Stockport County vs Peterborough Predictions
League One · England
Stockport County
Full Time
3 - 1
AI predicted 2 - 1
Peterborough
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Stockport County Win
Match Result
8/10Stockport County Storm Back to Sink Peterborough in Four-Goal Thriller
Stockport County produced a stirring comeback at Edgeley Park, overturning an early deficit to defeat Peterborough 3-1 in an entertaining League One clash. Despite conceding first in the 13th minute, Stockport responded with relentless attacking, ultimately overwhelming their visitors with a barrage of chances and clinical finishing. The hosts' dominance was reflected in their 28 shots, 11 of which tested the Peterborough goalkeeper, and a commanding 56% share of possession. Peterborough started brightly and took the lead, but struggled to contain Stockport's attacking midfielders and wide play as the match wore on. Stockport's equaliser before the break set the stage for a dominant second half, with goals in the 48th and 64th minutes sealing a deserved victory. Both sides matched each other on corners, but Stockport's incisiveness in the final third proved decisive.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
3 - 1
💰 Bet Results3/3 hit
Key Moments
13' — Goal
H. Leonard gives Peterborough an early lead, finishing a swift move.
28' — Goal
L. Barry levels for Stockport, capping a period of sustained pressure.
48' — Goal
A. Sidibeh puts Stockport ahead shortly after the restart with a composed finish.
64' — Goal
Stockport extend their lead, putting the result beyond doubt.
35' — Yellow Card
Stockport's O. Norwood booked for a tactical foul.
52' — Yellow Card
Peterborough's T. Lees shown yellow for dissent.
Stockport County
Stockport County bounced back impressively after conceding the opener, dictating the tempo and creating a multitude of chances. Their 4-2-3-1 formation allowed for fluid movement in midfield and effective support for lone striker A. Sidibeh. The team pressed high, forced errors, and were rewarded with three well-taken goals. Defensively, they recovered from a shaky start to limit Peterborough's threat after the early setback.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Peterborough
Peterborough began the match on the front foot, capitalizing on an early opportunity to take the lead. However, their 4-1-4-1 setup struggled to cope with Stockport's attacking waves, especially after conceding the equaliser. While they managed six shots on target, their attacks became increasingly sporadic as Stockport seized control. Defensively, Peterborough were overwhelmed by the hosts' movement and failed to adapt tactically as the game slipped away.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Stockport's 4-2-3-1 formation provided a solid base, with two holding midfielders allowing their attacking trio to operate with freedom behind Sidibeh. The hosts pressed high and exploited the wide areas, stretching Peterborough's back line and creating overloads. After falling behind, Stockport increased their tempo, with full-backs pushing forward and midfielders making late runs into the box. Peterborough's 4-1-4-1 initially provided defensive stability, but as Stockport grew into the game, the visitors' midfield was frequently overrun, and their lone striker became isolated. Both teams were evenly matched on corners, but Stockport's superior movement and creativity in open play made the difference. Peterborough's inability to adapt—either by switching shape or shoring up midfield—allowed Stockport to dominate the second half.
Turning Point
Stockport's equaliser in the 28th minute shifted momentum, allowing them to seize control and ultimately run out comfortable winners.
Man of the Match
L. Barry
Scored the crucial equaliser and orchestrated Stockport's attacking play with intelligence and energy.
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Expected goals · model says 1.80
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS: Yes
57%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Stockport County vs Peterborough Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Stockport County vs Peterborough?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Stockport County vs Peterborough(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Stockport County Win
Stockport County have strong recent form (WLDWW), a solid home record (12W/4D/4L), and face a Peterborough side in poor form (LLDLD) with a weak away record (7W/2D/13L).
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have high over 2.5 goal percentages (Stockport 58.5%, Peterborough 57.1%), and both average over 1.4 goals scored per game. Recent H2H also suggests goals.
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BTTS: Yes
Peterborough have seen BTTS in all of their last 5 matches, and Stockport have failed to keep a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5. Both teams' attacks are stronger than their defences.
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More League One Predictions
The Case For This Stockport County vs Peterborough Prediction
Stockport County come into this match in strong form, looking to consolidate their playoff spot against a struggling Peterborough side. Stockport have been efficient at home, while Peterborough's away form is among the worst in the division. Both teams are capable of scoring, but Stockport's recent defensive solidity and attacking output make them clear favourites. Expect a competitive match with goals at both ends, but the home side should have the edge.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Stockport's recent form: 3 wins in last 5, unbeaten in 4
Attack
- →Both teams average over 1.4 goals scored per game
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported
Match Context
- →Peterborough's poor run: 0 wins in last 5, 2 straight losses
- →Stockport strong at home (12W/4D/4L), Peterborough weak away (7W/2D/13L)
- →High over 2.5 goal % for both sides
🚩 Stockport County vs Peterborough Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.8 corners for Stockport County and 5 for Peterborough, for an expected total of 10.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (64%). Over 8.5: 75% · Over 10.5: 52%.
How Stockport County and Peterborough Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Stockport County vs Peterborough Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Stockport Countylast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Peterboroughlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Stockport County vs Peterborough — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +High-volume attack — 18 shots/game
- +Dominant in possession — 64% avg
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
What History Says: Stockport County vs Peterborough
Stockport County vs Peterborough Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
2
Stockport County wins
1
Draws
1
Peterborough wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Stockport County vs Peterborough
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Stockport County vs Peterborough
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be computed
- ⚠️Some missing away team match stats (shots, possession, etc.) in recent matches reduces confidence in precise modelling
- ⚠️Small H2H sample (3 matches) limits trend reliability
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Stockport County vs Peterborough: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 18 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.