PAOK vs Levadiakos Predictions
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 1
Levadiakos
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Match Result
7.8/10PAOK Dominate Levadiakos with 4-0 Statement Win at Toumba
PAOK delivered a commanding performance at Toumba Stadium, overwhelming Levadiakos 4-0 to kick off their Super League 1 campaign in style. The hosts seized control with two quickfire goals before halftime, then added further gloss to the scoreline with a relentless second-half display. Levadiakos, meanwhile, struggled to find any attacking rhythm, failing to register a single shot on target throughout the 90 minutes. The match saw PAOK's attacking quartet shine, with goals arriving in the 36th, 41st, 72nd, and 89th minutes. Despite Levadiakos' efforts to stay compact in their 4-2-3-1 setup, they were repeatedly undone by PAOK's incisive play and superior possession. The result underlines PAOK's credentials as early title contenders, while Levadiakos will need to regroup after a chastening evening in Thessaloniki.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
4 - 0
Key Moments
36' — Goal
Cherif Ndiaye opens the scoring for PAOK, breaking the deadlock after sustained pressure.
41' — Goal
Andrija Živković doubles PAOK's lead with a well-taken finish.
72' — Goal
Dimitrios Pelkas adds a third, effectively sealing the points for the hosts.
89' — Goal
PAOK cap off the performance with a late fourth to complete the rout.
PAOK
PAOK asserted their dominance from the outset, dictating play with 54% possession and creating the better chances. Their 4-2-3-1 formation allowed for fluid transitions and width, with the midfield duo of Greg Taylor and Tom Louchet controlling the tempo. The attacking trio behind Cherif Ndiaye combined well, leading to four well-taken goals and a comfortable clean sheet for Jiří Pavlenka, who was largely untroubled. Defensively solid and ruthless in attack, PAOK's pressing forced Levadiakos into errors, while their ability to convert chances proved decisive. The late goals reflected both their fitness and tactical discipline, ensuring the result was never in doubt.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Levadiakos
Levadiakos endured a difficult evening, unable to match PAOK's intensity or quality. Their 4-2-3-1 formation was intended to provide defensive stability, but they struggled to contain PAOK's fluid attack and offered little threat going forward. Despite some resolute defending in the opening half hour, they conceded twice before the break, which sapped their confidence. With just six shots and none on target, Levadiakos failed to test Jiří Pavlenka. The midfield was overrun, and the lack of attacking cohesion left Dimitrios Emmanouilidis isolated up front. The team will need to regroup quickly to avoid further setbacks.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
PAOK's 4-2-3-1 provided both defensive cover and attacking impetus, with Greg Taylor and Tom Louchet anchoring midfield and allowing the creative trio of Živković, Pelkas, and Shoretire to interchange and exploit spaces. The full-backs, Jonjoe Kenny and Rahman Baba, offered width, stretching Levadiakos' defensive line. High pressing from the front forced turnovers and led directly to chances. Levadiakos mirrored the formation but lacked the cohesion and technical quality to match PAOK. Their midfield was often bypassed, and the lone striker, Emmanouilidis, was isolated. Attempts to sit deep and play on the counter were thwarted by PAOK's disciplined shape and quick ball recovery. As the match wore on, Levadiakos' defensive structure broke down under sustained pressure.
Turning Point
The quickfire double from Ndiaye and Živković in the 36th and 41st minutes put PAOK firmly in control and left Levadiakos chasing shadows.
Man of the Match
Andrija Živković
Instrumental in attack, scoring a goal and dictating play in the final third.
PAOK vs Levadiakos: Match Preview
PAOK open their league campaign at home following a challenging Europa League qualifier run, arriving with a 'LLWWL' form string and two straight defeats. Their last five matches have seen them average 1.8 goals both scored and conceded, but their home record against Levadiakos is formidable, with eight wins in the last ten meetings. Levadiakos, meanwhile, ended last season with a flourish, winning three of their final five and scoring 2.2 goals per game, though their away form remains inconsistent and they have not kept a clean sheet at Toumba in recent history.
The statistical matchup is defined by Levadiakos’ attacking intent—12.2 shots and 5.6 on target per game recently—but also by their defensive vulnerability, conceding 1.8 goals per match and failing to keep clean sheets consistently. PAOK’s recent shot and corner numbers are unusually low, likely reflecting the quality of European opposition or incomplete data, but their historical home scoring rate against Levadiakos remains high. Both sides trend towards more second-half goals (Levadiakos: 8 second-half goals in last five; PAOK: even split), suggesting the match could open up after the break. Cards are likely, with Levadiakos averaging 3.6 yellows per game recently.
The model projects a moderately high-scoring contest with PAOK’s home edge and Levadiakos’ defensive record tipping the balance. A 2-1 home win is the most probable outcome, with over 2.5 goals a slight favourite and both teams to score rated as a coin flip. The main uncertainty lies in early-season volatility and the lack of current league data, but the historical and recent attacking rates point to goals at both ends.
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Expected goals · model says 1.75
Expected goals · model says 1.00
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
52%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 2-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
PAOK vs Levadiakos Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind PAOK vs Levadiakos that most previews miss.
- 1Levadiakos have scored eight of their last eleven goals in the second half across their last five matches.
- 2PAOK have averaged only 0.4 shots and 1 corner per game in their last five, a likely data quirk but a statistical outlier.
- 3The last five PAOK home games against Levadiakos have produced an average of 3.2 total goals, with PAOK scoring at least twice in four of those.
Who do you think wins: PAOK vs Levadiakos?
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The Case For This PAOK vs Levadiakos Prediction
PAOK return to Toumba Stadium looking to reassert home dominance after a mixed European run, while Levadiakos arrive buoyed by a strong attacking finish to last season but with a patchy away record. Both sides are seeking early traction in the league, with PAOK’s recent home record against Levadiakos—eight wins in the last ten meetings—a key backdrop. The data points to a contest shaped by PAOK’s home advantage and Levadiakos’ high shot volume but defensive frailties. Statistically, PAOK’s last five matches average 1.8 goals scored and conceded per game, but their shot and set-piece output is anomalously low (0.4 shots, 1 corner per game), likely a quirk of Europa League opposition and incomplete data. Levadiakos, meanwhile, have posted 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match in their last five, with a notable 12.2 shots and 5.6 on target per game, but have kept just one clean sheet in that span. Both teams show a tendency to score more after the break—eight second-half goals for Levadiakos in five games, four for PAOK—suggesting a game that could open up late. The model expects PAOK’s superior home record in this fixture and Levadiakos’ defensive looseness to tilt the balance, but the visitors’ recent attacking output keeps the scoreline close. A 2-1 home win is the likeliest outcome, with over 2.5 goals a marginal favourite given both teams’ recent scoring rates and defensive vulnerabilities.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams have scored more goals in the second half than the first in their last five matches (PAOK: 4/4; Levadiakos: 3/8 first/second half split).
Defence
- →Levadiakos average 2.2 goals scored and 12.2 shots per game over their last five matches, but have conceded 1.8 per game and kept only one clean sheet.
Match Context
- →PAOK have won eight of their last ten home matches against Levadiakos, including a 3-0 result in March.
🚩 PAOK vs Levadiakos Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for PAOK and 2.8 for Levadiakos, for an expected total of 7.8. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (74%). Over 8.5: 38% · Over 10.5: 17%.
How PAOK and Levadiakos Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
PAOK vs Levadiakos Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
PAOKlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Levadiakoslast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
PAOK’s recent form is mixed, with two wins and three losses in their last five, including back-to-back defeats in Europe. Levadiakos, by contrast, ended last season with three wins in five and a notable attacking output, but their defensive record remains suspect. Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games and late goals.
PAOK vs Levadiakos — Last 5 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Dominant in possession — 56% avg
What History Says: PAOK vs Levadiakos
PAOK have dominated the head-to-head, winning eight of the last ten meetings and keeping Levadiakos scoreless in four of the last five at Toumba. The fixture rarely ends level, and PAOK have scored at least twice in four of the last five home games against Levadiakos. Levadiakos’ only recent win came in a cup tie, with league meetings consistently favouring PAOK.
PAOK vs Levadiakos Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
8
PAOK wins
1
Draws
1
Levadiakos wins
Things to Watch: PAOK vs Levadiakos
- ⚠️No current season league matches played for either side, so all rates are based on last season and recent friendlies/Europe.
- ⚠️PAOK’s shot and corner averages in recent matches are anomalously low, likely due to incomplete data or atypical match contexts.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of analysis, so no value edges or recommended bets can be calculated.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
PAOK 2–1 LevadiakosThe model calls a 2-1 win for PAOK, with their dominant home record in this fixture (eight wins in the last ten) the single strongest data point. The likeliest way this goes wrong is if Levadiakos’ recent attacking surge—2.2 goals and 12.2 shots per game—translates immediately to the new season and exposes PAOK’s current defensive form.
PAOK vs Levadiakos: Common Questions
Who will win PAOK vs Levadiakos?
PAOK are favoured with a 54% probability of victory, based on their dominant home record against Levadiakos and recent scoring rates. Levadiakos have a 19% chance, with the draw at 27%.
Will both teams score in PAOK vs Levadiakos?
Both teams to score is rated a 50% probability—Levadiakos average 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in their last five, while PAOK have conceded in four of their last five. The historical H2H slightly favours 'no', but current attacking rates keep it balanced.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in PAOK vs Levadiakos?
Over 2.5 goals is a marginal favourite at 54%, with both teams averaging well above 1.5 goals scored per game in their recent matches and the H2H at Toumba averaging over three goals per game.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for PAOK vs Levadiakos: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 16 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.