VfB Stuttgart vs Everton Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
VfB Stuttgart
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Everton
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
VfB Stuttgart vs Everton: Match Preview
Stuttgart enter this friendly on the back of a remarkable attacking run, having scored 25 goals in their last five outings, including an 8-1 win over Kickers Offenbach and a 7-0 demolition of Balingen. Everton, meanwhile, have mixed results from their pre-season, with two wins, a goalless draw, and two matches where they failed to find the net, highlighting some inconsistency in attack. With no league table or competitive stakes, both sides are likely to experiment, but Stuttgart's momentum is clear.
The statistical shape of this fixture is defined by Stuttgart's high goal output against Everton's more measured defensive record. Stuttgart average 4.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game in their last five, while Everton's friendlies average just 1.2 for and 0.6 against. Stuttgart's matches have seen both teams score in two of their last five, suggesting some openness, but Everton have managed two clean sheets and only one BTTS result in the same span. Set-piece and discipline data are limited, but both teams average low card and corner counts, indicating a likely open but not overly physical match.
Given the rates, the model expects Stuttgart to dictate play and create the bulk of chances, with Everton's compactness likely to restrict but not fully contain the home side. The most probable outcome is a Stuttgart win in a match with at least three goals, with the likeliest scoreline 2-1. The main risk is that Everton's defensive structure holds firmer than recent opposition Stuttgart have faced, potentially reducing the goal tally.
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Expected goals · model says 1.80
Expected goals · model says 1.40
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS: Yes
63%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
VfB Stuttgart vs Everton Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind VfB Stuttgart vs Everton that most previews miss.
- 1Stuttgart's last five matches have averaged 5.6 total goals per game, driven by three matches with 5+ goals.
- 2Everton have failed to score in three of their last five, but have conceded more than once only once in that stretch.
- 3Stuttgart's clean sheet rate in friendlies is 40%, but their BTTS rate is just 40% as well, indicating a tendency for open matches.
Who do you think wins: VfB Stuttgart vs Everton?
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Where the Model Sees Value: VfB Stuttgart vs Everton(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Stuttgart's friendlies average 5 goals per game, and Everton's defensive record is solid but not impenetrable; the model assigns a 64% probability to over 2.5 goals, well above the typical average for this market.
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Match Result: Stuttgart Win
Stuttgart have scored 25 goals in their last 5 matches and are unbeaten in that stretch, while Everton have failed to score in 3 of their last 5; the home side's attacking rates justify a slight lean at 43% win probability.
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The Case For This VfB Stuttgart vs Everton Prediction
Stuttgart's attack has been prolific in pre-season, averaging 4.4 goals per match over their last five, while Everton arrive with a more conservative approach, posting two clean sheets but failing to score in three of their last five. The statistical matchup points to a high-scoring environment, with Stuttgart's season-long over 2.5 rate at 100% and Everton conceding just 0.5 per game but against weaker opposition. Expect Stuttgart to control the tempo and create more chances, with Everton relying on defensive structure and set pieces to stay in the contest.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Stuttgart average 5.0 goals scored per game across friendlies, with 25 in their last 5.
Defence
- →Everton have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 5, but failed to score in 3 of those matches.
Match Context
- →Stuttgart's matches have hit over 2.5 goals in 100% of their recent friendlies.
How VfB Stuttgart and Everton Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
VfB Stuttgart vs Everton Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
VfB Stuttgartlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
In exceptional form
Scoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Evertonlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Stuttgart are unbeaten in their last five, racking up 25 goals and only dropping points in a 2-2 draw with Paris FC. Everton's pre-season has been less explosive, with two wins, a goalless draw, and two matches without scoring, suggesting a more defensive or experimental approach.
VfB Stuttgart vs Everton — Last 6 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 5.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: VfB Stuttgart vs Everton
No head-to-head data is available for these sides, so there are no direct historical trends to inform this fixture.
VfB Stuttgart vs Everton Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
1
VfB Stuttgart wins
0
Draws
0
Everton wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: VfB Stuttgart vs Everton
With no bookmaker odds available, value assessments cannot be made for this match. The model's probabilities highlight a strong lean towards over 2.5 goals and a moderate edge for Stuttgart, but these cannot be compared to market prices.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: VfB Stuttgart vs Everton
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️No head-to-head or standings data for these teams in this context.
- ⚠️Both teams' recent records are from friendlies, which may not reflect competitive intensity or full-strength lineups.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
VfB Stuttgart 2–1 EvertonThe model projects a 2-1 win for Stuttgart, anchored by their 5.0 goals per game average in friendlies and Everton's recent attacking struggles. The single strongest data point is Stuttgart's 100% over 2.5 goals rate in pre-season, but if Everton's defence replicates its best friendly form, the match could be tighter and lower-scoring than forecast.
VfB Stuttgart vs Everton: Common Questions
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Everton?
Stuttgart are favoured with a 43% win probability, compared to 25% for Everton and 32% for the draw. The home side's prolific attack in recent friendlies drives this edge.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Stuttgart vs Everton?
The model assigns a 64% probability to over 2.5 goals, reflecting Stuttgart's high-scoring friendlies and Everton's occasional defensive lapses.
Are both teams likely to score in Stuttgart vs Everton?
Both teams to score is rated at 53%, with Stuttgart's open style balanced against Everton's two clean sheets and three blanks in their last five.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for VfB Stuttgart vs Everton: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.