Orgryte IS vs Halmstad Predictions
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Orgryte IS
Full Time
1 - 1
AI predicted 2 - 0
Halmstad
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: No
Match Result
6.7/10Stalemate at Gamla Ullevi: Orgryte and Halmstad Share the Spoils in Tight Contest
Orgryte IS and Halmstad played out a hard-fought 1-1 draw at Gamla Ullevi, with both sides showing flashes of quality but ultimately unable to find a decisive breakthrough. The hosts struck first in the 24th minute, capitalizing on their early dominance in possession, but Halmstad responded well, leveling the score before halftime. Both teams had opportunities to claim all three points, but resolute defending and a lack of clinical finishing kept the scoreline locked. Orgryte enjoyed a slight edge in possession (53%) and managed five shots on target from their eleven efforts. Halmstad, meanwhile, were more prolific in getting into shooting positions, registering twelve attempts, but only two tested the goalkeeper. The match was evenly contested throughout, with neither side able to assert clear superiority after the interval, resulting in a fair share of the points.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
2 - 0
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
24' — Goal
Orgryte IS open the scoring after sustained pressure.
38' — Goal
Halmstad equalize with a well-taken finish, shifting the momentum.
52' — Yellow Card
Halmstad receive the game's first booking, highlighting the growing intensity.
67' — Yellow Card
Orgryte IS pick up a yellow card as both teams battle for control.
Orgryte IS
Orgryte IS started brightly, using their 3-4-3 formation to control the midfield and press Halmstad high up the pitch. Their efforts were rewarded with the opening goal in the 24th minute, and they looked the more composed side for much of the first half. However, they struggled to maintain their lead, conceding an equalizer before the break. Despite creating several promising chances (five shots on target), Orgryte couldn't find a second goal, and their attacking momentum waned in the latter stages. Defensively, Orgryte were generally solid, conceding only two shots on target, but their inability to capitalize on periods of dominance ultimately cost them the win.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Halmstad
Halmstad set up in a traditional 4-4-2, looking to stay compact and exploit spaces on the break. After a slow start and conceding the opener, they gradually grew into the game, equalizing in the 38th minute thanks to a well-worked move. Halmstad were more direct in their approach, generating twelve shots, but with only two on target, their finishing left much to be desired. The visitors defended resolutely in the face of Orgryte's pressure and threatened from set pieces, winning six corners. Their tactical discipline and ability to respond after falling behind were notable, but a lack of cutting edge in the final third prevented them from snatching victory.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Orgryte IS's 3-4-3 formation allowed them to dominate the central areas and build attacks through midfield, with wing-backs pushing high to provide width. Their pressing game disrupted Halmstad's early rhythm, but after conceding, the hosts found it harder to break down a compact Halmstad defense. Halmstad's 4-4-2 shape offered defensive solidity and made them dangerous on the counter, especially after the equalizer. Their reliance on set pieces (six corners) was evident, but they struggled to create open-play chances, with most of their shots coming from outside the box or under pressure.
Turning Point
Halmstad's equalizer in the 38th minute shifted the momentum and ensured a balanced second half.
Man of the Match
Tim Rönning
Produced several vital saves to preserve a point for Halmstad, especially in the closing stages.
Orgryte IS vs Halmstad: Match Preview
Orgryte IS and Halmstad meet in a bottom-of-the-table clash at Gamla Ullevi, with both sides desperate for points to escape the relegation zone. Orgryte IS sit 15th with 13 points from 16 matches, but their recent form is marginally better than Halmstad's, including a 3-0 away win at AIK Stockholm and a 4-3 home victory over BK Hacken in their last five. Halmstad, rooted to the foot of the table with just 7 points, have not won in seven matches and have scored only once in their last five outings.
The statistical matchup is defined by Orgryte IS' home attack (1.75 goals per home game) against Halmstad's leaky away defence (2.29 conceded per away game). Halmstad's attacking woes are acute: just 0.71 goals per away match, and four blanks in their last five overall. Orgryte IS are defensively fragile, conceding 2.31 per game, but have kept two clean sheets in their last five and limit opponents to an average of 4 shots on target in that span. Both sides average over 9 corners per game combined, and card rates are moderate, with Orgryte IS at 1.2 yellows per match and Halmstad at 1.4.
The model expects Orgryte IS to control the shot count and create the better chances, with Halmstad's lack of attacking punch likely to decide the contest. A low-scoring home win is favoured, with a 2-0 outcome most probable. The main risk is Orgryte's defensive lapses, but Halmstad's chronic scoring issues—just 11 goals in 16 matches—make a home clean sheet the likelier scenario.
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Expected goals · model says 1.65
Expected goals · model says 0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS: Yes
48%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 2-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Orgryte IS vs Halmstad Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Orgryte IS vs Halmstad that most previews miss.
- 1Halmstad have failed to score before half-time in any of their last five matches and have just one second-half goal in that span.
- 2Orgryte IS' home matches average 3.75 total goals, but Halmstad away games average only 3.0, with the away side scoring just five times in seven trips.
- 3The last three H2H meetings have all produced at least two goals, but only one saw both teams score.
Who do you think wins: Orgryte IS vs Halmstad?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Orgryte IS vs Halmstad(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: No
Halmstad have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 and average just 0.69 goals per game this season, while Orgryte IS have kept two clean sheets in their last five; the model gives 'no' a 67% probability.
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Match Result: Orgryte IS Win
Orgryte IS average 1.75 goals per home game and face a Halmstad side winless away (0W 2D 5L, 5:16 goal difference); the home win probability is 53%.
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More Allsvenskan Predictions
The Case For This Orgryte IS vs Halmstad Prediction
Statistically, this fixture pits the league's two weakest attacks, but Orgryte IS' home scoring rate and Halmstad's chronic away struggles tilt the balance. The expected goal environment is moderate—Orgryte IS average 2.31 conceded per match but 1.75 scored at home, while Halmstad's away output is just 0.71 goals per game. The distribution favours a low-scoring home win, with Halmstad's recent scoring drought and Orgryte's occasional defensive resilience pushing BTTS 'no' as the likeliest outcome.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Halmstad have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches and average only 0.69 goals per game this season.
- →Both teams are bottom two in the table, but Orgryte IS have shown more attacking threat and marginally better recent form.
Defence
- →Orgryte IS have scored 14 goals in 8 home matches (1.75 per game) and face a Halmstad side conceding 2.29 per away game.
🚩 Orgryte IS vs Halmstad Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.2 corners for Orgryte IS and 5.2 for Halmstad, for an expected total of 9.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 59% · Over 10.5: 34%.
How Orgryte IS and Halmstad Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Orgryte IS vs Halmstad Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Orgryte ISlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Halmstadlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Orgryte IS have picked up two wins and a draw in their last five, including a 3-0 away win and a 4-3 home victory, but also suffered a 4-3 home defeat and a goalless draw. Halmstad have lost four of their last five, scoring only once and conceding ten, and are without an away win all season.
Orgryte IS vs Halmstad — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
Strengths
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Orgryte IS vs Halmstad
The last ten meetings are narrowly in Orgryte IS' favour (5 wins to 4), with recent encounters producing a mix of scorelines. Halmstad won the reverse fixture 2-0 in May, but Orgryte IS have taken three of the last five at home.
Orgryte IS vs Halmstad Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
Orgryte IS wins
2
Draws
3
Halmstad wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Orgryte IS vs Halmstad
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture, so value edges cannot be calculated. The model's strongest conviction is on BTTS 'no' and a home win, both supported by the underlying scoring and concession rates.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Orgryte IS vs Halmstad
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges and expected value calculations are omitted.
- ⚠️Both teams' low quality and volatility in defensive performances increase the risk of an outlier scoreline.
- ⚠️Recent H2H results are mixed and include some high-scoring games, though current attacking rates are poor.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Orgryte IS 2–0 HalmstadThe model projects a 2-0 win for Orgryte IS, driven primarily by Halmstad's anaemic attack (0.69 goals per game, four scoreless in five). The likeliest way this goes wrong is if Orgryte's defence, which concedes over two per match, gifts Halmstad a rare goal or two.
Orgryte IS vs Halmstad: Common Questions
Who will win Orgryte IS vs Halmstad?
Orgryte IS are favoured with a 53% probability of victory, compared to 17% for Halmstad and 30% for the draw. This is based on Orgryte's stronger home attack and Halmstad's winless away record.
Will both teams score in Orgryte IS vs Halmstad?
The model gives only a 33% chance of both teams scoring, with Halmstad failing to score in four of their last five and averaging 0.69 goals per game this season.
How many goals are expected in Orgryte IS vs Halmstad?
The most likely outcome is under 2.5 goals (52%), with a predicted score of 2-0. Orgryte IS' home matches average 3.75 goals, but Halmstad's attack is among the league's weakest.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Orgryte IS vs Halmstad: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.