Pendikspor vs Bodrum FK Predictions
1. Lig · Turkey
Pendikspor
Full Time
1 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 1
Bodrum FK
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
6.5/10Pendikspor and Bodrum FK Share the Spoils in Istanbul Stalemate
Pendikspor and Bodrum FK played out a tightly contested 1-1 draw at the Pendik Stadium, with both sides showing flashes of quality but ultimately unable to find a decisive winner. Despite dominating possession with 63%, Pendikspor were forced to come from behind after Vincent Aboubakar gave Bodrum FK the lead early in the second half. Rogerio Thuram responded for the hosts just ten minutes later, ensuring the points were split in this 1. Lig encounter. The match was characterized by Pendikspor's territorial control and greater attacking intent, as evidenced by their 14 shots (4 on target) compared to Bodrum FK's 7 (3 on target). However, Bodrum FK's resilience and clinical counter-attacking play kept them in contention, and both teams ultimately lacked the cutting edge to turn one point into three.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results2/2 hit
Key Moments
55' — Goal
Vincent Aboubakar scores to give Bodrum FK a surprise lead after a swift counter-attack.
65' — Goal
Rogerio Thuram equalizes for Pendikspor, finishing off a well-worked move.
73' — Yellow Card
Mesut Özdemir (Pendikspor) is booked for a tactical foul in midfield.
Pendikspor
Pendikspor controlled large stretches of the match, dictating play with a 63% share of possession and creating more chances throughout. Their 4-1-4-1 formation allowed them to flood the midfield and push numbers forward, but despite 14 shots, only 4 found the target. After conceding against the run of play, they responded well, with Rogerio Thuram's equalizer capping a spirited spell. However, Pendikspor struggled to convert their dominance into clear-cut chances, and their attacking play often lacked the required sharpness to break down a disciplined Bodrum FK defense.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Bodrum FK
Bodrum FK set up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, prioritizing defensive solidity and looking to hit on the break. Although they saw just 37% of the ball, they made their moments count, with Vincent Aboubakar finishing off a swift move to put them ahead in the 55th minute. Their defensive line, marshaled by Ali Aytemur and Ali Şahin Yılmaz, stood firm under pressure for much of the match. While Bodrum FK were efficient with their limited opportunities, their inability to retain possession or sustain attacks ultimately allowed Pendikspor to dictate the tempo and find a way back into the game.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Pendikspor's 4-1-4-1 formation allowed them to dominate possession and control the central areas, with Mesut Özdemir anchoring the midfield and facilitating quick transitions. Their wide players pushed high, stretching Bodrum FK's back line, but the final ball was often lacking. Bodrum FK, meanwhile, sat deep in a 4-2-3-1, focusing on defensive organization and quick counters, particularly through Aboubakar and Andrade. Substitutions were used to inject fresh legs into midfield and attack, but neither side deviated significantly from their initial tactical approach. Set pieces provided occasional threats, but both defenses coped well under pressure.
Turning Point
Rogerio Thuram's equalizer in the 65th minute shifted the momentum back to Pendikspor and ensured Bodrum FK could not capitalize on their lead.
Man of the Match
Rogerio Thuram
His timely goal rescued a point for Pendikspor and capped an industrious attacking display.
Pendikspor vs Bodrum FK: Match Preview
Pendikspor sit mid-table on nine points, unbeaten at home but with only one win from three at Pendik Stadyumu. Their recent form is steady—two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five—yet their negative goal difference (-3) highlights ongoing defensive vulnerabilities. Bodrum FK, three points back in 14th, arrive on the back of a 4-0 home win but have failed to win away this season and have scored just twice in three away trips.
Statistically, this fixture projects as low-scoring. Pendikspor average 1.29 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game, but at home those numbers tighten (1.33 scored, 1.00 conceded). Bodrum FK’s season-long attack is blunt (0.86 goals per game; 0.67 away), but their defence is robust, with a league-best 57% clean sheet rate and only five goals conceded in seven. Both sides’ recent matches skew under 2.5 goals (Pendikspor 43%, Bodrum FK 29%), and Bodrum FK’s last five matches have produced just one BTTS result.
Given the lack of attacking punch and the high frequency of draws for both teams (Pendikspor 43%, Bodrum FK 57%), the model expects a cautious, attritional contest. The most likely scenario is a 1-1 or 1-0 either way, with neither side able to impose sustained attacking pressure. Defensive structure and set-piece conversion will likely be decisive.
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Expected goals · model says 1.00
Expected goals · model says 0.80
Over 2.5 Goals
27%
BTTS: Yes
35%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Pendikspor vs Bodrum FK Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Pendikspor vs Bodrum FK that most previews miss.
- 1Bodrum FK have kept four clean sheets in their last five matches, conceding just once in that span.
- 2Pendikspor’s home record this season is unbeaten but includes two draws from three, with only four goals scored.
- 3Across the last eight H2H meetings, five have finished level or with a single goal margin, and three ended 1-1 or 0-0.
Who do you think wins: Pendikspor vs Bodrum FK?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Pendikspor vs Bodrum FK(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both sides average under 1.3 goals scored per game and have drawn 7 of 14 combined matches this season, with the 1-1 scoreline appearing repeatedly in their H2H history.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Bodrum FK matches have gone under 2.5 goals in 71% of their league fixtures, and Pendikspor’s home games average just 2.33 goals, indicating a low-goal environment.
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More 1. Lig Predictions
The Case For This Pendikspor vs Bodrum FK Prediction
Pendikspor’s home attack has been modest (1.33 goals per home game), but Bodrum FK’s away output is even lower at 0.67 goals per away match. Both teams’ defensive records are middling, but Bodrum FK’s clean sheet rate (57%) is a standout, suggesting a contest likely to be decided by fine margins. The data points toward a low-scoring, closely fought match where neither side has a clear edge.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Pendikspor have drawn three of their last five and are unbeaten at home this season.
Attack
- →Both teams have under 1.3 goals scored per game and a combined season over 2.5 rate of just 36%.
Defence
- →Bodrum FK have failed to score in four of their last five but kept four clean sheets in that span.
🚩 Pendikspor vs Bodrum FK Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Pendikspor and 4 for Bodrum FK, for an expected total of 8.8. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (61%). Over 8.5: 52% · Over 10.5: 27%.
How Pendikspor and Bodrum FK Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Pendikspor vs Bodrum FK Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Pendiksporlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Bodrum FKlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Pendikspor’s recent form is stable, with two wins and three draws in their last five, and they remain unbeaten at home. Bodrum FK, meanwhile, have struggled for goals—scoring just once in four matches before their recent 4-0 win—but their defensive solidity has earned them four clean sheets in five.
Pendikspor vs Bodrum FK — Last 8 Matches
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: Pendikspor vs Bodrum FK
The head-to-head record is balanced, with three draws and three one-goal games in the last eight meetings. Recent fixtures between these sides have often been low-scoring, including a 0-0 in their last clash at Pendik Stadyumu.
Pendikspor vs Bodrum FK Head-to-Head History
Last 9 meetings between these sides
2
Pendikspor wins
4
Draws
3
Bodrum FK wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Pendikspor vs Bodrum FK
With no market odds available, value analysis is not possible for this fixture. The model’s strongest lean is towards under 2.5 goals and the draw, both supported by underlying rates and recent match patterns.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Pendikspor vs Bodrum FK
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Early-season sample sizes may exaggerate defensive or attacking trends.
- ⚠️Lineups are unconfirmed; late changes could impact goal expectation.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Pendikspor 1–1 Bodrum FKThe model projects a 1-1 draw, driven by both teams’ low scoring rates and Bodrum FK’s high clean sheet percentage. The likeliest way this prediction fails is if Pendikspor’s home attack finds an early breakthrough, forcing Bodrum FK to open up and chase the game.
Pendikspor vs Bodrum FK: Common Questions
Who will win Pendikspor vs Bodrum FK?
The probabilities are tightly balanced: Pendikspor 37%, Draw 38%, Bodrum FK 25%. Both teams have drawn a high percentage of matches this season, and the most likely outcome is a draw.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Pendikspor vs Bodrum FK?
Under 2.5 goals is favoured at 69%, with both teams averaging under 1.3 goals scored per game and Bodrum FK’s matches going under 2.5 in 71% of cases this season.
Will both teams score in Pendikspor vs Bodrum FK?
Both teams to score is rated at 44%, with 'No' the more likely outcome (56%). Bodrum FK have failed to score in four of their last five, while Pendikspor have managed just one clean sheet in that span.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Pendikspor vs Bodrum FK: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 13 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.