Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF Predictions
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
Full Time
2 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 1
Degerfors IF
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Match Result
7.1/10Clinical Vasteras Stun Wasteful Degerfors in Fiery Allsvenskan Clash
Vasteras SK FK produced a disciplined and clinical performance to secure a 2-0 home victory over Degerfors IF at Hitachi Energy Arena. Despite Degerfors dominating possession with 58% and registering 12 shots, the visitors struggled to convert their chances, managing just a single effort on target. Vasteras, meanwhile, made the most of their opportunities, striking early through Mikkel Ladefoged in the 8th minute and doubling their lead shortly after halftime. The match was a heated affair, with a total of nine yellow cards handed out—six to Degerfors and three to Vasteras—in a contest that saw both sides commit a combined 36 fouls. Vasteras' defensive resilience and clinical finishing proved decisive, while Degerfors' frustration grew as their attacks repeatedly broke down in the final third.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
2 - 0
💰 Bet Results1/3 hit
Key Moments
8' — Goal
Mikkel Ladefoged puts Vasteras ahead with a clinical early finish.
54' — Goal
Vasteras double their lead, capitalizing on a rare chance after the break.
Multiple' — Yellow Cards
Six Degerfors players and three from Vasteras booked in a heated contest.
Vasteras SK FK
Vasteras SK FK executed their 3-4-3 system with discipline, absorbing pressure and striking with precision. Despite having just 42% possession and only two shots on target, they converted both to secure a vital win. The back three, marshaled by Elis Jäger in goal, remained composed under pressure, while the midfield worked tirelessly to disrupt Degerfors' rhythm. The home side’s ability to capitalize on their limited chances and maintain defensive solidity was key. Their physicality, reflected in 15 fouls and three bookings, helped them control Degerfors’ attacking threats.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Degerfors IF
Degerfors IF controlled the ball and dictated much of the tempo, but their 4-4-2 formation failed to break down a resolute Vasteras defense. Despite enjoying 58% possession and firing 12 shots, only one was on target—a statistic that summed up their lack of cutting edge. Frustration boiled over as Degerfors collected six yellow cards and committed 21 fouls. Their inability to convert territorial dominance into goals proved costly, and defensive lapses at key moments left them chasing the game.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Vasteras set up in a compact 3-4-3, ceding possession but maintaining defensive shape and looking to break quickly. Their wing-backs provided support in both defense and attack, while the front three pressed high when possible. The home side’s focus on organization and transition paid off, as they were able to strike early and then soak up pressure. Degerfors' 4-4-2 aimed to control the midfield and stretch the play, but their lack of width and creative spark in the final third limited their effectiveness. The visitors’ high line left them exposed on the counter, and their frustration grew as chances went begging and bookings mounted.
Turning Point
Ladefoged’s 8th-minute opener forced Degerfors to chase the game, allowing Vasteras to sit deep and play to their strengths.
Man of the Match
Mikkel Ladefoged
Scored the crucial opener and led the line with energy and intelligence throughout.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Expected goals · model says 1.40
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS: Yes
62%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams are involved in high-scoring games (Vasteras: 72.7% over 2.5, Degerfors: 54.6%). Recent matches feature high goal averages and both teams struggle for clean sheets.
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes
Vasteras have seen BTTS in all of their last 5, Degerfors in 4 of last 5. Both defenses have low clean sheet rates (9.1%).
Match Result: Vasteras SK FK Win
Vasteras have better recent form and attacking output, while Degerfors are winless in their last 4 league matches and have struggled away from home.
Read more ↓
More Allsvenskan Predictions
The Case For This Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF Prediction
Vasteras SK FK and Degerfors IF meet in a clash between two mid-to-lower table sides with leaky defenses and a penchant for open, attacking football. Vasteras have shown more attacking potency recently, but have yet to win at home this season. Degerfors have struggled for results, particularly away, but have managed to score in most games. Expect goals at both ends, with Vasteras slightly favored due to their superior recent form and offensive numbers.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Vasteras average 2.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game in their last 5.
- →Degerfors have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 5 and average 1.6 conceded.
- →Both teams have a low clean sheet rate (9.1%).
Match Context
- →Vasteras have not won at home this season (0W, 3D, 2L).
- →Degerfors are winless in their last 4 league games.
- →BTTS has landed in 5/5 for Vasteras, 4/5 for Degerfors.
🚩 Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.6 corners for Vasteras SK FK and 5.8 for Degerfors IF, for an expected total of 10.4. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (59%). Over 8.5: 71% · Over 10.5: 47%.
How Vasteras SK FK and Degerfors IF Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Vasteras SK FKlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
In exceptional form
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Degerfors IFlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Vasteras come into this match with momentum, winning 2 of their last 3 league games and scoring freely, including a 3-1 away win at Halmstad. Degerfors, in contrast, are struggling for results, winless in their last 4 league matches and recently losing at home to Malmo FF. Both sides have defensive issues, but Vasteras are showing more attacking spark.
Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.8 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF
Degerfors have dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning five of the last nine meetings, including a 1-0 away win in the latest friendly. Matches have often been competitive, with draws and both teams scoring not uncommon. The trend suggests Degerfors are comfortable facing Vasteras, but most games have been tight.
Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Vasteras SK FK wins
2
Draws
5
Degerfors IF wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF
With no odds data available, value assessment is not possible. However, model probabilities suggest the most likely value would be in the goals markets (over 2.5, BTTS) and possibly a cautious lean towards the home side, given Degerfors' poor recent form and Vasteras' attacking output.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value/edge calculations are not possible.
- ⚠️Both teams' defensive frailty increases unpredictability.
- ⚠️Recent friendlies included in form may not fully reflect competitive match strength.
- ⚠️Vasteras' poor home record adds uncertainty despite better overall form.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 5 July 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.