Témouchent vs USM Alger Predictions

Témouchent PredictionsUSM Alger PredictionsLigue 1H2H Stats
Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Ligue 1Ligue 1 · Algeria
high confidence
Témouchent

Témouchent

AI Predicted Score

0 - 2

USM Alger

USM Alger

🗓️ Saturday, 21 Nov 2026 at 17:00 CET (venue time) · 16:00 UTC (your time)

Win Probability (1X2)

Témouchent 16%Draw 32%USM Alger 52%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: USM Alger Win

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Recommended Bets: Témouchent vs USM Alger

Match Result: USM Alger Win
7/10
BTTS: No
7/10

Témouchent vs USM Alger: Match Preview

Témouchent approach this contest in mid-table, having drawn four of their last five and struggling to find a decisive edge at home. With only two wins from nine and a home record of one win in five, their season has been defined by tight, low-scoring encounters and a lack of cutting edge in attack. USM Alger, by contrast, sit above them in the table and have lost just once in seven league outings, combining a solid defensive base with a consistent scoring threat—especially on their travels.

Statistically, the matchup is defined by USM Alger's away efficiency: they average 1.25 goals scored and just 0.75 conceded per away game, with a clean sheet in over half their league matches. Témouchent's home attack has produced only 0.8 goals per game, and their season clean sheet rate is a league-low 11%. Both teams have seen under 2.5 goals in the majority of their matches (Témouchent 89%, USM Alger 71%), and Témouchent have failed to score in one of their last five, pointing to a likely low-scoring pattern.

Given these underlying rates, the model expects USM Alger to control proceedings, limiting Témouchent's threat while finding opportunities through their more varied attack. The likeliest outcome is a controlled away win, with the most probable scoreline 2-0 to the visitors. The main risk lies in Témouchent's tendency to draw games and USM Alger's occasional away stumbles, but the statistical shape of the fixture points to the visitors' superiority.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Témouchent0.75

Expected goals · model says 0.75

USM Alger1.45

Expected goals · model says 1.45

Win Probability
Témouchent 19% Draw 27% USM Alger 54%

Over 2.5 Goals

38%

BTTS: Yes

40%

Likely Scores

0-1 · 1-1 · 0-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Témouchent vs USM Alger Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
16%
32%
52%
Témouchent 16%Draw 32%USM Alger 52%
Both Teams to Score
31%
69%
Yes 31%No 69%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
39%
61%
Over 2.5 39%Under 2.5 61%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Témouchent vs USM Alger that most previews miss.

  • 1Témouchent's matches have gone under 2.5 goals in 8 of 9 league games (89%), with just one clean sheet all season.
  • 2USM Alger have conceded only 3 goals in 4 away games, keeping 2 clean sheets and never conceding more than once on the road.
  • 3Across all competitions, USM Alger have scored first in 4 of their last 5 matches, with 6 of their last 8 goals coming in the first half.

Who do you think wins: Témouchent vs USM Alger?

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The Case For This Témouchent vs USM Alger Prediction

This fixture sets up as a clash between one of Ligue 1's most robust away defences and a home side struggling to convert draws into wins. USM Alger's superior scoring rate and defensive record, particularly on the road, tilt the balance in their favour against a Témouchent side with just one home victory and a scoring average below a goal per game.

Key Factors at a Glance

Defence

  • →USM Alger's away clean sheet rate stands at 57% this season.
  • →Témouchent have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches.
  • →USM Alger average 1.43 goals scored and 0.71 conceded per match, while Témouchent average just 0.78 scored.

How Témouchent and USM Alger Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Témouchent vs USM Alger Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

TémouchentTémouchentlast 5 matches
M. ItimXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

I. SaihiXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. ZaaloukXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

B. BoubakerXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. H. Hedrougsub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

USM AlgerUSM Algerlast 5 matches
M. RamdaouiXI
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

A. KhaldiXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

S. RadouaniXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Z. DraouiXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. Bouderbalasub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Témouchent have drawn four of their last five matches, with a single win and a single loss in that stretch, underlining their difficulty in finding a winning formula. USM Alger, meanwhile, have won three of their last five and come in off back-to-back victories, including a 3-1 away win in the CAF Super Cup, highlighting their momentum and scoring threat.

Témouchent vs USM Alger — Last 9 Matches

TémouchentTémouchentLast 9 results
D1-1
D1-1
W2-1
D1-1
L0-2
L0-1
W1-0
L0-2
D1-1
D@ Khenchela1-1
Dvs US Biskra1-1
W@ ES Setif2-1
Dvs ASO Chlef1-1
Lvs MB Rouisset0-2
L@ MC Alger0-1
Wvs JS Kabylie1-0
L@ MC Oran0-2
Dvs CS Constantine1-1

Strengths

  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games

Concerns

  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
USM AlgerUSM AlgerLast 7 results
W2-0
D2-2
W1-0
L0-1
W3-2
W2-0
D0-0
W@ CS Constantine2-0
Dvs CR Belouizdad2-2
Wvs JS Saoura1-0
L@ MB Rouisset0-1
W@ Olympique Akbou3-2
Wvs JS El Biar2-0
D@ Khenchela0-0

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
  • +57.14% clean sheet rate this season

What History Says: Témouchent vs USM Alger

The only recent meeting between these sides ended 5-0 in USM Alger's favour, but as a cup fixture it may not fully reflect league dynamics. Still, it underscores the gulf in quality and attacking power between the two squads.

Témouchent vs USM Alger Head-to-Head History

Last 1 meeting between these sides

0

Témouchent wins

0

Draws

1

USM Alger wins

0%0% draws100%
27 Mar 25Témouchent vs USM Alger0-5

Things to Watch: Témouchent vs USM Alger

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value calculations cannot be completed.
  • ⚠️Lack of shot, possession, and set-piece data limits granularity of tactical analysis.
  • ⚠️Sample size for head-to-head is just one match, which was a cup tie rather than league context.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Témouchent 0–2 USM Alger

The model projects a 2-0 win for USM Alger, grounded in their 57% clean sheet rate and Témouchent's meagre 0.8 goals per home game. The main threat to this scenario is Témouchent's resilience in drawing matches—four in their last five—suggesting a low-scoring stalemate is a secondary risk, but the away side's defensive solidity and scoring consistency should see them through.

Témouchent vs USM Alger: Common Questions

Who will win Témouchent vs USM Alger?

USM Alger are clear statistical favourites, with a 52% chance of victory compared to Témouchent's 16%. Their away record (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) and defensive strength give them the edge.

Will both teams score in Témouchent vs USM Alger?

The model gives just a 31% probability to both teams scoring, reflecting Témouchent's low attacking output (0.78 goals per game) and USM Alger's 57% clean sheet rate.

How many goals will there be in Témouchent vs USM Alger?

Under 2.5 goals is favoured at 61%, with both teams averaging a combined 1.89 goals per match this season and only 2 of 16 combined games going over 2.5.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Témouchent vs USM Alger: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 14 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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