Stanway Rovers vs Faversham Town Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
FA TrophyFA Trophy · England
medium confidence
Stanway Rovers

Stanway Rovers

Full Time

0 - 2

AI predicted 1 - 2

Faversham Town

Faversham Town

🗓️ Saturday, 26 Sept 2026 at 15:00 BST (venue time) · 14:00 UTC (your time)

Win Probability (1X2)

Stanway Rovers 23%Draw 27%Faversham Town 50%

Best Value Pick

See full breakdown below

Match Result

5/10

Clinical Faversham Town Dispatch Stanway Rovers in FA Trophy Clash

Faversham Town advanced to the next round of the FA Trophy with a composed 2-0 away victory over Stanway Rovers. Despite the lack of detailed match statistics, the scoreline tells the story of a visiting side that made the most of their opportunities, while the hosts struggled to find a way through a disciplined Faversham defense. Stanway Rovers, unable to breach the Faversham backline, ultimately paid the price for their lack of cutting edge. Faversham Town, meanwhile, took their chances clinically, scoring twice without reply and keeping their composure throughout a match that saw no bookings or dismissals.

😅 AI Prediction Report

CLOSE BUT NO CIGAR

Predicted

1 - 2

⚡

Actual

0 - 2

✅Result
❌BTTS
❌O/U 2.5
❌Score

Key Moments

Unknown' — Goal

Faversham Town open the scoring, seizing the initiative away from home.

Unknown' — Goal

Faversham Town double their lead, putting the tie beyond Stanway Rovers' reach.

Stanway Rovers

Stanway Rovers

4.5/10

Stanway Rovers were left frustrated as they failed to register a goal on home turf. The hosts struggled to create clear-cut opportunities and were unable to break down a well-organized Faversham Town side. With no goals and no disciplinary issues, Stanway Rovers will rue their inability to turn possession into meaningful chances. Their defensive efforts were undone by Faversham’s clinical finishing, and the lack of attacking threat ultimately saw them exit the competition.

Strengths

Discipline (no cards received)

Weaknesses

Lack of attacking threatFailed to score at homeUnable to break down opposition defense
Faversham Town

Faversham Town

7.5/10

Faversham Town delivered a professional away performance, securing a 2-0 win to progress in the FA Trophy. While match statistics are unavailable, the clean sheet and two-goal margin reflect a side that was both efficient in attack and resolute at the back. Their ability to keep their discipline and capitalize on their chances was key to their success. Faversham Town’s composure and clinical edge set them apart, as they managed the game well and never looked in serious danger.

Strengths

Clinical finishingSolid defensive organizationMaintained discipline (no cards received)

Weaknesses

Unknown due to lack of detailed match data

Tactical Analysis

With no confirmed lineups or formations, tactical details are limited. However, Faversham Town’s ability to keep a clean sheet away from home suggests a disciplined defensive setup, likely prioritizing structure and organization. Their two-goal haul indicates they were effective on the counter or made the most of key attacking moments. Stanway Rovers, meanwhile, were unable to find a breakthrough, hinting at either a lack of creativity in the final third or difficulty dealing with Faversham’s defensive shape. The absence of cards points to a match played in good spirit, with both sides maintaining discipline.

Turning Point

Faversham Town’s opening goal set the tone, forcing Stanway Rovers to chase the game and leaving them vulnerable to the second decisive strike.

Man of the Match

Unavailable

No player data provided, but Faversham Town’s collective effort and defensive solidity were decisive.

Stanway Rovers vs Faversham Town: Match Preview

Stanway Rovers enter this FA Trophy tie on the back of a mixed run, with a single win and three losses in their last five matches, including a 0-4 defeat and two goalless outings. Their attack has struggled to find consistency, failing to score in three of those games, and they have yet to record a home win or a clean sheet in cup competition this season. Faversham Town, by contrast, have started the FA Trophy campaign strongly, racking up nine goals in two matches and conceding only twice, including a 3-0 win away from home.

The statistical matchup is defined by Faversham’s prolific attack against a Stanway defence that has conceded 2.2 goals per game over their last five. Faversham’s 4.5 goals per FA Trophy game is a significant outlier at this level, while Stanway’s attack has yet to score at home in recent cup matches. The away side’s defensive record is also notable, with a clean sheet in their only FA Trophy away fixture and just one failed-to-score in their last five overall. Both teams have shown a tendency for second-half goals, but Stanway’s output is heavily front-loaded, with all three of their recent goals coming in the first half.

Given these rates, the model anticipates Faversham to dictate the tempo and create more scoring opportunities, with a high probability of the first goal arriving before the half-hour mark. Stanway’s limited attacking threat reduces the likelihood of a shootout, but Faversham’s defensive lapses in other competitions mean a narrow away win is most likely. The data points to a 2-1 victory for Faversham, but the volatility of cup football and Stanway’s home unknowns inject some risk into the projection.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Stanway Rovers1.25

Expected goals · model says 1.25

Faversham Town1.85

Expected goals · model says 1.85

Win Probability
Stanway Rovers 26% Draw 23% Faversham Town 51%

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

BTTS: Yes

60%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Stanway Rovers vs Faversham Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
23%
27%
50%
Stanway Rovers 23%Draw 27%Faversham Town 50%
Both Teams to Score
54%
46%
Yes 54%No 46%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
62%
38%
Over 2.5 62%Under 2.5 38%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Stanway Rovers vs Faversham Town that most previews miss.

  • 1Faversham Town have scored nine goals in just two FA Trophy matches this season, a 4.5 per-game average.
  • 2Stanway Rovers have failed to score in three of their last five matches, including both home and away fixtures.
  • 3All of Stanway’s last five goals have come in the first half, with zero second-half goals in that stretch.

Who do you think wins: Stanway Rovers vs Faversham Town?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

More FA Trophy Predictions

The Case For This Stanway Rovers vs Faversham Town Prediction

Stanway Rovers have struggled for consistency, averaging just 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last five matches, with three blanks in attack. Faversham Town arrive in stronger form, scoring 2.2 per game over their last five and posting back-to-back FA Trophy wins with a combined 9-2 aggregate. The away side’s recent output, particularly a 6-2 home win and a 3-0 away clean sheet, signals a higher attacking ceiling than the hosts have shown. Statistically, Faversham’s attack (4.5 goals per game in the FA Trophy this season) faces a Stanway defence that has kept just one clean sheet in five and conceded four or more twice in that span. Stanway’s home attack remains unproven this season, while Faversham’s away defence has yet to concede in the FA Trophy. The model expects Faversham to control the shot count and create more high-quality chances, with Stanway’s best hope coming from set pieces or a defensive lapse. Given the attacking rates and defensive records, the model projects a match above the league’s average goal rate, with Faversham more likely to strike first and maintain a lead. The most probable outcome is an away win by a narrow margin, with Stanway’s low scoring rate limiting their upside. A 2-1 away victory is the likeliest scoreline, though the hosts’ volatility leaves room for a lower-scoring draw if Faversham underperforms in front of goal.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →Stanway Rovers have failed to score in three of their last five matches and average just 0.8 goals per game over that span.

Defence

  • →Faversham Town average 4.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per FA Trophy match this season (2 matches).
  • →Faversham have kept one clean sheet in two FA Trophy matches, including a 3-0 away win.

How Stanway Rovers and Faversham Town Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Stanway Rovers vs Faversham Town Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

Stanway RoversStanway Roverslast 5 matches
L. Chalwell
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

C. Hughes
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. Cutbush
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Faversham TownFaversham Townlast 5 matches

No scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.

Stanway Rovers have managed just one win in their last five, with three matches where they failed to find the net and an average of 2.2 goals conceded per game. Faversham Town, meanwhile, have won two of their last five, including a 6-2 and a 3-0 victory in the FA Trophy, and are averaging 2.2 goals scored per game in that stretch. The away side’s momentum and attacking output are notably superior heading into this tie.

Stanway Rovers vs Faversham Town — Last 3 Matches

Stanway RoversStanway RoversLast 1 results
L0-2
Lvs Faversham Town0-2

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
  • −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
Faversham TownFaversham TownLast 3 results
W2-0
W6-2
W3-0
W@ Stanway Rovers2-0
Wvs Horley Town6-2
W@ Flackwell Heath3-0

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
  • +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
  • +66.67% clean sheet rate this season
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season

What History Says: Stanway Rovers vs Faversham Town

No head-to-head data exists between Stanway Rovers and Faversham Town, so there are no historical trends or recurring scorelines to inform this fixture’s outlook.

Stanway Rovers vs Faversham Town Head-to-Head History

Last 1 meeting between these sides

0

Stanway Rovers wins

0

Draws

1

Faversham Town wins

0%0% draws100%
26 Sept 26Stanway Rovers vs Faversham Town0-2

Things to Watch: Stanway Rovers vs Faversham Town

  • ⚠️No head-to-head data is available for these teams.
  • ⚠️Stanway Rovers have not played a home FA Trophy match this season, so home/away splits are based on limited data.
  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds are available, so value and recommended bets cannot be computed.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Stanway Rovers 1–2 Faversham Town

The model projects a 2-1 away win for Faversham Town, driven by their 4.5 goals-per-game FA Trophy average and Stanway Rovers’ low scoring rate across recent fixtures. The single strongest data point is Faversham’s nine goals in two cup ties, highlighting their attacking edge. The biggest risk to this call is Stanway’s volatility and the limited sample of home matches, which could skew both teams’ true levels.

Stanway Rovers vs Faversham Town: Common Questions

Who will win Stanway Rovers vs Faversham Town?

Faversham Town are favoured with a 50% probability of winning, compared to 23% for Stanway Rovers and a 27% chance of a draw. This is based on Faversham’s strong attacking rates and Stanway’s recent struggles in front of goal.

Will both teams score in Stanway Rovers vs Faversham Town?

There is a 54% probability that both teams will score, reflecting Faversham’s attacking strength and Stanway’s defensive frailties, but also factoring in the hosts’ tendency to blank in recent matches.

How many goals are expected in Stanway Rovers vs Faversham Town?

The model gives a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and an 83% chance of over 1.5 goals, with Faversham averaging 4.5 goals scored per FA Trophy match and Stanway conceding 2.2 per game over their last five.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Stanway Rovers vs Faversham Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 19 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

More Stanway Rovers vs Faversham Town Resources