Torino vs Bologna Predictions
Serie A ยท Italy
Torino
Full Time
1 - 2
AI predicted 0 - 1
Bologna
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
@ 1.15
Match Result
7.2/10Bologna Edge Torino in Tight Contest with Second-Half Surge
Bologna claimed a hard-fought 2-1 away victory over Torino at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, overturning a second-half deficit in a match defined by tactical discipline and clinical finishing. After a goalless first half, the visitors broke the deadlock in the 49th minute, only for Torino to respond just over ten minutes later. However, Bologna's resilience shone through as they found a winner in the 70th minute and held on despite late pressure from the hosts. Statistically, Bologna enjoyed a slight edge in possession (53%) and were more threatening in attack, registering 13 shots with 6 on target compared to Torino's 7 shots and 2 on target. Torino battled valiantly and matched their opponents for much of the contest, but ultimately lacked the cutting edge in the final third to salvage a point.
๐ AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
0 - 1
Actual
1 - 2
๐ฐ Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
49' โ Goal
Santiago Castro opens the scoring for Bologna, finishing off a swift move.
62' โ Goal
Giovanni Simeone levels for Torino, giving the home side renewed hope.
70' โ Goal
Bologna retake the lead, capitalizing on a defensive lapse from Torino.
Various' โ Yellow Cards
Torino collect three yellow cards as they struggle to contain Bologna's midfield.
Torino
Torino set up in a 3-5-2 formation and showed plenty of industry, especially in midfield, but struggled to create clear-cut chances. Their equalizer in the 62nd minute gave hope, yet they were unable to capitalize on their momentum. Defensively, Torino were organized for long spells, but lapses at key moments proved costly, particularly around Bologna's two goals. The hosts also picked up three yellow cards as they fought to contain Bologna's attacking midfielders.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Bologna
Bologna, lining up in a 4-2-3-1, controlled the tempo for significant periods and were more incisive in the attacking third. Their six shots on target highlighted their efficiency, and their ability to respond quickly after conceding was crucial. Defensively, Bologna limited Torino to just two shots on target and managed the game well after regaining the lead. Their midfield duo provided a solid platform, while the attacking quartet created problems for Torino's backline.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Torino's 3-5-2 sought to congest midfield and provide width through their wing-backs, but they found it difficult to penetrate Bologna's disciplined 4-2-3-1. Bologna's double pivot of Moro and Freuler shielded the back four effectively, while the advanced midfield trio exploited spaces between Torino's lines. Bologna's transitions were sharp, and their pressing forced Torino into rushed decisions. Set pieces were not a major factor, with Bologna earning just two corners to Torino's four, but the visitors' ability to create from open play proved decisive. Substitutions from both sides attempted to influence the game, but neither formation shifted drastically. Bologna's structure remained compact after regaining the lead, absorbing pressure and looking to counter, while Torino pushed more men forward in search of an equalizer, leaving themselves exposed at times.
Turning Point
Bologna's second goal in the 70th minute, regaining the lead soon after Torino's equalizer, shifted the momentum decisively in the visitors' favor.
Man of the Match
Santiago Castro
Scored the crucial opening goal and led the line with energy and intelligence, troubling Torino's defense throughout.
๐ฎ Prediction Playground
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Expected goals ยท model says 0.50
Expected goals ยท model says 0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
17%
BTTS: Yes
23%
Likely Scores
0-0 ยท 0-1 ยท 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration โ not betting advice.
Torino vs Bologna Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Torino vs Bologna?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Torino vs Bologna(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.05
Both teams have struggled for goals recently, with Torino averaging 0.8 and Bologna 1.4 in their last 5, and both have failed to score in 2 of their last 5. H2H is draw-heavy (4/10), and both sides have a high draw rate in the league. The market underestimates the draw potential.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5@ 1.15
Both teams have low attacking output recently and strong under 2.5 trends (Torino 58%, Bologna 50% over 2.5, but recent form and H2H suggest a low-scoring game).
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BTTS: No@ 1.18
Both teams failed to score in 2 of last 5, H2H last 3 meetings saw BTTS 'no', and both sides average under 1.5 goals per game recently.
More Serie A Predictions
The Case For This Torino vs Bologna Prediction
This is a clash between two mid-table Serie A teams struggling for form and goals. Torino have been leaky at the back (2.4 conceded per last 5), but Bologna's attack has also faltered (just 1.4 scored per last 5, and 2 recent blanks). Both sides have failed to score in 2 of their last 5, and H2H is draw-heavy and low-scoring. Injuries affect both squads, but neither has a clear attacking edge. Expect a tight, cagey contest with few clear chances and a high probability of a draw or narrow away win.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- โBoth teams have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 matches.
- โBologna's away record is balanced (4W 4D 4L, 20:17 GF:GA), but recent form is weak.
- โBoth teams' season over 2.5 goal % is moderate, but recent form leans under.
Attack
- โLow recent shot and xG output for both teams.
Defence
- โTorino average 0.8 goals scored, 2.4 conceded in last 5; Bologna 1.4 scored, 1.8 conceded.
Injuries & Team News
- โMultiple injuries for both sides, especially in defense and midfield.
Match Context
- โTorino's home record is poor (4W 2D 6L, 12:20 GF:GA).
- โLast 10 H2H: 4 draws, 4 Bologna wins, 2 Torino wins. Last 3: 0-0, 3-2, 0-2.
๐ฉ Torino vs Bologna Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.6 corners for Torino and 5.2 for Bologna, for an expected total of 9.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (51%). Over 8.5: 64% ยท Over 10.5: 39%.
How Torino and Bologna Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Torino vs Bologna Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals รท 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Torinolast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet โ available after predictions are regenerated.
Bolognalast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet โ available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Torino vs Bologna โ Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- โ4/5 losses in last 5 โ poor form
- โStruggling to score โ 0.6 goals/game
- โLeaky defence โ 2.2 conceded/game
What History Says: Torino vs Bologna
Torino vs Bologna Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Torino wins
3
Draws
5
Bologna wins
Things to Watch: Torino vs Bologna
- โ ๏ธRecent form for both teams is inconsistent, especially Bologna (LLWLD) and Torino (DLWLL).
- โ ๏ธSeveral injuries may force lineup changes and affect tactical setups.
- โ ๏ธBookmaker odds for under/BTTS markets offer little value due to high implied probability.
- โ ๏ธLow confidence in goals markets due to volatility in both teams' defensive performances.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Torino vs Bologna: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 February 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes โ see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.