Stockport County vs Peterborough Predictions
League One · England
Stockport County
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 1
Peterborough
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Match Result
7.2/10Stockport Edge Peterborough in Tight Contest at Edgeley Park
Stockport County claimed a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Peterborough in a closely contested League One encounter at Edgeley Park. The decisive moment arrived early in the second half, as Stockport broke the deadlock in the 51st minute and managed to hold off a spirited Peterborough response. The hosts enjoyed a slight edge in possession (54%) and created more chances, registering 14 shots with 5 on target, compared to Peterborough's 10 shots and 4 on target. Both sides matched each other for intensity and discipline, each committing 8 fouls, but Peterborough's frustration showed with three yellow cards to Stockport's one. Ultimately, Stockport's organization and resilience saw them through to a valuable three points.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
1 - 0
Key Moments
51' — Goal
Stockport County break the deadlock with a well-worked move, putting them 1-0 ahead.
65' — Yellow Card
Peterborough's frustration grows as a third player is booked for a late challenge.
78' — Substitution
Stockport make a tactical change to reinforce their defense and protect the lead.
85' — Chance
Peterborough come close with a shot on target, but L. Ashby-Hammond makes a crucial save.
Stockport County
Stockport County delivered a disciplined and effective performance, making the most of their 3-4-3 setup to control midfield and create the better chances. Their pressing and energy in the middle third allowed them to edge possession and keep Peterborough largely at bay, especially after taking the lead. The back three, marshaled by E. O'Connell, were solid under pressure, and the midfield four provided both defensive cover and attacking impetus. The winning goal in the 51st minute was the product of persistent attacking play, and Stockport managed the game well after going ahead, restricting Peterborough's opportunities and seeing out the result with composure.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Peterborough
Peterborough put in a determined shift but ultimately lacked the cutting edge to break down Stockport's well-drilled defense. Their 4-2-3-1 formation provided width and attacking options, but they struggled to maintain possession and were forced into more reactive play after conceding early in the second half. Despite creating 10 shots and 4 on target, they were unable to convert their chances. The visitors' frustration was evident with three players finding their way into the referee's book, and while they pushed for an equalizer, Stockport's defensive discipline proved too much to overcome.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Stockport's 3-4-3 formation allowed them to outnumber Peterborough in midfield, giving them a slight possession advantage and the ability to press high up the pitch. The wing-backs provided width, while the front three kept Peterborough's defense occupied throughout. After taking the lead, Stockport adjusted by dropping one of the midfielders deeper, effectively shifting to a more conservative shape to protect their advantage. Peterborough's 4-2-3-1 setup looked to exploit the flanks and create overloads in wide areas, but they struggled to break down Stockport's compact back three. Their attempts to play through the middle were often stifled, and while their transitions were quick, they lacked the final pass or finish to make their pressure count.
Turning Point
The opening goal in the 51st minute gave Stockport the platform to control the game and forced Peterborough to chase, ultimately deciding the contest.
Man of the Match
E. O'Connell
Commanded the Stockport defense, kept Peterborough at bay, and led by example throughout.
Stockport County vs Peterborough: Match Preview
Stockport County come into this fixture sitting 8th, having won three of their opening six, but with a volatile form string (LWLWL) and a defence that has been breached ten times already. Their home matches have been high-scoring affairs, with nine goals scored and seven conceded in just three games at Edgeley Park. Peterborough, 21st in the table, have managed only one win and have struggled badly on the road, picking up a single point and scoring just once in three away matches.
Statistically, the match is shaped by Stockport's attacking output against Peterborough's defensive frailty. Stockport's average of 18 shots and 6.2 on target per home game is among the league's best, while Peterborough are conceding 2.33 goals per away match. The home side's matches are frequently open—83% over 2.5 goals, 60% BTTS in the last five—while Peterborough's games have been lower scoring but with a worrying trend of conceding heavily away. Set-piece data also favours Stockport, who average over eight corners per home game.
The model expects Stockport to dictate play, create more chances, and ultimately break through a Peterborough side lacking both attacking punch and away resilience. The likeliest scenario is a Stockport win with both teams scoring, but the visitors' habit of keeping first halves tight suggests a narrower margin than Stockport's raw attacking numbers might imply.
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Expected goals · model says 1.90
Expected goals · model says 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS: Yes
59%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Stockport County vs Peterborough Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Stockport County vs Peterborough that most previews miss.
- 1Stockport's home matches average 5.33 total goals, the highest in League One so far.
- 2Peterborough have failed to score before half-time in four of their last five league matches.
- 3The last four H2H meetings have produced three or more goals on three occasions.
Who do you think wins: Stockport County vs Peterborough?
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The Case For This Stockport County vs Peterborough Prediction
Stockport County's attack has been among the most productive in League One with an average of 2.67 goals per game, but defensive lapses have kept their matches open—just one clean sheet in six and 83% of games going over 2.5 goals. Peterborough, by contrast, have struggled for end product (0.67 goals per game in the league) and have the division's leakiest away defence, conceding 7 in three road trips. Stockport's home shot volume (18 per game) and corner count (8.2 per game) point to sustained pressure, while Peterborough's away record shows little threat—just one goal scored away all season. The underlying rates point to a high-probability Stockport win in a match with goals at both ends, but Peterborough's tendency to keep games tight in the first half (just one first-half goal scored in their last five) tempers the margin outlook.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Stockport average 2.67 goals scored per game, highest among the two sides.
Match Context
- →Peterborough have scored just once away from home in three league matches.
- →Stockport's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 83% of league fixtures.
🚩 Stockport County vs Peterborough Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 7.2 corners for Stockport County and 5.2 for Peterborough, for an expected total of 12.3. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (79%). Over 8.5: 87% · Over 10.5: 69%.
How Stockport County and Peterborough Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Stockport County vs Peterborough Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Stockport Countylast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Peterboroughlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Stockport's recent form is erratic but attack-minded, alternating wins and losses (LWLWL) with 13 goals scored and 9 conceded in their last five. Peterborough have struggled to find wins, with just one in six league matches, and have failed to score in two of their last five, but have shown some resilience with two draws in that span.
Stockport County vs Peterborough — Last 6 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 83.33% of games this season
- +High-volume attack — 18 shots/game
- +Dominant in possession — 61% avg
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Strengths
- +High-volume attack — 16 shots/game
- +Dominant in possession — 55% avg
What History Says: Stockport County vs Peterborough
Stockport have won both recent home meetings with Peterborough, including a 3-1 victory last April. Three of the last four head-to-heads have featured at least three goals, and only one has ended in a draw, suggesting a tendency for decisive results and open contests between these sides.
Stockport County vs Peterborough Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
2
Stockport County wins
1
Draws
1
Peterborough wins
Things to Watch: Stockport County vs Peterborough
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available—no value or edge calculations possible.
- ⚠️Small sample size for both teams' season-long data (six matches).
- ⚠️Lineups not confirmed; late changes could affect attacking/defensive balance.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Stockport County 2–1 PeterboroughStockport's scoring rate and Peterborough's away defensive record combine to make a home win with goals the most probable outcome—2-1 is the statistical mode. The single strongest data point is Stockport's 2.67 goals per game and 83% over 2.5 rate. The main risk is Peterborough's tendency to keep games close in the first half, which could delay the breakthrough or keep the margin tighter than expected.
Stockport County vs Peterborough: Common Questions
Who will win Stockport County vs Peterborough?
The model gives Stockport County a 51% chance of victory, with a 29% probability for a draw and 20% for a Peterborough win. Stockport's home attack (2.67 goals per game) and Peterborough's poor away record (one goal scored, seven conceded in three) underpin the home edge.
Will both teams score in Stockport County vs Peterborough?
There is a 54% probability of both teams scoring, based on Stockport's 60% BTTS rate in the last five and Peterborough's tendency to concede but occasionally find a late goal. However, Peterborough have failed to score in two of their last five league matches.
How many goals are expected in Stockport County vs Peterborough?
The model estimates a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals, driven by Stockport's high-scoring home matches (5.33 total goals per game) and Peterborough's defensive issues on the road. Under 2.5 goals is rated at 38%.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Stockport County vs Peterborough: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 19 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.