Tamworth vs Woking Predictions

Tamworth PredictionsWoking PredictionsNational LeagueH2H Stats
Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
National LeagueNational League · England
high confidence
Tamworth

Tamworth

AI Predicted Score

1 - 2

Woking

Woking

🗓️ Saturday, 31 Oct 2026 at 15:00 GMT (venue time) · 15:00 UTC (your time)📍 The Lamb Ground, Tamworth

Win Probability (1X2)

Tamworth 27%Draw 32%Woking 41%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

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Recommended Bets: Tamworth vs Woking

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
7/10
BTTS: Yes
6/10

Tamworth vs Woking: Match Preview

Tamworth enter this match on the back of two straight defeats, but their recent home form is more encouraging, with three wins from their last five at The Lamb Ground. Woking sit just one point above in the table, also coming off consecutive losses, but have shown greater attacking output in recent away fixtures, notably a 5-2 win at Carlisle and a 3-1 victory at Eastleigh. With both sides hovering just above the relegation zone, the incentive for points is high.

Statistically, this is a fixture shaped by high concession rates and attacking intent. Tamworth's season averages stand at 1.62 scored and 2.31 conceded per game, with a remarkable 84.6% of their league matches finishing over 2.5 goals. Woking's away defence is tighter (1.33 conceded per away game), but their attack is trending up, averaging 1.5 goals per away match. Both teams are prone to second-half goals, but Woking have split their last 12 goals evenly between halves, while Tamworth lean slightly toward late scoring. Clean sheets are rare: Tamworth have managed just two all season, Woking only one.

Given these underlying rates, the model expects a high-probability goal environment, with both teams likely to score and Woking's marginally superior away form tipping the balance. The likeliest scenario is a narrow away win in a match that could easily swing with defensive errors or late goals, as has been the pattern in their recent H2H meetings.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Tamworth1.40

Expected goals · model says 1.40

Woking1.70

Expected goals · model says 1.70

Win Probability
Tamworth 32% Draw 24% Woking 45%

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

BTTS: Yes

62%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Tamworth vs Woking Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
27%
32%
41%
Tamworth 27%Draw 32%Woking 41%
Both Teams to Score
61%
39%
Yes 61%No 39%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
62%
38%
Over 2.5 62%Under 2.5 38%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Tamworth vs Woking that most previews miss.

  • 1Tamworth's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 11 of 13 league games (84.6%), the highest rate among bottom-half teams.
  • 2Woking have scored in each of their last five away matches, averaging 2.2 goals per game in that span.
  • 3Only 15% of Tamworth's and 8% of Woking's league matches have ended with a clean sheet for the respective side.

Who do you think wins: Tamworth vs Woking?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Tamworth vs Woking Prediction

This fixture pits two lower-mid-table sides with high-scoring tendencies against each other, with Tamworth's leaky defence (2.31 conceded per game) facing a Woking side that has found attacking rhythm away from home. Both teams have struggled for consistency, but the underlying rates point to a goal-heavy contest decided by which defence cracks first.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →Tamworth's matches have produced 3.92 goals per game on average, the highest in the bottom half.

Defence

  • →Neither side has kept more than 2 clean sheets all season, and both rank bottom five for clean sheet percentage.

Match Context

  • →Woking have scored in 5 consecutive away matches, averaging 1.5 goals per away game.

How Tamworth and Woking Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Tamworth vs Woking Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

TamworthTamworthlast 5 matches
K. Donnelly
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

R. Calder
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

T. Kurtaran
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

O. Dyson
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

WokingWokinglast 5 matches
J. Marquis
5 goals in 5
100%

In exceptional form

J. Kelly
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

L. Dulson
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

M. Ward
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

S. Ogie
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Tamworth have alternated between wins and losses in their last five, but back-to-back defeats have checked their momentum. Woking's recent form is similarly inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five, but their away scoring has been a bright spot. Both teams are struggling to string results together, keeping them in the lower reaches of the table.

Tamworth vs Woking — Last 10 Matches

TamworthTamworthLast 10 results
L1-2
W1-0
W2-0
L1-5
W2-1
L1-3
L1-3
D2-2
L2-3
W3-2
Lvs Barrow1-2
W@ Hartlepool1-0
Wvs Sutton Utd2-0
L@ Aldershot Town1-5
Wvs Wealdstone2-1
L@ Southend1-3
L@ Harrogate Town1-3
Dvs Boston United2-2
L@ Yeovil Town2-3
Wvs Worthing3-2

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
  • +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 84.62% of games this season
WokingWokingLast 10 results
L0-1
W3-1
L2-4
W5-2
D0-0
D1-1
W5-1
L0-1
D1-1
L0-1
Lvs Harrogate Town0-1
W@ Eastleigh3-1
Lvs Solihull Moors2-4
W@ Carlisle5-2
Dvs Kidderminster Harriers0-0
D@ Boston United1-1
Wvs Altrincham5-1
L@ Hartlepool0-1
Dvs Southend1-1
L@ AFC Hornchurch0-1

Strengths

  • +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
  • −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches

What History Says: Tamworth vs Woking

The head-to-head record is balanced, with three wins each and two draws in the last eight meetings. Recent encounters at Tamworth have been high-scoring, including a 3-2 home win and a 0-1 away win for Woking. Both teams have found the net in five of the last eight clashes, underlining the likelihood of goals.

Tamworth vs Woking Head-to-Head History

Last 8 meetings between these sides

3

Tamworth wins

2

Draws

3

Woking wins

38%25% draws38%
7 Mar 26Woking vs Tamworth3-1
8 Nov 25Tamworth vs Woking0-1
15 Feb 25Woking vs Tamworth1-1
19 Oct 24Tamworth vs Woking3-2
26 Apr 14Tamworth vs Woking2-4
13 Sept 13Woking vs Tamworth2-2

Things to Watch: Tamworth vs Woking

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited.
  • ⚠️Lack of shots, corners, and discipline data restricts set piece and cards modelling.
  • ⚠️Recent form for both sides is volatile, increasing scoreline variance.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Tamworth 1–2 Woking

Woking are narrowly favoured to edge a high-scoring contest, with the model projecting a 2-1 away win. The single strongest data point is Tamworth's 84.6% over 2.5 goal rate, indicating a match where both defences are likely to be breached. The main risk is that both sides' recent volatility could produce an anomalous low-scoring draw or a late collapse from either defence.

Tamworth vs Woking: Common Questions

Who will win Tamworth vs Woking?

Woking are slight favourites with a 41% win probability, compared to 27% for Tamworth and 32% for the draw. This is driven by Woking's better away record and Tamworth's defensive frailty at home.

Will both teams score in Tamworth vs Woking?

The model gives a 61% probability for both teams to score, reflecting Tamworth's high BTTS rate and Woking's strong away scoring record.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in Tamworth vs Woking?

Over 2.5 goals is rated at 62% probability, with Tamworth's matches averaging nearly 4 goals per game and 11 of their 13 league fixtures finishing above this line.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Tamworth vs Woking: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 24 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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Model Accuracy

Track record & verified results