Stuttgart U19 vs Freiburg U19 Predictions
DFB Junioren Pokal · Germany
Stuttgart U19
Full Time
3 - 2
AI predicted 2 - 1
Freiburg U19
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Stuttgart U19 Win
Match Result
8.2/10Stuttgart U19 Edge Freiburg U19 in Extra-Time DFB Junioren Pokal Thriller
Stuttgart U19 claimed a dramatic 3-2 victory over Freiburg U19 after extra time in a pulsating DFB Junioren Pokal clash. The hosts took the lead in the first half, but Freiburg responded after the interval and the sides traded blows in a tense second half before Stuttgart found the decisive goal in extra time. The match ebbed and flowed, with Stuttgart striking first in the 36th minute. Freiburg equalized early in the second half and, despite Stuttgart regaining the lead with 15 minutes to play, Freiburg refused to yield, drawing level again in the 83rd minute. Ultimately, Stuttgart found the winner in the 91st minute, just after the restart in extra time, to seal a memorable cup triumph.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
3 - 2
💰 Bet Results1/1 hit
Key Moments
36' — Goal
Stuttgart U19 take the lead with a well-timed opener.
50' — Goal
Freiburg U19 equalize early in the second half, shifting the momentum.
75' — Goal
Stuttgart U19 regain the lead, putting pressure back on Freiburg.
83' — Goal
Freiburg U19 level again, forcing the match into extra time.
91' — Goal
Stuttgart U19 strike quickly in extra time to take a decisive 3-2 lead.
Stuttgart U19
Stuttgart U19 showed resilience and attacking intent, taking the lead twice and ultimately prevailing in extra time. Their ability to respond to Freiburg's pressure, especially after conceding two equalisers, highlighted their mental fortitude and desire to progress. The hosts also managed the game's emotional swings well, despite picking up two yellow cards along the way.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Freiburg U19
Freiburg U19 demonstrated impressive fighting spirit, coming from behind twice to keep their cup hopes alive. Their equalizers in the 50th and 83rd minutes were testament to their attacking persistence. However, they were ultimately undone by an early extra-time goal and could not find a response in the final period.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With both teams trading goals and momentum, the match was a showcase of attacking transitions and mental resilience. While specific formations are unavailable, Stuttgart's willingness to push forward after conceding equalisers suggests a proactive approach, likely with an emphasis on width and quick ball progression. Freiburg's ability to respond twice hints at a well-drilled side capable of raising their intensity in key moments, possibly shifting to a more attacking shape as the match wore on. The lack of cards for Freiburg points to disciplined pressing, whereas Stuttgart's two bookings indicate a more aggressive or desperate defensive stance at times, especially as they sought to protect leads.
Turning Point
Stuttgart U19's goal in the 91st minute of extra time, coming immediately after the restart, broke Freiburg's resistance and ultimately decided the contest.
Man of the Match
Stuttgart U19 Goal Scorer (91')
Delivered the match-winning goal in extra time, capping a tireless performance.
Stuttgart U19 vs Freiburg U19: Match Preview
Stuttgart U19 enter this DFB Junioren Pokal tie in prolific form, having netted 19 goals across their last five fixtures and winning four of those, including a statement 6-1 victory away at Bayern München U19. Freiburg U19, meanwhile, are unbeaten in their last five, with three wins and a draw, and have conceded just four goals in that stretch. Both sides progressed comfortably in their opening cup matches, each keeping a clean sheet, but Stuttgart’s attacking numbers stand out.
The statistical matchup points to a high-goal contest. Stuttgart’s last five matches average 5.0 total goals, and both teams have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in cup play this season. Stuttgart’s attack, averaging 3.8 goals per game recently, faces a Freiburg defence that has kept three clean sheets in five, but has not faced an attack of this quality. Head-to-head, Stuttgart have won 7 of the last 10 meetings and all five at home, frequently by two-goal margins. Both teams have scored in three of Stuttgart’s last five, suggesting BTTS is also in play.
The model expects Stuttgart’s offensive edge and home H2H record to prove decisive, projecting a 2-1 win. While Freiburg’s defensive form and resilience could keep them in the game, Stuttgart’s superior scoring rate and historical dominance at home make them favourites to progress, though the margin is likely to be narrow given Freiburg’s recent solidity.
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Expected goals · model says 1.80
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Stuttgart U19 vs Freiburg U19 Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Stuttgart U19 vs Freiburg U19 that most previews miss.
- 1Stuttgart U19 have averaged 3.8 goals scored per game in their last five, with zero failed to score.
- 2All five of Stuttgart’s most recent home H2H matches against Freiburg U19 have ended in victory, with an aggregate score of 12-2.
- 3Both teams have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in their single DFB Junioren Pokal match this season.
Who do you think wins: Stuttgart U19 vs Freiburg U19?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Stuttgart U19 vs Freiburg U19(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Stuttgart U19 Win
Stuttgart U19 have won 7 of the last 10 H2H meetings and are averaging 3.8 goals per game over their last five, with no failed to score in that span. Their historical edge and attacking rate justify a lean towards the home win, though odds are not available to confirm value.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have hit 100% over 2.5 goals in their single cup match this season, and Stuttgart U19's last five average 5.0 total goals per game, suggesting a high-scoring environment.
Read more ↓
More DFB Junioren Pokal Predictions
The Case For This Stuttgart U19 vs Freiburg U19 Prediction
Stuttgart U19 arrive with momentum, having scored 19 goals in their last five matches and winning four of those, including a 6-1 away rout at Bayern München U19. Freiburg U19 are unbeaten in their last five, with three wins and a draw, and have conceded only 0.8 goals per game over that stretch, but their attacking output (2.4 goals per game) is notably lower than Stuttgart’s. Historically, Stuttgart have dominated this matchup, winning 7 of the last 10 meetings and consistently finding the net at home. Statistically, this fixture projects as a high-goal environment. Both sides have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in their cup matches this season, and Stuttgart’s last five have seen an average of 5.0 total goals per game. Stuttgart’s attack (3.8 goals per game, last five) will test a Freiburg defence that has kept three clean sheets in the same span, but has not faced an offence of Stuttgart’s calibre recently. Both teams have failed to score in 0 of their last five, supporting a lean to BTTS, but Stuttgart’s superior scoring rate and home H2H record tip the balance. The model expects Stuttgart to edge a competitive match, with the most likely path being an early breakthrough and a narrow margin maintained through disciplined defending. Freiburg’s resilience and recent clean sheets suggest they will keep the scoreline tight, but Stuttgart’s historical dominance and current attacking output make them slight favourites.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Stuttgart U19 have scored 19 goals in their last 5 matches (3.8 per game), with no failed to score.
- →Stuttgart U19 have won 7 of the last 10 H2H meetings, including all 5 at home.
Defence
- →Freiburg U19 are unbeaten in 5, conceding just 0.8 goals per game and keeping 3 clean sheets.
How Stuttgart U19 and Freiburg U19 Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Stuttgart U19 vs Freiburg U19 Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Stuttgart U19last 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Freiburg U19last 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Stuttgart U19 have surged into the new season with four wins in their last five, including a 6-1 away demolition of Bayern München U19 and a 5-0 cup victory, averaging 3.8 goals per game. Freiburg U19 are unbeaten in five, with three wins, a draw, and a strong defensive record of just 0.8 goals conceded per match, but their attack has not matched Stuttgart’s output.
Stuttgart U19 vs Freiburg U19 — Last 2 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 3.8 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Stuttgart U19 vs Freiburg U19
Stuttgart U19 have won 7 of the last 10 meetings with Freiburg U19, including all five home fixtures, often by two-goal margins. The most common scorelines have been 2-0 and 3-1 to Stuttgart, and Freiburg have only managed one win in this span, highlighting a clear historical home advantage.
Stuttgart U19 vs Freiburg U19 Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
7
Stuttgart U19 wins
2
Draws
1
Freiburg U19 wins
Things to Watch: Stuttgart U19 vs Freiburg U19
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Very limited current season data (only one cup match played for each side).
- ⚠️No detailed shot, possession, or set piece stats available for recent matches.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Stuttgart U19 2–1 Freiburg U19Stuttgart U19 are projected to win 2-1, driven by their 3.8 goals per game average over the last five matches and a dominant home head-to-head record. The single strongest data point is Stuttgart’s 7 wins in the last 10 H2H, including five straight at home. The main risk is Freiburg’s improved defensive record—three clean sheets in five—potentially limiting Stuttgart’s output and keeping the match closer than the historical trend.
Stuttgart U19 vs Freiburg U19: Common Questions
Who will win Stuttgart U19 vs Freiburg U19?
Stuttgart U19 are favoured with a 47% probability to win, compared to 23% for Freiburg U19 and 30% for the draw. Stuttgart’s recent scoring rate (3.8 goals per game) and dominance in the head-to-head series give them the statistical edge.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Stuttgart U19 vs Freiburg U19?
There is a 62% model probability for over 2.5 goals, with both teams averaging high goal totals in recent matches and a 100% over 2.5 rate in their cup games this season.
Are both teams likely to score in Stuttgart U19 vs Freiburg U19?
Both teams to score is rated at 54%, with Stuttgart U19 having scored in all of their last five and Freiburg U19 also finding the net consistently, though Freiburg’s improved defence could keep it close.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Stuttgart U19 vs Freiburg U19: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 22 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.