Témouchent vs MB Rouisset Predictions
Ligue 1 · Algeria
Témouchent
Full Time
0 - 2
AI predicted 1 - 0
MB Rouisset
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
6.5/10MB Rouisset Triumphs 2-0 Over Témouchent in Clinical Away Display
MB Rouisset delivered a disciplined and efficient performance to secure a 2-0 away victory against Témouchent in this Ligue 1 clash. The visitors struck first with a goal in the 30th minute, seizing control of the match and never looking back. A second goal in the 74th minute put the result beyond doubt, capping off a professional display. Témouchent struggled to impose themselves, and their task became even harder after being reduced to ten men following a red card. Despite a spirited effort, the hosts could not break down a resolute MB Rouisset side, who managed the game well and left with all three points.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 0
Actual
0 - 2
💰 Bet Results2/3 hit
Key Moments
30' — Goal
MB Rouisset takes the lead with the opening goal.
Unknown' — Red Card
Témouchent reduced to ten men, compounding their difficulties.
74' — Goal
MB Rouisset scores their second to secure the win.
Témouchent
Témouchent found it difficult to get a foothold in the match, failing to find the net and ultimately succumbing to a 2-0 defeat at home. The hosts were unable to generate enough attacking momentum, and their challenge was compounded by a red card that left them a man down. Despite showing some fight, Témouchent's lack of attacking threat and numerical disadvantage proved too much to overcome against a well-organized MB Rouisset side.
Strengths
Weaknesses
MB Rouisset
MB Rouisset put in a confident and tactically astute performance on the road, taking their chances clinically and controlling the game after going ahead. The visitors opened the scoring on the half-hour mark and managed the match effectively, especially after Témouchent went down to ten men. A second goal in the 74th minute sealed the result, as MB Rouisset's defensive organization and composure ensured a well-deserved three points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With no lineup data available, tactical observations are based on the flow of events. MB Rouisset approached the match with discipline, focusing on defensive solidity and striking at opportune moments. Their ability to capitalize on key chances and maintain composure after taking the lead was evident, as they managed the game tempo and limited Témouchent's opportunities. Témouchent struggled to adapt after going down to ten men, unable to find a way through MB Rouisset's organized defense. The visitors' tactical discipline, combined with clinical finishing, proved decisive in a match where set pieces and transitions likely played a key role.
Turning Point
The red card to Témouchent, which left them a man down and made a comeback highly unlikely.
Man of the Match
Unknown Goalscorer (30', 74')
Scored both goals and proved decisive in MB Rouisset's victory.
Témouchent vs MB Rouisset: Match Preview
Témouchent arrive in mid-table after three rounds, sitting 6th with four points and an unbeaten home record (one win, one draw, one goal conceded at home). MB Rouisset, 11th, have also taken three points but have lost both away games without scoring. Both sides have nearly identical early-season records, with a single win apiece and negative goal differences, suggesting a closely-matched contest on paper.
The statistical matchup points firmly toward a low-scoring affair. Témouchent average 0.67 goals scored and 1 conceded per match, while MB Rouisset post the same numbers, but crucially have yet to score on their travels (0 for, 3 against in two away games). Both teams have seen all their matches finish under 2.5 goals, and only one of Témouchent’s last five has produced BTTS. Defensive solidity is further underlined by three clean sheets in Témouchent’s last five and two for MB Rouisset.
Given these rates, the model expects a tight, risk-averse encounter with few clear chances. Témouchent’s marginally better home defensive record and MB Rouisset’s away goal drought tip the balance slightly in favour of the hosts. The most probable outcome is a 1-0 home win, with a significant chance of a goalless draw if neither side can break through early.
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Expected goals · model says 0.90
Expected goals · model says 0.45
Over 2.5 Goals
15%
BTTS: Yes
22%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Témouchent vs MB Rouisset Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Témouchent vs MB Rouisset that most previews miss.
- 1All six combined league matches for these teams this season have finished under 2.5 goals.
- 2MB Rouisset have failed to score in their last four away matches across all competitions.
- 3Témouchent have kept three clean sheets in their last five matches, conceding just three goals in that span.
Who do you think wins: Témouchent vs MB Rouisset?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Témouchent vs MB Rouisset(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both sides have averaged just 0.67 goals scored and 1 conceded per game this season, with neither team seeing a match go over 2.5 goals so far. The model assigns an 85% probability to under 2.5 goals, with both teams showing a strong defensive orientation and limited attacking output.
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BTTS: No
MB Rouisset have failed to score in both away matches this season, and Témouchent have kept three clean sheets in their last five. Only one of Témouchent’s last five has seen both teams score, and the model gives an 82% probability for BTTS No.
Read more ↓
Correct Score: 1–0
The most likely scoreline by model probabilities is 1-0 to Témouchent (24%), reflecting their marginally stronger home record and MB Rouisset’s lack of goals away from home.
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More Ligue 1 Predictions
The Case For This Témouchent vs MB Rouisset Prediction
Statistically, this fixture profiles as a low-scoring contest between two sides with nearly identical scoring and concession rates, but with Témouchent holding a slight home advantage. Both teams have averaged just 0.67 goals scored per match and have yet to see a game go over 2.5 goals this season. MB Rouisset’s away attack has been particularly blunt, failing to score in either of their road fixtures, while Témouchent have conceded only once in two home matches.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Both teams average 0.67 goals scored and 1 conceded per game this season.
- →Témouchent are unbeaten at home (1 win, 1 draw), conceding just once.
Match Context
- →MB Rouisset have failed to score in both away matches this season.
How Témouchent and MB Rouisset Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Témouchent vs MB Rouisset Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Témouchentlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
MB Rouissetlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Témouchent have shown defensive resilience at home, remaining unbeaten in two matches and conceding just once. Their last five include three clean sheets and only one failure to score. MB Rouisset have struggled on the road, losing both away games this season without finding the net and have failed to score in three of their last five overall.
Témouchent vs MB Rouisset — Last 5 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +60% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: Témouchent vs MB Rouisset
No head-to-head data exists for this fixture, so no direct trends or dominant patterns can be referenced. The model must rely on current season performance and home/away splits.
Témouchent vs MB Rouisset Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
Témouchent wins
0
Draws
1
MB Rouisset wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Témouchent vs MB Rouisset
Due to the absence of bookmaker odds, no explicit value edges can be identified for this fixture. However, the model’s strong lean toward under 2.5 goals and BTTS No suggests these markets would be the first to check for value if odds become available.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Témouchent vs MB Rouisset
- ⚠️No head-to-head data is available for these teams, increasing uncertainty.
- ⚠️Small sample size: only three league matches per team this season.
- ⚠️No current odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Témouchent 1–0 MB RouissetThe model projects a 1-0 win for Témouchent, driven by MB Rouisset’s inability to score away from home (0 goals in two away matches) and Témouchent’s solid home defensive record. The biggest risk to this prediction is the small sample size—just three league games for each side—so any early attacking improvement or set-piece goal could swing the outcome.
Témouchent vs MB Rouisset: Common Questions
Who will win Témouchent vs MB Rouisset?
The model gives Témouchent a 45% probability of victory, with a 38% chance of a draw and just 17% for an MB Rouisset away win. Témouchent’s unbeaten home record and MB Rouisset’s away goal drought are the key factors.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Témouchent vs MB Rouisset?
There is an 85% probability of under 2.5 goals, as neither team has seen a match go over that line this season and both average just 0.67 goals scored per game.
Will both teams score in Témouchent vs MB Rouisset?
The model assigns an 82% probability to 'No' for both teams to score, with MB Rouisset failing to score in both away matches and Témouchent keeping three clean sheets in their last five.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Témouchent vs MB Rouisset: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 19 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.