Udinese vs Parma Prediction
Serie A · Italy
Udinese
Parma
📍 Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine
🗓️ Saturday, 18 Apr 2026 at 13:00
Pre-Match Prediction
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
1 - 0
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 45.0%
Draw: 38.0%
Away: 17.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
82.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
correct_score — 1-0
Both teams have struggled for goals recently, Udinese are defensively solid at home, and Parma's away attack is weak. The most likely result is a narrow home win.
under 2.5 goals — under@ 1.1
EV: -6.0%
Both sides have low season and recent over 2.5 rates (Udinese 50%, Parma 31%), and both have failed to score in multiple recent games. Bookmaker odds are short, so value is limited.
1X2 — draw@ 2.98
EV: -15.0%
The draw probability is higher than away win, and Udinese have drawn 5 of 16 at home, Parma 6 of 16 away. Both teams are not prolific scorers, increasing draw likelihood.
Match Analysis
This fixture features two mid-table Serie A sides with defensive tendencies and low recent scoring output. Udinese come in with much better form, including a 3-0 away win at Milan, and have been strong defensively (3 clean sheets in last 5). Parma have struggled for goals (0.6 per game last 5), and their away record is mediocre. Both teams have a high rate of low-scoring matches, and the head-to-head history also leans toward tight games. Expect a cautious contest with Udinese slightly favored, but a draw is a real possibility.
Key Factors
- →Udinese form: WDWLD, 3 clean sheets in last 5, strong defensive stats.
- →Parma form: DDLLD, only 3 goals scored in last 5, weak attack.
- →Udinese home record (5W 5D 6L) is average, but Parma's away attack is poor (11 goals in 16).
- →Both teams have low over 2.5 and BTTS rates; Udinese 50% over 2.5, Parma just 31%.
- →Head-to-head: 3 of last 5 meetings had under 2.5 goals.
- →No significant injuries for either side.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, possession, corners) are missing for recent games, reducing model confidence.
- ⚠️Low odds on under 2.5 and BTTS no offer little value.
- ⚠️Lineups not confirmed; late changes could impact tactical setup.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.