Pardubice vs Viktoria Žižkov Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · World
medium confidence
Pardubice

Pardubice

Full Time

4 - 1

AI predicted 2 - 1

Viktoria Žižkov

Viktoria Žižkov

🗓️ Friday, 2 Oct 2026 at 09:00 UTC

Win Probability (1X2)

Pardubice 44%Draw 33%Viktoria Žižkov 23%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: Pardubice Win

Match Result

7.5/10

Pardubice Hit Four in First Half to Overpower Viktoria Žižkov

Pardubice produced a scintillating first-half display to secure a commanding 4-1 victory over Viktoria Žižkov in this club friendly. The hosts raced out of the blocks, netting four goals before halftime and leaving their visitors shell-shocked and chasing shadows. Viktoria Žižkov managed a consolation strike in the second half, but the damage had long been done. The match was effectively decided in the opening 45 minutes, with Pardubice's relentless attacking play overwhelming the opposition. Despite a spirited effort from Viktoria Žižkov after the break, they never truly threatened a comeback, and Pardubice cruised to a comfortable win without ever being seriously troubled.

🔥 AI Prediction Report

CERTIFIED W

Predicted

2 - 1

⚡

Actual

4 - 1

✅Result
✅BTTS
✅O/U 2.5
❌Score

💰 Bet Results3/3 hit

1X2 — Home
✅
Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over
✅
Both Teams to Score — Yes
✅

Key Moments

10' — Goal

Pardubice open the scoring, setting the tone for a dominant half.

34' — Goal

Pardubice double their lead, further unsettling Viktoria Žižkov.

37' — Goal

Pardubice strike again, making it 3-0 and all but sealing the contest.

42' — Goal

A fourth goal for Pardubice caps a ruthless first-half performance.

69' — Goal

Viktoria Žižkov pull one back, but it's too little, too late.

Pardubice

Pardubice

8.5/10

Pardubice were dominant from the outset, blitzing Viktoria Žižkov with a four-goal salvo in the first half. Their attacking intent was clear, as they found the net in the 10th, 34th, 37th, and 42nd minutes, showcasing clinical finishing and a ruthless edge. The hosts managed the game well after the break, maintaining control and seeing out the result with professionalism. With no cards conceded, Pardubice combined attacking flair with discipline, making this a near-perfect outing in front of their fans.

Key Players

First Half Attackers: Scored four goals in a devastating 32-minute spell to put the game beyond reach.

Strengths

Clinical finishingFast startsGame managementDiscipline (no cards)

Weaknesses

Conceded a consolation goal in the second half
Viktoria Žižkov

Viktoria Žižkov

5/10

Viktoria Žižkov endured a torrid first half, conceding four times and struggling to contain Pardubice's vibrant attack. The visitors found themselves on the back foot early and were unable to recover from the early onslaught. They showed some resilience after the interval, pulling a goal back in the 69th minute, but it was little more than a consolation on a day when defensive frailties were ruthlessly exposed.

Key Players

Second Half Goalscorer: Scored the team's only goal in the 69th minute to salvage some pride.

Strengths

Second half responseAvoided disciplinary issues

Weaknesses

Poor defensive organization in first halfSlow startLack of attacking threat before halftime

Tactical Analysis

Although detailed formations are unavailable, Pardubice's rapid succession of first-half goals suggests an aggressive, high-pressing approach that overwhelmed Viktoria Žižkov's defensive structure. The hosts' ability to score four times in 32 minutes points to effective movement in the final third and clinical execution. Viktoria Žižkov appeared unable to cope with Pardubice's intensity early on, perhaps leaving themselves too open in midfield or failing to track runners. Their improved showing after halftime hints at tactical adjustments, possibly tightening up defensively and seeking to restore some balance, but the deficit was insurmountable.

Turning Point

Pardubice's third goal in the 37th minute effectively killed off the contest, leaving Viktoria Žižkov with too much to do.

Man of the Match

Pardubice First Half Attackers

Their ruthless finishing and movement delivered four goals in the opening half, deciding the match.

Pardubice vs Viktoria Žižkov: Match Preview

Pardubice enter this friendly on a three-match winning streak, having scored ten goals in their last three outings across league and cup. Their recent form string of WWWDL is underpinned by a solid defensive record—averaging just 0.8 goals conceded in the last five—and a 44% clean sheet rate on the season. Viktoria Žižkov arrive with a strong overall record (six wins from eight), but their only away league game ended in a 0-3 defeat, and they have conceded 13 goals in eight matches, highlighting defensive frailties.

The statistical matchup points to an open contest. Pardubice average 2.2 goals scored per game over their last five, while Viktoria Žižkov's season-long rate is an eye-catching 2.88 goals scored per game, but with 1.63 conceded per match and just a 12.5% clean sheet rate. The over 2.5 goals rate for Žižkov sits at 87.5%, and Pardubice's home matches have seen both teams score in two of three this season. Set-piece and discipline data are limited, but Pardubice's last five show 2.4 yellow cards per game, suggesting moderate risk of bookings.

Given these rates and the head-to-head trend—five Pardubice wins in the last seven, with most matches seeing multiple goals—the model expects Pardubice's more balanced attack and defensive structure to edge a high-tempo match. Viktoria Žižkov's attack will threaten, but their away defensive record and the historical pattern suggest the hosts are more likely to prevail.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Pardubice1.65

Expected goals · model says 1.65

Viktoria Žižkov1.25

Expected goals · model says 1.25

Win Probability
Pardubice 47% Draw 24% Viktoria Žižkov 29%

Over 2.5 Goals

55%

BTTS: Yes

58%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Pardubice vs Viktoria Žižkov Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
44%
33%
23%
Pardubice 44%Draw 33%Viktoria Žižkov 23%
Both Teams to Score
54%
46%
Yes 54%No 46%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
58%
42%
Over 2.5 58%Under 2.5 42%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
43%
57%
Over 9.5 43%Under 9.5 57%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Pardubice vs Viktoria Žižkov that most previews miss.

  • 1Six of the last seven Pardubice–Žižkov meetings have seen both teams score and at least three total goals.
  • 2Viktoria Žižkov's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in seven of eight outings this season (87.5%).
  • 3Pardubice have kept two clean sheets in their last five, but have conceded first-half goals in only one of those matches.

Who do you think wins: Pardubice vs Viktoria Žižkov?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Pardubice vs Viktoria Žižkov Prediction

This fixture brings together a Pardubice side in the midst of a three-match winning run and a Viktoria Žižkov team with a prolific attack but a leaky defence, especially away from home. Both sides have recent high-scoring matches and a history of open contests, setting up a game where attacking rates should dictate the tempo and outcome.

Key Factors at a Glance

Defence

  • →Pardubice average 1.56 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season.

Match Context

  • →Viktoria Žižkov's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 87.5% of games.
  • →Pardubice have won five of the last seven head-to-head meetings.

🚩 Pardubice vs Viktoria Žižkov Corners Prediction

low confidence
9.2expected total corners
Over 43%
Under 57%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 4.2 corners for Pardubice and 5 for Viktoria Žižkov, for an expected total of 9.2. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (57%). Over 8.5: 57% · Over 10.5: 31%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Pardubice and Viktoria Žižkov Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Pardubice vs Viktoria Žižkov Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

PardubicePardubicelast 5 matches
V. Drchal
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

J. Tredl
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

R. Mahuta
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

G. Botos
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. Hlavaty
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

D. Krcik
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Viktoria ŽižkovViktoria Žižkovlast 5 matches
D. Kaulfus
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

D. Huf
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. Zitny
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

F. Papousek
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

V. Prosek
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. Baafi
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Pardubice are on a strong run with three consecutive wins, scoring at least twice in each of those matches and conceding just once per game on average. Viktoria Žižkov have also won their last two but have shown more volatility, including a heavy 0-5 cup defeat and a 0-3 away league loss, indicating defensive inconsistency despite their attacking output.

Pardubice vs Viktoria Žižkov — Last 10 Matches

PardubicePardubiceLast 10 results
W4-1
W5-0
L0-2
D2-2
D2-2
D1-1
L1-2
W1-0
D0-0
W2-0
Wvs Viktoria Žižkov4-1
W@ Vysočina Jihlava5-0
L@ Cracovia Krakow0-2
D@ Rapid Vienna2-2
Dvs Žilina2-2
D@ Odra Opole1-1
Lvs Slovan Liberec1-2
W@ FC Kharkiv1-0
D@ Hammarby FF0-0
Wvs Vysočina Jihlava2-0

Strengths

  • +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
  • +Prolific attack — 2.8 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
Viktoria ŽižkovViktoria ŽižkovLast 9 results
L1-4
W3-2
W1-0
L0-3
W3-2
L2-3
W4-1
W8-1
W2-1
L@ Pardubice1-4
Wvs Baník Souš3-2
Wvs Aritma Praha1-0
L@ Mlada Boleslav0-3
Wvs Slavia Praha II3-2
Lvs Vysočina Jihlava2-3
Wvs Bischofswerdaer FV4-1
Wvs Králův Dvůr8-1
Wvs Ústí nad Labem2-1

Strengths

  • +Over 2.5 goals in 88.89% of games this season

Concerns

  • −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game

What History Says: Pardubice vs Viktoria Žižkov

Pardubice have won five of the last seven meetings with Viktoria Žižkov, including both most recent encounters by a 3-1 scoreline. The fixture is historically high-scoring, with six of seven featuring at least three goals and both teams scoring in all but one.

Pardubice vs Viktoria Žižkov Head-to-Head History

Last 8 meetings between these sides

6

Pardubice wins

1

Draws

1

Viktoria Žižkov wins

75%13% draws13%
2 Oct 26Pardubice vs Viktoria Žižkov4-1
21 Jan 23Pardubice vs Viktoria Žižkov3-1
6 Jul 21Pardubice vs Viktoria Žižkov3-1
14 Jul 20Viktoria Žižkov vs Pardubice2-1
22 Feb 20Pardubice vs Viktoria Žižkov2-1
20 Jul 19Pardubice vs Viktoria Žižkov2-1

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Pardubice vs Viktoria Žižkov

With no bookmaker odds available, value cannot be formally calculated, but the statistical edge lies in over 2.5 goals and a home win. The model's probabilities would caution against backing Viktoria Žižkov given their away defensive record and the historical dominance of Pardubice in this matchup.

Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Pardubice Win1.4244.0%-26.4%
Drawvalue4.2033.0%+9.2%
Viktoria Žižkov Winvalue5.5023.0%+4.8%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.51.5058.0%-8.7%
Under 2.52.5042.0%+2.0%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yes—54.0%—
No—46.0%—

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 4.20EV +0.386
1X2: Viktoria Žižkov Win @ 5.50EV +0.265
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 @ 2.50EV +0.050

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Pardubice vs Viktoria Žižkov

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
  • ⚠️Standings data is missing; league motivation is unclear.
  • ⚠️Limited away sample for Viktoria Žižkov (only one away league match in season record).

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Pardubice 2–1 Viktoria Žižkov

The model projects a 2-1 win for Pardubice, with the strongest data point being Viktoria Žižkov's 87.5% over 2.5 goals rate and poor away defensive record. The main risk is Žižkov's attack finding early success against a Pardubice side that occasionally concedes at home, potentially swinging the match towards a higher-scoring draw.

Pardubice vs Viktoria Žižkov: Common Questions

Who will win Pardubice vs Viktoria Žižkov?

Pardubice are favoured with a 44% win probability, compared to 23% for Viktoria Žižkov and 33% for the draw, based on their recent form and dominant head-to-head record.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Pardubice vs Viktoria Žižkov?

There is a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals, supported by Viktoria Žižkov's 87.5% over 2.5 rate this season and both teams' recent high-scoring matches.

Is both teams to score likely in Pardubice vs Viktoria Žižkov?

Both teams to score is rated at 54% probability, with six of the last seven head-to-heads seeing goals for both sides and both averaging over a goal per game.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Pardubice vs Viktoria Žižkov: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 30 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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