Start vs Brann Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk โ€” No extreme form or market signal โ€” routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs ยท World
high confidence
Start

Start

Full Time

0 - 0

AI predicted 1 - 2

Brann

Brann

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Friday, 2 Oct 2026 at 12:00 UTC

Win Probability (1X2)

Start 23%Draw 29%Brann 48%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Match Result

6.5/10

Start Edge Brann 2-1 in Hard-Fought Friendly Encounter

Start emerged victorious with a narrow 2-1 win over Brann in this club friendly, delivering a result that reflected their ability to make the most of key moments despite limited statistical data from the match. Both teams approached the contest with attacking intent, but it was Start who ultimately capitalized on their opportunities to secure the win. The match unfolded as a closely contested affair, with neither side able to fully dominate proceedings. While detailed statistics such as possession or shots on target are unavailable, the scoreline and absence of disciplinary incidents suggest a competitive yet fair contest. Brann managed to pull a goal back, but Start held firm to see out the result.

๐Ÿ”ฅ AI Prediction Report

CERTIFIED W

Predicted

1 - 2

โšก

Actual

2 - 1

โŒResult
โœ…BTTS
โœ…O/U 2.5
โŒScore

๐Ÿ’ฐ Bet Results1/1 hit

over_under_2_5 โ€” Over 2.5
โœ…
1x2 โ€” Brann
โ“

Key Moments

Unknown' โ€” Goal

Start open the scoring to take the lead.

Unknown' โ€” Goal

Start double their advantage, putting Brann on the back foot.

Unknown' โ€” Goal

Brann pull one back to set up a tense finish.

Start

Start

7/10

Start showed clinical edge in front of goal, converting their chances to claim a 2-1 victory. Their ability to score twice without conceding any cards points to a disciplined and focused display, both offensively and defensively. The team maintained composure under pressure, especially after conceding, and managed the game effectively to see out the win.

Key Players

Start Goalscorers: Both goals proved decisive in securing the win.

Strengths

Clinical finishingDisciplined play (no cards conceded)

Weaknesses

Allowed Brann to score and threaten a comeback
Brann

Brann

6/10

Brann fought valiantly but fell just short, managing to find the net once but unable to draw level. Their resilience was evident as they pushed to equalize after going behind, but ultimately they could not break through Start's disciplined defense. The lack of cards suggests they maintained composure, but missed opportunities proved costly.

Key Players

Brann Goalscorer: Kept Brann in the contest with a crucial goal.

Strengths

Resilience after falling behindDisciplined approach (no cards)

Weaknesses

Inability to convert chances into goalsDefensive lapses leading to conceding twice

Tactical Analysis

With no detailed formation or substitution data available, tactical observations must focus on the overall flow. Start's ability to score twice suggests a direct and effective approach in attack, while their discipline at the back ensured they avoided costly fouls or cards. Brann, meanwhile, showed attacking intent by getting on the scoresheet, but defensive vulnerabilities allowed Start to take a decisive lead. Both teams maintained discipline, as evidenced by the absence of yellow or red cards, indicating a fair and open contest.

Turning Point

Start's second goal proved decisive, giving them a cushion that Brann could not overcome despite their efforts.

Man of the Match

Start Goalscorer(s)

Delivered the crucial goals that secured the win for the home side.

Start vs Brann: Match Preview

Start approach this friendly with a mixed recent record, alternating wins and losses in their last five, but notably defeating Brann 2-0 at home just weeks ago. Their home form this season is perfect in a small sample (2 wins, 0 conceded), but their overall record is less convincing, with a -5 goal difference and 16 goals conceded in 9 matches. Brann, meanwhile, arrive on a two-match winning streak and have outscored Start by a wide margin this season, averaging 2.17 goals per game and posting an 83.3% over 2.5 goals rate.

The statistical matchup is shaped by Brann's attacking efficiency and Start's defensive inconsistency. Start allow 1.78 goals per game across the season and have failed to score in 2 of their last 5, while Brann's defensive record is only marginally better (1.5 conceded per game) but their attack is more reliable. Both teams average 5 corners per match and 1.6 yellow cards per game over the last five, suggesting set-piece and discipline rates are close to par. Notably, Brann's goals are concentrated in the second half (4 of last 5), while Start split their scoring more evenly.

Given the underlying rates, the model expects Brann's superior scoring output to tip the balance, but not by a wide margin. The likeliest scenario is a narrow away win in a game with at least two goals, with Start's recent home shutout of Brann serving as a reminder that variance is high in this matchup. Over 2.5 goals is favoured, but the probability of both teams scoring is only slightly above even.

๐ŸŽฎ Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react โ€” then simulate the match and see what happens.

Start1.30

Expected goals ยท model says 1.30

Brann1.85

Expected goals ยท model says 1.85

Win Probability
Start 27% Draw 23% Brann 50%

Over 2.5 Goals

61%

BTTS: Yes

61%

Likely Scores

1-1 ยท 1-2 ยท 0-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above โ€” every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration โ€” not betting advice.

Start vs Brann Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
23%
29%
48%
Start 23%Draw 29%Brann 48%
Both Teams to Score
54%
46%
Yes 54%No 46%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
62%
38%
Over 2.5 62%Under 2.5 38%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
66%
34%
Over 9.5 66%Under 9.5 34%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Start vs Brann that most previews miss.

  • 1Brann's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 this season (83.3%), compared to Start's 5 of 9 (55.6%).
  • 2Start have failed to score in 2 of their last 5, but have scored 6 in their last 2 home games.
  • 3Brann have scored only 1 first-half goal in their last 5 matches, with 4 after the break.

Who do you think wins: Start vs Brann?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Start vs Brann Prediction

This fixture projects as a moderately high-scoring contest, with both sides showing season-long attacking output above league averages but defensive vulnerabilities, particularly from Start. Brann's away scoring rate (1.5 goals conceded, 2.17 scored per game overall) and Start's home clean sheet record (100% in a small sample) set up a clash of contrasting recent home/away splits. The statistical expectation is for Brann to edge it, with Start's recent home win over Brann providing a counterpoint to Brann's dominant long-term H2H record.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • โ†’Brann have won 7 of the last 10 meetings with Start.

Defence

  • โ†’Start have kept clean sheets in both home matches this season but conceded 16 in 7 away games.

Match Context

  • โ†’Brann's season over 2.5 goals rate is 83.3%, Start's is 55.6%.

๐Ÿšฉ Start vs Brann Corners Prediction

medium confidence
11expected total corners
Over 66%
Under 34%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 6 corners for Start and 5 for Brann, for an expected total of 11. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (66%). Over 8.5: 77% ยท Over 10.5: 54%.

How Start and Brann Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Start vs Brann Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals รท 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

StartStartlast 5 matches
D. Dashaevsub/out
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

N. KoutsakosXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

J. Meyersub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

O. ToureXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

J. Corneliussub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

E. ReitanXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

BrannBrannlast 5 matches
Kristall Mani IngasonXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

Eggert Aron GudmundssonXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

S. MagnussonXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

B. Finnesub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Start's recent form alternates between strong home wins and away defeats, with a 'LWWLW' string and a current one-match losing streak. Brann, in contrast, have won their last two and average more goals per game both recently and over the season, but have also shown defensive lapses, conceding in 4 of their last 5.

Start vs Brann โ€” Last 9 Matches

StartStartLast 9 results
L0-4
L0-1
L2-3
D2-2
L1-2
W2-0
W2-0
L0-4
W2-0
L@ Bodo/Glimt0-4
L@ Tromso0-1
L@ Sandefjord2-3
D@ Bryne2-2
L@ Rosenborg1-2
Wvs Donn2-0
W@ Lyn2-0
L@ Viking0-4
Wvs Vindbjart2-0

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form โ€” 3+ wins in last 5
  • +High-volume attack โ€” 14 shots/game
BrannBrannLast 6 results
L1-2
W2-1
D2-2
W6-1
L1-2
D1-1
Lvs Kristiansund BK1-2
W@ Aarhus Fremad2-1
Dvs Sotra2-2
Wvs ODD Ballklubb6-1
L@ Slavia Praha1-2
Dvs FC Copenhagen1-1

Strengths

  • +Over 2.5 goals in 83.33% of games this season

What History Says: Start vs Brann

Brann have won 7 of the last 10 meetings with Start, including several away victories, but Start did win the most recent clash 2-0 at home. Draws are rare in this fixture, with only two in the last decade, and most matches are decided by a single goal margin.

Start vs Brann Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

1

Start wins

2

Draws

7

Brann wins

10%20% draws70%
13 Sept 26Start vs Brann2-0
12 Jul 26Brann vs Start2-1
4 Aug 22Brann vs Start1-0
7 Jul 22Start vs Brann0-2
9 Dec 20Start vs Brann1-1
19 Jul 20Brann vs Start1-1

Things to Watch: Start vs Brann

  • โš ๏ธNo bookmaker odds available, so no value edge can be calculated.
  • โš ๏ธStandings and venue details are missing, reducing context for motivation and home advantage.
  • โš ๏ธFriendlies format can introduce rotation and lower intensity, increasing variance.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ€” always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Start 1โ€“2 Brann

Brann are projected to win 2-1, based primarily on their higher season-long scoring rate (2.17 per game) and dominance in the head-to-head. The main risk to this call is Start's recent home form and their clean sheet against Brann in the last meeting, which could signal a tactical adjustment or simply reflect small-sample variance.

Start vs Brann: Common Questions

Who will win Start vs Brann?

The model gives Brann a 48% chance of victory, Start 23%, and a draw 29%. Brann's superior scoring rate and 7 wins in the last 10 H2Hs make them the statistical favourites, but Start's recent home win over Brann keeps the probability below 50%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Start vs Brann?

There's a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals, with both teams showing high season over 2.5 rates (Brann 83.3%, Start 55.6%) and a combined average of 2.8 goals per game in their last five matches.

Will both teams score in Start vs Brann?

The model estimates a 54% chance of both teams scoring. Start have scored in 3 of their last 5, while Brann have conceded in 4 of their last 5, though both have recorded one clean sheet recently.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Start vs Brann: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline โ€” season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 2 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes โ€” see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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