Quorn vs Leamington Predictions
FA Trophy · England
Quorn
Full Time
4 - 2
AI predicted 2 - 2
Leamington
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
Match Result
8/10Quorn Outgun Leamington in Six-Goal FA Trophy Thriller
Quorn advanced in the FA Trophy after a pulsating 4-2 victory over Leamington in a match that delivered attacking excitement from start to finish. Despite the lack of detailed match statistics and minute-by-minute events, the scoreline alone tells the story of a contest where the hosts found their cutting edge, outscoring their visitors in a high-tempo encounter. With both teams pushing forward, Quorn made the most of their opportunities, finding the net four times and keeping Leamington at bay despite conceding twice. The absence of bookings or dismissals points to a contest played in good spirit, with both sides focused on attacking football. Ultimately, Quorn's superior firepower proved decisive, sending them through to the next round.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
2 - 2
Actual
4 - 2
💰 Bet Results2/2 hit
Key Moments
N/A' — Goal
Quorn take the lead, setting the tone for an open contest.
N/A' — Goal
Leamington respond, keeping themselves in the tie.
N/A' — Goal
Quorn restore their advantage, showing attacking intent.
N/A' — Goal
Quorn extend their lead, putting daylight between the sides.
N/A' — Goal
Leamington pull one back, but Quorn answer again to seal the win.
Quorn
Quorn impressed with their attacking intent, scoring four times to secure a deserved win. Their ability to convert chances was the difference, as they consistently found ways to break down Leamington's defense. The clean disciplinary record also suggests a composed performance under pressure. While the defensive unit conceded twice, Quorn always looked capable of responding, maintaining control of the match and ensuring their lead was never seriously threatened.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Leamington
Leamington showed attacking promise, managing to score twice away from home, but ultimately struggled to contain Quorn's offense. Their inability to shut down the hosts' forwards proved costly, as they were always chasing the game. Despite their efforts, Leamington couldn't find the defensive solidity required to mount a comeback, and their FA Trophy journey ends with a spirited but flawed performance.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Without detailed lineups or formation data, the match nonetheless appeared to be an open, attack-minded affair. Quorn's ability to outscore Leamington suggests a focus on forward play and exploiting defensive gaps, while Leamington's two goals indicate they too committed numbers forward. The absence of cards implies that both sides prioritized fluid football over physicality, and the six-goal tally points to defensive vulnerabilities on both ends. Set pieces and tactical substitutions are unknown, but the match's flow suggests Quorn were able to adapt and maintain their attacking threat throughout, while Leamington struggled to find the right balance between attack and defense.
Turning Point
Quorn's third goal, which gave them a two-goal cushion and effectively put the match beyond Leamington's reach.
Man of the Match
Quorn Attackers
Their combined efforts delivered four goals and proved the decisive factor in the win.
Quorn vs Leamington: Match Preview
Quorn enter this FA Trophy tie with a mixed recent record, having won two, drawn one, and lost two of their last five matches. Their form string (LWWLD) is marked by high-scoring, volatile games, and they have failed to keep a clean sheet in four of those outings. Leamington arrive with a similar trajectory (LWWDL), also showing inconsistency but with slightly tighter margins, and both sides are looking for a cup run to inject momentum into their season.
The statistical matchup is defined by attacking output and defensive frailty. Quorn's last five have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game, while Leamington's figures stand at 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded. Both teams have seen BTTS in the majority of recent matches (Quorn 4/5, Leamington 3/5), and neither has shown a reliable defensive platform. First-half goals are common for both, with Quorn netting four in the first half over their last five, suggesting a strong chance of early action.
Given these rates and the lack of season-long or home/away split data, the model expects an open contest with a high probability of both teams scoring and the total surpassing 2.5 goals. The most likely outcome is a score draw, with both attacks likely to exploit defensive weaknesses, and set-piece or transitional moments potentially decisive in a game where neither side can rely on shutting the other out.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.50
Expected goals · model says 1.55
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Quorn vs Leamington Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Quorn vs Leamington that most previews miss.
- 1Quorn's last five matches have averaged 4.6 total goals, the highest in either team's sample.
- 2Both teams have scored in all but one of Quorn's last five and three of Leamington's last five, boosting BTTS probability.
- 3Quorn have conceded at least twice in three of their last five, while Leamington have conceded in four out of five.
Who do you think wins: Quorn vs Leamington?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Quorn vs Leamington(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes
Both Quorn and Leamington have seen BTTS land in 4 and 3 of their last 5 matches respectively, with Quorn averaging 2.0 goals scored but 2.6 conceded per game, and Leamington averaging 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded. Defensive reliability is low on both sides, supporting a high BTTS probability.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Quorn's last five matches average 4.6 total goals and Leamington's average 3.0, with both teams showing attacking intent and defensive frailty. The model assigns a 62% probability to over 2.5 goals, well above a typical baseline for this market.
Read more ↓
More FA Trophy Predictions
The Case For This Quorn vs Leamington Prediction
Statistically, this tie projects as a high-variance, open contest. Quorn's last five games have averaged 4.6 total goals, with both teams scoring in four of those outings, while Leamington's recent matches also trend above three goals per game. Neither side has demonstrated defensive solidity, and the data points to a strong likelihood of both teams getting on the scoresheet.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams have seen BTTS in at least three of their last five matches.
Defence
- →Quorn average 2.0 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game across their last five matches.
- →Leamington have failed to keep a clean sheet in four of their last five, conceding 1.6 per game.
How Quorn and Leamington Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Quorn vs Leamington Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Quornlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Leamingtonlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Quorn's recent form is volatile, with a 2-3-0 record in their last five and a high-scoring profile, conceding at least twice in three matches. Leamington have also alternated between wins and losses, with a slightly lower scoring output but similar defensive vulnerability. Both teams lack sustained momentum, arriving in comparable shape.
Quorn vs Leamington — Last 1 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Quorn vs Leamington
There is no head-to-head data available for these sides, so no historical matchup trends can be drawn. This adds uncertainty to the model's projections.
Quorn vs Leamington Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
1
Quorn wins
0
Draws
0
Leamington wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Quorn vs Leamington
With bookmaker odds unavailable, the model cannot identify explicit value edges. However, the statistical profile indicates that BTTS and over 2.5 goals are likely to be mispriced if offered at typical baseline odds, given the high recent goal averages and defensive records. Value is most likely to be found in goal-related markets.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Quorn vs Leamington
- ⚠️No season-long or home/away split data available for either side, reducing model confidence.
- ⚠️No head-to-head data to benchmark matchup-specific tendencies.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Quorn 2–2 LeamingtonThe model predicts a 2-2 draw, driven by Quorn's 2.0 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game in recent matches, and Leamington's similar attacking and defensive rates. The single strongest data point is Quorn's average of 4.6 total goals per game across their last five, signalling a high goal environment. The main risk is the absence of season-long and home/away splits, which could mask underlying differences in quality or tactical approach that the small sample doesn't capture.
Quorn vs Leamington: Common Questions
Who will win Quorn vs Leamington?
The model gives Leamington a slight edge with a 35% win probability, Quorn at 33%, and a draw at 32%. The data suggests a very even contest, with the most likely outcome being a score draw.
Will both teams score in Quorn vs Leamington?
There is a 67% probability of both teams scoring, based on Quorn's 4/5 and Leamington's 3/5 BTTS record in recent matches, alongside high average goals conceded by both sides.
How many goals are expected in Quorn vs Leamington?
The model assigns a 62% probability to over 2.5 goals and 86% to over 1.5, reflecting Quorn's recent average of 4.6 total goals per game and Leamington's 3.0. A high-scoring match is more likely than not.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Quorn vs Leamington: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 19 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.