NK Slaven Belupo Predictions
All NK Slaven Belupo fixtures & tips
Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
Friendlies Clubs Predictions
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results