U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro Predictions
Liga MX · Mexico
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 1
Club Queretaro
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.9(+9% edge)
Match Result
6/10Pumas Frustrated by Resilient Queretaro in Goalless Draw at CU
U.N.A.M. - Pumas were held to a 0-0 stalemate by Club Queretaro at the Estadio Olimpico Universitario, despite dominating possession and territory throughout the 90 minutes. The hosts commanded 65% of the ball, registered 13 shots, and forced five corners, but lacked the clinical edge to break down a disciplined Queretaro side. Both teams managed just two shots on target apiece, with neither goalkeeper truly troubled in a match that promised much but ultimately delivered little in terms of attacking quality. Queretaro, lining up in a compact 4-2-3-1, absorbed waves of Pumas pressure and relied on a well-organized backline to frustrate the home crowd. The visitors, though limited to just 35% possession and a solitary corner, managed to keep their composure under sustained spells of attack, picking up three yellow cards in the process as they disrupted Pumas' rhythm. In the end, both sides were left ruing missed opportunities, with the draw reflecting Pumas' inability to convert dominance into goals and Queretaro's dogged defensive display.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
0 - 0
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
12' — Yellow Card
Bayron Duarte (Queretaro) booked for a tactical foul to halt a Pumas break.
36' — Yellow Card
Carlo Adriano García (Queretaro) shown yellow for persistent infringement.
54' — Shot on Target
Uriel Antuna (Pumas) forces a save from Guillermo Allison, Pumas' best chance of the match.
67' — Yellow Card
Lucas Abascia (Queretaro) cautioned for a late challenge on Juninho.
74' — Shot on Target
Ali Ávila (Queretaro) tests Keylor Navas, but the veteran keeper saves comfortably.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Pumas controlled the tempo from the outset, dictating play with 65% possession and pushing high up the pitch in their adventurous 3-1-4-2 setup. Adalberto Carrasquilla and Rodrigo Lopez orchestrated the midfield, while Uriel Antuna provided width and energy. However, despite creating 13 shots, only two tested Guillermo Allison in the Queretaro goal, highlighting a lack of cutting edge in the final third. Defensively, Pumas were rarely troubled, limiting Queretaro to just seven shots and two on target. The home side's attacking intent was clear, but their inability to capitalize on territorial dominance proved costly. With no yellow cards and just nine fouls, Pumas played with discipline but lacked the decisive spark to claim all three points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Club Queretaro
Queretaro executed their game plan to perfection, sitting deep in a 4-2-3-1 and frustrating the hosts with disciplined defending and timely interventions. Despite conceding the lion's share of possession and facing 13 shots, the visitors limited Pumas to just two efforts on target, thanks largely to the efforts of Diego Reyes and Lucas Abascia at the heart of defense. Guillermo Allison remained alert but was rarely called into serious action. Going forward, Queretaro offered little, managing just seven shots and one corner. However, their resilience and tactical discipline earned them a hard-fought point on the road, even as they picked up three yellow cards in breaking up Pumas' attacks.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Pumas set up in a bold 3-1-4-2, pushing wing-backs high and seeking to overload central areas, but often found Queretaro's compact 4-2-3-1 difficult to penetrate. The hosts' midfield triangle, anchored by Carrasquilla, allowed them to recycle possession and dictate the game's rhythm, but a lack of movement and incisive passing in the final third blunted their attack. Queretaro, meanwhile, prioritized defensive solidity, keeping their lines tight and midfielders dropping deep to protect the back four. Their willingness to commit tactical fouls and accept yellow cards was instrumental in breaking up Pumas' momentum. Set pieces offered Pumas some hope, but Queretaro dealt with them efficiently, conceding five corners but rarely looking vulnerable.
Turning Point
The 54th-minute save by Guillermo Allison from Uriel Antuna's effort — Pumas' clearest chance — kept the scores level and signaled that Queretaro would not be breached.
Man of the Match
Diego Reyes
Led Queretaro's defense with composure, organization, and crucial interventions to keep a clean sheet despite constant pressure.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro: Match Preview
Pumas and Queretaro arrive level on points after three rounds, both with two wins and a single defeat, but their trajectories differ. Pumas' only home league match ended in a 0-3 loss to Pachuca, while their away form has been sparkling, netting seven goals in two matches. Queretaro, meanwhile, have shown they can grind out results on the road, most recently beating Pachuca away and pushing Dallas hard in the Leagues Cup despite defeat.
The tactical battle pivots on whether Pumas can translate their away attacking potency to home turf. Their last five matches average 1.4 goals scored but also 2 conceded, with no clean sheets in that span. Queretaro's defence has been more robust, conceding just 1.2 per game recently, and their attack, led by Avila, has found the net in four of the last five. Both teams' league fixtures have trended over 2.5 goals, and Queretaro's matches feature a high card count (3.6 yellows per game), hinting at a physical contest.
The model expects a closely-fought match, with Pumas marginally favoured due to home advantage and attacking depth, but the draw is a live outcome given their home struggles and Queretaro's resilience. Expect both teams to score, with the most likely result a 2-1 or 1-1, and value lying in the draw and over 2.5 goals markets.
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro
The market's strong lean towards Pumas (1.62) is not fully supported by the data, especially given their home struggles and Queretaro's resilience. The model finds the draw overpriced at 3.9, with a 9.2% edge, and a small value in over 2.5 goals. No significant edge is found on the away win or BTTS markets, as the odds closely match the model's probabilities.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Where the Model Sees Value: U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.81
The model assigns a 28% probability to the draw (implied fair odds 3.57), while the market offers 3.9 (implied 25.6%), creating a 9.2% edge. Both sides have identical league records (2W-0D-1L), and Pumas' home attack has yet to fire (0 goals in their only home league match), suggesting the market underrates the stalemate.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 1.67
With 100% of Pumas' league matches and 66.7% of Queretaro's finishing over 2.5 goals, the model's 63% probability edges the market's 59.9% implied (odds 1.67), offering a modest value on goals.
Read more ↓
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro that most previews miss.
- 1Pumas have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches, conceding an average of 2 goals per game.
- 2Queretaro's last five matches have averaged 3.2 total cards per game, but their own bookings are notably high at 3.6 per match.
- 3The last six H2H meetings have produced four matches with both teams scoring and three draws or one-goal margins.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 2.00
Expected goals · model says 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS: Yes
60%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
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The Case For This U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro Prediction
Bookmakers have installed Pumas as clear favourites at home, but the underlying data paints a more nuanced picture. Both teams sit on six points from three matches, and Pumas' only home league outing ended in a heavy 0-3 defeat. Queretaro, meanwhile, have shown resilience on the road and are coming off a gritty away win at Pachuca. The model sees this as a much closer contest than the odds suggest, with neither side dominant enough to justify a short price. Statistically, Pumas' attack has been prolific away (seven goals in two), but at home they have struggled to break down opponents, failing to score in their only league match at the Estadio Olímpico Universitario. Queretaro's defence has conceded just once in their only away league fixture, and their last five matches average only 1.2 goals conceded per game. Both sides' matches trend towards goals: Pumas have seen over 2.5 in all three league games, while Queretaro hit that mark in two of three. Set-piece threat is moderate, with both teams averaging around four corners per match, but Queretaro's discipline is a concern (3.6 yellows per game in the last five). Expect a competitive match where Pumas' attacking intent meets a Queretaro side comfortable playing on the counter. The most likely scenario is a narrow home win or a draw, with goals at both ends. The model's probabilities highlight value in the draw and a slight lean to over 2.5 goals, given both teams' recent scoring and conceding trends.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Queretaro average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match over their last five, with a recent away win at Pachuca.
Match Context
- →Pumas have scored seven goals in two away league matches but none at home so far.
- →All three of Pumas' league matches have gone over 2.5 goals, compared to two of three for Queretaro.
🚩 U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.5 corners for U.N.A.M. - Pumas and 5.6 for Club Queretaro, for an expected total of 10.1. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (55%). Over 8.5: 68% · Over 10.5: 43%.
How U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Club Queretaro Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
U.N.A.M. - Pumaslast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Club Queretarolast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Pumas' form is a study in contrasts: two strong away wins (5-1 at Juarez, 2-1 at Toluca) but a heavy 0-3 defeat at home to Pachuca, and back-to-back goalless losses in the Leagues Cup. Queretaro have also won two of their last three league matches, including a 2-1 away win at Pachuca, but suffered a recent 0-2 Leagues Cup defeat at Dallas. Both sides are on six points, but neither brings sustained momentum.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro — Last 3 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
What History Says: U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro
Pumas have had the edge in recent head-to-heads, winning five of the last ten and two of the last three at home. However, Queretaro have avoided defeat in four of the last six meetings, with three draws and a pair of one-goal games, suggesting a competitive fixture is likely.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins
2
Draws
3
Club Queretaro wins
Things to Watch: U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro
- ⚠️Small sample size for home/away splits this early in the season.
- ⚠️Recent Leagues Cup losses for both teams may impact morale and squad rotation.
- ⚠️No injury data available, but lineups are not confirmed.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2–1 Club QueretaroThe model forecasts a 2-1 win for Pumas, but the strongest data point is their inability to score at home so far, paired with Queretaro's solid away form. The main risk is that Pumas' away attacking stats do not translate to their own ground, making the draw a real possibility if Queretaro can frustrate early.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro: Common Questions
Who will win U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro?
The model gives Pumas a 54% chance of victory, with a 28% probability for the draw and 18% for a Queretaro win. The draw offers the best value, as both teams have identical league records and Pumas have yet to score at home.
Will both teams score in Pumas vs Queretaro?
There is a 56% probability of both teams scoring, with both sides averaging over a goal per game and neither keeping a clean sheet in the league so far.
Is there value in the odds for Pumas vs Queretaro?
Yes, the draw at 3.9 (implied 25.6%) stands out, as the model estimates a 28% chance, creating a 9.2% edge. Over 2.5 goals also shows a small value edge based on recent scoring trends.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Value Scout, the market-facing profile — hunts the gap between price and probability. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 9 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.