Orgryte IS vs BK Hacken Predictions
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Orgryte IS
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 2
BK Hacken
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: BK Hacken Win
Match Result
9.1/10Orgryte Edge Seven-Goal Thriller Against BK Hacken in Gothenburg Classic
In a pulsating encounter at Gamla Ullevi, Orgryte IS triumphed 4-3 over BK Hacken in a match that will live long in the memory of Allsvenskan fans. The hosts struck early and late, with goals in the 5th and 87th minutes bookending a contest full of twists, momentum swings, and attacking verve from both sides. Despite Hacken's dominance in possession (61%) and a barrage of 19 shots, Orgryte's clinical finishing and resilience proved decisive. The match saw both teams exchange blows throughout, with Hacken twice coming from behind but ultimately falling short. Orgryte's defensive line, deployed in a 5-3-2, weathered the storm and capitalized on key moments, while Hacken's expansive 4-2-3-1 formation created chances but left them vulnerable at the back. The result lifts Orgryte and provides a statement performance against one of the league's most enterprising sides.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
4 - 3
💰 Bet Results2/3 hit
Key Moments
5' — Goal
Tobias Sana opens the scoring for Orgryte, finishing off a swift move.
12' — Goal
Gustav Lindgren equalizes for Hacken after sustained pressure.
41' — Goal
Mikkel Rygaard puts Hacken ahead with a well-taken finish.
70' — Goal
Noah Christoffersson levels for Orgryte, sparking a dramatic final 20 minutes.
75' — Goal
Orgryte retake the lead, capitalizing on a defensive lapse from Hacken.
77' — Goal
Hacken hit back immediately to make it 3-3, setting up a grandstand finish.
87' — Goal
Orgryte strike late to seal a thrilling 4-3 victory.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Both teams pick up two yellow cards each in a fiercely contested match.
Orgryte IS
Orgryte IS delivered a gutsy and opportunistic display, making the most of their 39% possession by converting four of their 15 shots, five of which were on target. The back five absorbed significant pressure, while the midfield trio worked tirelessly to disrupt Hacken's rhythm. Their ability to strike early and respond to Hacken's goals with quickfire replies was crucial, particularly in the second half when they scored twice within seven minutes to reclaim the lead. Key defensive interventions and a late surge in attack defined Orgryte's performance. Their discipline (matching Hacken's 13 fouls and only two yellows) and set-piece threat from five corners kept them competitive throughout.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
BK Hacken
BK Hacken will rue their missed chances after dominating possession (61%) and registering 19 shots, nine of them on target. Their 4-2-3-1 setup allowed for fluid attacking play, with the midfield trio pulling strings and creating opportunities. Goals in the 12th, 41st, and 77th minutes showcased their ability to respond, but defensive lapses and an inability to close out the match after drawing level ultimately cost them. Despite their attacking intent and eight corners, Hacken's backline struggled to contain Orgryte's counter-attacks, particularly in the closing stages. Their discipline matched Orgryte's, but they lacked the killer instinct in both boxes to secure at least a point.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Orgryte IS set up in a compact 5-3-2 formation, prioritizing defensive solidity and looking to hit Hacken on the break. Their wing-backs dropped deep to form a back five, frustrating Hacken's creative midfielders and forcing play wide. The midfield trio worked hard to close down spaces, while the front two pressed selectively, waiting for opportunities to counter. BK Hacken's 4-2-3-1 formation allowed them to dominate possession and dictate the tempo, with the double pivot providing a platform for the attacking midfielders to interchange and create overloads. However, their commitment to attack left gaps in transition, which Orgryte exploited, especially late on. Both sides made tactical substitutions to inject energy, but it was Orgryte's adjustments that proved decisive in the closing stages.
Turning Point
Orgryte's 87th-minute goal, coming against the run of play, sealed the win and broke Hacken's resistance after a breathless exchange of goals.
Man of the Match
Tobias Sana
Set the tone with an early goal and remained a constant threat, driving Orgryte's attack and providing leadership in key moments.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Expected goals · model says 1.90
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS: Yes
55%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Orgryte IS vs BK Hacken Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Orgryte IS vs BK Hacken?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Orgryte IS vs BK Hacken(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: BK Hacken Win
BK Hacken are unbeaten in the league, have a strong away record (2W, 3D, 0L), and Orgryte IS are winless at home and bottom of the table. The form, attack/defence metrics, and league position all heavily favor the away side.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have high over 2.5 goal percentages (Orgryte 50%, Hacken 60%), and recent matches for both sides have seen goals at both ends. Defensive frailties for Orgryte and attacking strength for Hacken support this.
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes
Orgryte have scored in 3 of their last 5, and Hacken have failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their last 5. Both teams to score has landed in 3 of Orgryte's and 4 of Hacken's last 5.
Read more ↓
More Allsvenskan Predictions
The Case For This Orgryte IS vs BK Hacken Prediction
BK Hacken travel to bottom-placed Orgryte IS as heavy favorites, boasting an unbeaten league record and a potent attack. Orgryte continue to struggle, especially defensively, conceding at a rate of 2.5 goals per game this season and still searching for a first home win. Expect Hacken to dominate possession and chances, but Orgryte's ability to find the net at home means both sides could get on the scoresheet in a match likely to feature goals.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →BK Hacken are unbeaten (5W, 5D) with a strong away record (2W, 3D, 0L, 8GF, 5GA).
Defence
- →Orgryte IS are winless at home (0W, 3D, 2L) and have the league's worst defence (25 conceded in 10).
- →Orgryte average 1.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game; Hacken average 2.0 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Orgryte's last 5: LDLLL; Hacken's last 5: LWDWW (loss only in friendly).
- →Both teams have high over 2.5 goal rates (Orgryte 50%, Hacken 60%).
🚩 Orgryte IS vs BK Hacken Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for Orgryte IS and 5.6 for BK Hacken, for an expected total of 10.6. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (61%). Over 8.5: 73% · Over 10.5: 49%.
How Orgryte IS and BK Hacken Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Orgryte IS vs BK Hacken Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Orgryte ISlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
BK Hackenlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Orgryte IS are in poor form, winless in their last five league matches (LDLLL) and struggling defensively, conceding 13 goals in that span. BK Hacken, meanwhile, are unbeaten in the league this season, picking up three wins and two draws in their last five, and showing consistent attacking output.
Orgryte IS vs BK Hacken — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 2.6 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 14 shots/game
What History Says: Orgryte IS vs BK Hacken
The head-to-head record is sparse, with only two friendlies in the last four years: a 2-2 draw and a 2-0 Hacken win. While not highly predictive, these results suggest Hacken have generally had the upper hand.
Orgryte IS vs BK Hacken Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
0
Orgryte IS wins
1
Draws
1
BK Hacken wins
Things to Watch: Orgryte IS vs BK Hacken
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available for value edge calculations or expected value.
- ⚠️Limited head-to-head data (only two friendlies, no recent league meetings).
- ⚠️Orgryte's attack has shown some life at home, which could pose a risk to a clean Hacken win.
- ⚠️Recent form for both includes friendlies, which may not fully reflect competitive match intensity.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Orgryte IS vs BK Hacken: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 4 July 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.