Valladolid vs Eibar Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
Valladolid
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
Eibar
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
@ 4.5(+19% edge)
Match Result
5.5/10Valladolid and Eibar Play Out Goalless Stalemate Despite Contrasting Styles
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla witnessed a tense but ultimately goalless draw between Valladolid and Eibar in this Segunda División encounter. Despite Eibar dominating possession with 58%, they failed to register a single shot on target, while Valladolid, though more direct, managed just two efforts on goal from nine total attempts. The match was punctuated by physicality, with a total of eight yellow cards shown, as both sides struggled to break the deadlock. Valladolid, set up in a 4-1-4-1 formation, relied on quick transitions and set pieces, earning eight corners, but could not convert their attacking intent into goals. Eibar, meanwhile, controlled the tempo and ball but lacked penetration in the final third, their 4-1-3-2 setup unable to create meaningful chances. Ultimately, both teams were left to rue missed opportunities in a match high on effort but low on attacking quality.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
0 - 0
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
18' — Yellow Card
Javi Martínez (Eibar) booked for a late challenge, setting the tone for a physical contest.
37' — Yellow Card
Stanko Jurić (Valladolid) shown a yellow for a tactical foul, halting an Eibar break.
52' — Corner
Valladolid force their sixth corner, but Eibar clear the danger.
65' — Yellow Card
Anaitz Arbilla (Eibar) cautioned as frustrations mount for the visitors.
78' — Shot on Target
Marcos André (Valladolid) tests Magunagoitia, but the Eibar keeper saves comfortably.
90' — Yellow Card
Late booking for José Corpas (Eibar) as tempers flare in the closing stages.
Valladolid
Valladolid showed plenty of endeavor, pressing energetically and looking to exploit set pieces, as evidenced by their eight corners. Their 4-1-4-1 formation allowed them to maintain defensive solidity and spring forward quickly, but their finishing let them down, with only two shots on target from nine attempts. The midfield worked hard to disrupt Eibar's rhythm, but clear chances were at a premium.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Eibar
Eibar dominated possession with 58% and dictated the tempo for large spells, but their attacking play was toothless, failing to register a single shot on target. Their 4-1-3-2 system provided control in midfield but lacked creativity and penetration, with the forwards isolated and unable to trouble Valladolid's defense. A high foul count (19) and five yellow cards reflected their frustration as they struggled to convert possession into chances.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Valladolid's 4-1-4-1 formation prioritized defensive stability and quick transitions, with Stanko Jurić shielding the back four and the wide players pushing forward on the break. Their approach yielded several set-piece opportunities, but a lack of precision in the final third undermined their efforts. Eibar, in contrast, utilized a 4-1-3-2 system to dominate the ball and control the midfield, but their possession was sterile, as Valladolid's compact shape denied them space between the lines. Frequent fouls disrupted the game's flow, and neither side made significant tactical adjustments through substitutions to alter the contest's rhythm.
Turning Point
Valladolid's failure to capitalize on a flurry of corners midway through the second half allowed Eibar to regain composure and ensured the match remained goalless.
Man of the Match
Stanko Jurić
Imposed himself in midfield, broke up Eibar's attacks, and provided a platform for Valladolid's transitions.
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Expected goals · model says 0.95
Expected goals · model says 0.85
Over 2.5 Goals
27%
BTTS: Yes
35%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Valladolid vs Eibar Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Valladolid vs Eibar?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Valladolid vs Eibar(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes@ 4.5
Model gives BTTS yes a 41% chance, much higher than the implied probability of 22%. Both teams have shown recent attacking output and defensive lapses, especially Valladolid at home. Value is strong, but confidence is moderate due to Eibar's recent defensive solidity.
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Match Result: Draw@ 3.2
Draw is the single most likely outcome by model (37%), and the odds (3.2) offer a small positive edge. Both teams have high draw rates, and the matchup is balanced with Eibar's away struggles and Valladolid's inconsistent home form.
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More Segunda División Predictions
The Case For This Valladolid vs Eibar Prediction
Valladolid host Eibar in a clash of contrasting form: the home side are struggling near the bottom with patchy results, while Eibar have surged up the table with four straight wins. However, Eibar's away record is poor (just 3 wins in 16), and Valladolid's home games are often close. Expect a tight, low-scoring contest where neither side dominates. Recent head-to-heads have been competitive, and both teams have motivation—Valladolid to avoid relegation, Eibar to chase the playoffs. A draw or narrow win either way looks most probable, with goals at a premium.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Eibar are on a 4-game winning streak but have only 3 away wins all season.
- →Valladolid have lost 3 of their last 5 but won their last home game convincingly.
Attack
- →Valladolid's home xG and shot numbers are mediocre; Eibar's away attack is weak (9 goals in 16 away matches).
Defence
- →Eibar have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 5, but Valladolid have scored 3 in two of their last 3 home matches.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Head-to-head is balanced, with both teams winning 4 of the last 10 meetings.
🚩 Valladolid vs Eibar Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.2 corners for Valladolid and 4.4 for Eibar, for an expected total of 10.6. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (61%). Over 8.5: 73% · Over 10.5: 49%.
How Valladolid and Eibar Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Valladolid vs Eibar Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Valladolidlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Eibarlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Valladolid vs Eibar — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Defensively solid — 0.2 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Valladolid vs Eibar
Valladolid vs Eibar Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Valladolid wins
2
Draws
4
Eibar wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Valladolid vs Eibar
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Valladolid vs Eibar
- ⚠️Some recent match stats (shots, possession) are missing, reducing confidence in set piece/corner projections.
- ⚠️Eibar's away form is poor, but recent overall form is excellent—possible overperformance.
- ⚠️Valladolid's inconsistency makes outcome volatile.
- ⚠️Low-scoring tendencies in both teams' season stats reduce confidence in BTTS/Over markets.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Valladolid vs Eibar: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.