SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen Predictions
3. Liga · Germany
SV Wehen
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 2
Rot-Weiß Essen
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Rot-Weiß Essen Win
Match Result
6.3/10Stalemate in Wiesbaden: SV Wehen and Rot-Weiß Essen Share the Spoils
SV Wehen and Rot-Weiß Essen played out a tense 0-0 draw at the BRITA-Arena, with both sides unable to break the deadlock despite flashes of attacking intent. The visitors edged possession with 53% and registered 9 shots to Wehen's 8, but neither team could convert their chances into goals. Both defences stood firm, with goalkeepers F. Stritzel and J. Golz making key interventions to keep their respective sheets clean. The match was marked by a physical edge, as evidenced by Wehen collecting four yellow cards to Essen's one. Set pieces and tactical tweaks, including several substitutions, failed to tip the balance as both sides ultimately settled for a point apiece. The result leaves both teams reflecting on missed opportunities in a closely contested 3. Liga encounter.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
0 - 0
💰 Bet Results0/3 hit
Key Moments
18' — Yellow Card
SV Wehen pick up their first yellow, setting a combative tone.
34' — Yellow Card
Second booking for Wehen as frustrations mount in midfield.
45' — Save
F. Stritzel makes a crucial stop from M. Janssen to keep the score level before halftime.
61' — Yellow Card
Third yellow for Wehen as they struggle to contain Essen's midfield.
70' — Yellow Card
Fourth booking for the hosts, highlighting their physical approach.
78' — Yellow Card
Rot-Weiß Essen receive their first yellow card as the game intensifies.
82' — Save
J. Golz denies a late Wehen effort to preserve the clean sheet.
SV Wehen
SV Wehen started with a bold 3-4-3 formation, looking to assert themselves in front of their home crowd. While they managed 8 shots, with 5 on target, their attacking trio struggled to find a decisive breakthrough against a disciplined Essen backline. The midfield worked hard to create openings, but clear-cut chances were at a premium. Defensively, Wehen were robust, with F. Stritzel providing assurance in goal. However, their aggressive approach led to four yellow cards, suggesting moments of frustration as they tried to disrupt Essen's rhythm. Ultimately, Wehen's inability to convert promising moments into goals was their undoing.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Rot-Weiß Essen
Rot-Weiß Essen lined up in a 4-2-3-1, controlling more of the ball (53% possession) and registering a marginally higher shot count. Their midfield trio worked well to dictate tempo and probe Wehen's defensive lines, with M. Obuz and S. Telalović showing flashes of creativity. Despite their territorial advantage, Essen couldn't find the finishing touch, with only 4 of their 9 shots testing Stritzel. Defensively, they were compact and disciplined, conceding few clear chances and picking up just one yellow card in a measured display.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
SV Wehen's 3-4-3 aimed to provide width and attacking impetus, but Essen's 4-2-3-1 proved effective in crowding the midfield and limiting space for the home forwards. Wehen's wing-backs pushed high, but Essen's disciplined back four and double pivot shielded their penalty area well. Both sides looked to exploit set pieces, with each winning five corners, but neither could capitalize. Essen's greater possession allowed them to dictate the tempo, but Wehen's compact defensive shape forced them into speculative efforts. Substitutions from both managers sought to inject fresh legs and alter the dynamic, but the tactical chess match ultimately ended in stalemate, with both defences coming out on top.
Turning Point
F. Stritzel's crucial save from M. Janssen just before halftime preserved parity and set the tone for a goalless second half.
Man of the Match
F. Stritzel
Kept SV Wehen in the game with several key saves, ensuring a clean sheet in a tight contest.
SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen: Match Preview
SV Wehen enter this match bottom of the table, having lost both opening league fixtures and conceding seven goals in the process. Their current streak of three straight defeats across all competitions highlights defensive fragility, while their attack has managed just a single goal in two league outings. Rot-Weiß Essen, meanwhile, recovered from a heavy away defeat at Saarbrücken (2-5) by edging Havelse 1-0 at home, and sit mid-table with three points from two matches.
The statistical matchup is shaped by Wehen's leaky defence—averaging 3.5 goals conceded per game—against an Essen side that has shown more attacking punch (1.5 goals per game) but also defensive lapses, particularly away from home. The last five for both sides suggest a goal-rich environment: Wehen's matches have averaged three goals, Essen's 2.5, and both have seen BTTS hit in two of their last five. Set-piece and discipline data is sparse, but Wehen's 1.6 yellow cards per game hint at some defensive desperation.
Model rates this as a high-probability over 2.5 goals match, with Rot-Weiß Essen more likely to edge it thanks to their superior scoring rate and Wehen's defensive woes. The likeliest scenario is an away win in a match with multiple goals, but with both teams' defensive records, a draw or late swing cannot be discounted.
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Expected goals · model says 1.30
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS: Yes
59%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen that most previews miss.
- 1Wehen have a 0% clean sheet rate in both their last five and this league season, conceding at least twice in every competitive match so far.
- 2Four of the last six H2H meetings have featured at least four goals, with both teams scoring in five of those contests.
- 3Wehen's home league record this season: 1-3 defeat, continuing a trend of high-scoring home losses in this matchup.
Who do you think wins: SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Rot-Weiß Essen Win
Rot-Weiß Essen have scored three times as many goals as Wehen in the opening two league games (3 vs 1) and have a stronger away scoring rate (2 goals in their only away match), while Wehen have conceded 7 in two matches and lost three straight competitive fixtures.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have seen high concession rates early in the season (Wehen 3.5 conceded per game, Essen 2.5), and 100% of Wehen's matches have gone over 2.5 goals so far.
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BTTS: Yes
Despite Wehen's attacking struggles, Essen have conceded in both league matches, and 54% BTTS probability is supported by the defensive numbers on both sides.
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More 3. Liga Predictions
The Case For This SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen Prediction
Statistically, this fixture projects as a relatively high-scoring encounter between two sides with defensive vulnerabilities and contrasting early-season momentum. SV Wehen have shipped seven goals in their opening two league games, while Rot-Weiß Essen have already found the net three times and claimed a win. Both teams' early home/away splits and recent head-to-heads suggest a match that tilts towards the visitors, but the data also points to goals at both ends.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Rot-Weiß Essen have scored in both league matches and average 1.5 goals per game so far.
Defence
- →Wehen have conceded 3.5 goals per game in the league, the worst defensive rate in the division after two rounds.
- →Wehen have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches and have not scored in three of those.
🚩 SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for SV Wehen and 5.4 for Rot-Weiß Essen, for an expected total of 10.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (57%). Over 8.5: 69% · Over 10.5: 44%.
How SV Wehen and Rot-Weiß Essen Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
SV Wehenlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Rot-Weiß Essenlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
SV Wehen have lost three straight competitive matches, conceding nine goals and scoring just twice in that span. Rot-Weiß Essen, by contrast, broke a four-match losing streak with a home win last time out and have at least found the net in both league games. The momentum and underlying rates both favour the visitors.
SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen — Last 3 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.2 goals/game
- −Leaky defence — 2.6 conceded/game
Strengths
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +66.67% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen
The last six meetings between these sides have produced five matches with both teams scoring and four with at least four goals. Rot-Weiß Essen have won their last two visits to Wehen, including a 4-3 win last season, suggesting a historical edge in high-scoring affairs.
SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen Head-to-Head History
Last 7 meetings between these sides
3
SV Wehen wins
2
Draws
2
Rot-Weiß Essen wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen
With no bookmaker odds available, value cannot be formally calculated. However, the model's 43% away win probability and 60% over 2.5 goals rate both exceed what is typically implied by standard 3. Liga odds, indicating potential value on the away side and goal-heavy markets if prices are favourable.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen
- ⚠️Sample sizes are small with only two league matches played for each team; recent friendlies may not reflect competitive intensity.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️No team news or lineup data for this fixture; late injuries or rotations could shift probabilities.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
SV Wehen 1–2 Rot-Weiß EssenThe model projects a 2-1 away win for Rot-Weiß Essen, anchored by Wehen's league-worst defensive record (3.5 goals conceded per game) and Essen's ability to score away from home. The main risk is Wehen's potential for a reaction at home or Essen's own defensive inconsistencies, which could open the door for a draw or a higher-scoring outcome.
SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen: Common Questions
Who will win SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
Model assigns a 43% probability to an away win for Rot-Weiß Essen, 32% to a draw, and 25% to a home win. Essen's stronger scoring rate and Wehen's defensive struggles drive the edge towards the visitors.
Will both teams score in SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
Both teams to score is rated at 54% probability, with both sides showing defensive weaknesses and four of the last six head-to-heads featuring goals for each team.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in this match?
There's a 60% probability for over 2.5 goals, supported by Wehen's 100% over 2.5 rate in the league so far and a recent head-to-head trend of high-scoring encounters.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 22 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.