Torpedo Zhodino vs Torpedo Moskva Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · World
high confidence
Torpedo Zhodino

Torpedo Zhodino

Full Time

1 - 2

AI predicted 0 - 2

Torpedo Moskva

Torpedo Moskva

🗓️ Saturday, 3 Oct 2026 at 13:30 UTC

Win Probability (1X2)

Torpedo Zhodino 15%Draw 25%Torpedo Moskva 60%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: Torpedo Moskva Win

Match Result

6.8/10

Late Strike Seals Friendly Win for Torpedo Moskva Over Zhodino

Torpedo Moskva edged out Torpedo Zhodino 2-1 in a closely contested friendly, with all three goals coming in an action-packed second half. After a goalless opening period, the visitors broke the deadlock in the 59th minute, only for Zhodino to respond just nine minutes later. However, Moskva found a late winner in the 82nd minute to secure victory away from home. Neither side saw any bookings in a spirited but fair encounter, and both teams used the match to test their attacking options. Ultimately, it was Moskva’s clinical finishing in the final stages that proved decisive, as Zhodino were left to rue missed opportunities to capitalize on their home advantage.

💪 AI Prediction Report

DECENT HIT

Predicted

0 - 2

⚡

Actual

1 - 2

✅Result
❌BTTS
❌O/U 2.5
❌Score

💰 Bet Results1/2 hit

1x2 — away
✅
btts — no
❌
ou_2_5 — under
❓

Key Moments

59' — Goal

Torpedo Moskva open the scoring to take a 1-0 lead.

68' — Goal

Torpedo Zhodino equalize, setting up a tense finale.

82' — Goal

Torpedo Moskva score the winner, sealing a 2-1 victory.

Torpedo Zhodino

Torpedo Zhodino

6.5/10

Torpedo Zhodino showed resilience after falling behind, quickly equalizing in the 68th minute to keep the contest alive. Despite their spirited response, they struggled to maintain defensive discipline in the closing stages, conceding the decisive goal with less than ten minutes to play. The lack of bookings reflected a disciplined approach, but ultimately Zhodino were unable to convert their home advantage into a result.

Key Players

Zhodino Goalscorer (68'): Scored the equalizer to bring Zhodino back into the match.

Strengths

Quick response after concedingDisciplined play (no cards)

Weaknesses

Vulnerability late in the matchInability to capitalize on momentum after equalizing
Torpedo Moskva

Torpedo Moskva

7.5/10

Torpedo Moskva delivered a composed performance, striking first in the 59th minute and showing mental fortitude to reclaim the lead late on after being pegged back. Their ability to find a winner in the 82nd minute highlighted their attacking sharpness and tactical discipline. Moskva managed the game well, avoiding any disciplinary issues and demonstrating effective game management to see out the win.

Key Players

Moskva First Goalscorer (59'): Opened the scoring to give Moskva the initiative.
Moskva Matchwinner (82'): Scored the decisive late goal to secure victory.

Strengths

Clinical finishing at key momentsComposed game managementNo disciplinary lapses

Weaknesses

Allowed Zhodino back into the game after taking the leadBrief loss of control after conceding the equalizer

Tactical Analysis

With no lineup or formation data available, both teams appeared to approach the friendly with a balanced mindset, focusing on attacking transitions in the second half. The absence of cards suggests a clean, open game, likely with both sides experimenting tactically. Zhodino responded well after falling behind, but Moskva’s ability to strike late points to effective in-game adjustments, possibly through substitutions or a shift to a more attacking posture as the match wore on. The decisive late goal for Moskva underlines their superior game management and ability to exploit defensive lapses. Set pieces and pressing intensity remain unclear due to missing statistics, but the match narrative suggests both teams were willing to commit numbers forward, especially after the first goal broke the deadlock.

Turning Point

The 82nd-minute goal by Torpedo Moskva, which restored their lead and ultimately decided the match.

Man of the Match

Moskva Matchwinner (82')

Scored the crucial late goal to secure victory for the visitors.

Torpedo Zhodino vs Torpedo Moskva: Match Preview

Torpedo Zhodino arrive on a three-match losing run, having conceded nine goals and scored just once in their last three outings. Their season-long numbers are even starker, with only 0.2 goals scored per game and a 40% clean sheet rate, highlighting a side that struggles to threaten going forward. Torpedo Moskva, by contrast, have won five of their last six across competitions and boast a +8 goal difference, underlining their attacking superiority.

Statistically, the contest is shaped by the contrast between Zhodino’s blunt attack and Moskva’s efficient forward line. Zhodino average just 3 shots (all on target) per game over their last five, while Moskva generate 8.6 shots and 3.2 on target, with a season scoring rate of 2.17 per match. Defensively, Zhodino concede 2.2 goals per game recently, and their matches have yet to see over 2.5 goals this season, suggesting a pattern of low-scoring games where they are often outmatched.

The model expects Torpedo Moskva to control the tempo, likely scoring first and dictating play against a Zhodino side that offers little threat in attack. With Zhodino failing to score in three of their last five and Moskva conceding less than a goal per game, a clean sheet for the visitors is probable. The most likely scenario is a controlled away win, with the scoreline kept down by Zhodino’s lack of attacking punch.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Torpedo Zhodino0.80

Expected goals · model says 0.80

Torpedo Moskva1.75

Expected goals · model says 1.75

Win Probability
Torpedo Zhodino 17% Draw 23% Torpedo Moskva 60%

Over 2.5 Goals

47%

BTTS: Yes

45%

Likely Scores

0-1 · 0-2 · 1-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Torpedo Zhodino vs Torpedo Moskva Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
15%
25%
60%
Torpedo Zhodino 15%Draw 25%Torpedo Moskva 60%
Both Teams to Score
27%
73%
Yes 27%No 73%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
48%
52%
Over 2.5 48%Under 2.5 52%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
24%
76%
Over 9.5 24%Under 9.5 76%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Torpedo Zhodino vs Torpedo Moskva that most previews miss.

  • 1Torpedo Zhodino's matches have finished under 2.5 goals in 100% of their season games.
  • 2Torpedo Moskva average 2.17 goals scored per match this season, over ten times Zhodino’s average.
  • 3Zhodino have failed to score in three of their last five and have just one first-half goal in that span.

Who do you think wins: Torpedo Zhodino vs Torpedo Moskva?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Torpedo Zhodino vs Torpedo Moskva Prediction

This fixture matches a Torpedo Zhodino side struggling for attacking output against a Torpedo Moskva team with robust scoring rates and a solid defensive record. The underlying numbers point to a low-scoring contest, with the away side favoured to control proceedings and limit Zhodino's chances.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →Torpedo Zhodino average just 0.2 goals per game this season and have failed to score in three of their last five matches.

Defence

  • →Torpedo Moskva's away record features 8 goals scored and only 3 conceded in four matches.

Match Context

  • →Zhodino's matches have seen under 2.5 goals in 100% of their season games.

🚩 Torpedo Zhodino vs Torpedo Moskva Corners Prediction

high confidence
7.6expected total corners
Over 24%
Under 76%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 3.4 corners for Torpedo Zhodino and 4.2 for Torpedo Moskva, for an expected total of 7.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (76%). Over 8.5: 36% · Over 10.5: 15%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Torpedo Zhodino and Torpedo Moskva Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Torpedo Zhodino vs Torpedo Moskva Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

Torpedo ZhodinoTorpedo Zhodinolast 5 matches
D. Zhulpa
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

A. Frantsuzov
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. Lomovitskiy
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. Bykov
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskvalast 5 matches
S. Oganesyan
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

U. Ajibona
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Jonathan Okoronkwo
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Aleksey Kashtanov
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Torpedo Zhodino are on a downward trajectory, losing three straight and scoring only once in that span. Their last five include a heavy 0-6 defeat and two matches without registering a shot on target. Torpedo Moskva, meanwhile, have five wins in their last six, averaging over two goals per game and conceding just five in total, signalling a side in control at both ends.

Torpedo Zhodino vs Torpedo Moskva — Last 7 Matches

Torpedo ZhodinoTorpedo ZhodinoLast 6 results
L1-2
L0-1
L0-1
L0-1
W1-0
D0-0
Lvs Torpedo Moskva1-2
L@ Slavia Mozyr0-1
L@ FC Isloch Minsk R.0-1
L@ Dinamo Brest0-1
Wvs Neman1-0
D@ FC Dnepr Mogilev0-0

Concerns

  • −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
  • −Leaky defence — 2.6 conceded/game
  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo MoskvaLast 7 results
W2-1
W3-0
W2-0
W1-0
W4-2
L1-2
W2-1
W@ Torpedo Zhodino2-1
W@ FC Sochi3-0
W@ Dynamo2-0
Wvs Volga Ulyanovsk1-0
Wvs Nizhny Novgorod4-2
L@ Krylia Sovetov1-2
W@ Volga Ulyanovsk2-1

Strengths

  • +Over 2.5 goals in 71.43% of games this season

What History Says: Torpedo Zhodino vs Torpedo Moskva

There is no head-to-head data available for this fixture, so no trends or dominant patterns can be identified between these two sides.

Torpedo Zhodino vs Torpedo Moskva Head-to-Head History

Last 1 meeting between these sides

0

Torpedo Zhodino wins

0

Draws

1

Torpedo Moskva wins

0%0% draws100%
3 Oct 26Torpedo Zhodino vs Torpedo Moskva1-2

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Torpedo Zhodino vs Torpedo Moskva

With no bookmaker odds available, value cannot be formally assessed. However, the model's strong lean to Torpedo Moskva and to 'no' on both teams to score would be the first places to look for positive expected value if odds were present.

Odds from Marathonbet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Torpedo Zhodino Win3.2415.0%-15.9%
Draw3.3425.0%-4.9%
Torpedo Moskva Winvalue2.1460.0%+13.3%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.51.6748.0%-11.9%
Under 2.5value2.1252.0%+4.8%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yes1.5527.0%-37.5%
Novalue2.2673.0%+28.8%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Torpedo Moskva Win @ 2.14EV +0.284
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 @ 2.12EV +0.102
Both Teams Score: No @ 2.26EV +0.650

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Torpedo Zhodino vs Torpedo Moskva

  • ⚠️No head-to-head or league table data available limits context on relative strength.
  • ⚠️Friendlies can feature experimental lineups and variable motivation.
  • ⚠️Absence of bookmaker odds prevents calculation of value edges.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Torpedo Zhodino 0–2 Torpedo Moskva

The model projects a 2-0 win for Torpedo Moskva, driven by the away side’s superior scoring rate and Zhodino’s chronic lack of attacking output. The single strongest data point is Zhodino’s 0.2 goals per game season average. The main risk lies in the unpredictable nature of friendlies, where lineup rotation or reduced intensity could distort the expected rates.

Torpedo Zhodino vs Torpedo Moskva: Common Questions

Who will win Torpedo Zhodino vs Torpedo Moskva?

The model gives Torpedo Moskva a 60% chance of victory, with Zhodino at just 15% and a draw at 25%. Moskva's season scoring and defensive rates both far exceed the hosts'.

Will both teams score in Torpedo Zhodino vs Torpedo Moskva?

Both teams to score is rated at just 27%. Zhodino have failed to score in three of their last five, while Moskva keep clean sheets in half their matches.

Is under 2.5 goals likely in this match?

The model assigns a 52% probability to under 2.5 goals, reflecting Zhodino's 0% over 2.5 rate this season and their lack of attacking threat.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Torpedo Zhodino vs Torpedo Moskva: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 2 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

More Torpedo Zhodino vs Torpedo Moskva Resources