Würzburger Kickers vs SV Wehen Predictions
3. Liga · Germany
Würzburger Kickers
Full Time
4 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 1
SV Wehen
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Match Result
8/10Würzburger Kickers Run Riot with 4-0 Rout Over SV Wehen in Season Opener
Würzburger Kickers delivered a statement performance at the Flyeralarm Arena, dismantling SV Wehen 4-0 to kick off their 3. Liga campaign in emphatic style. The hosts asserted their authority early, striking twice before halftime and never looking back, with goals arriving in the 17th, 38th, 77th, and 84th minutes. SV Wehen, despite fielding a compact 3-4-2-1 formation, struggled to contain Würzburg's attacking verve and were ultimately overrun. The match saw Würzburg's midfield and attacking lines combine fluidly, capitalizing on defensive lapses from Wehen, whose frustration was evident in their four yellow cards. The visitors failed to muster a response, and as Würzburg added two more goals in the final quarter, the gulf in quality was clear. The hosts' disciplined back three and energetic midfield provided a platform for a dominant, clinical display.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
4 - 0
Key Moments
17' — Goal
Würzburger Kickers open the scoring, setting the tone for the match.
38' — Goal
Hosts double their lead before halftime, putting Wehen on the back foot.
Second half' — Yellow cards
Wehen pick up multiple bookings as frustration mounts.
77' — Goal
Würzburg net their third, effectively sealing the result.
84' — Goal
A fourth goal adds gloss to a dominant home performance.
Würzburger Kickers
Würzburger Kickers put on a commanding display, controlling proceedings from the outset and punishing SV Wehen with ruthless efficiency. Their 3-4-1-2 formation enabled them to overload central areas and exploit space behind Wehen's wingbacks, resulting in four well-taken goals. Defensively, Würzburg remained compact and disciplined, rarely allowing Wehen a sight of goal. The hosts' midfielders dictated the tempo and their attacking duo proved clinical, while the backline remained organized throughout. Even as the match grew physical, Würzburg kept their composure, picking off Wehen on the break and maintaining a high level of intensity until the final whistle.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
SV Wehen
SV Wehen endured a torrid evening in Würzburg, unable to match the hosts' tempo or creativity. Their 3-4-2-1 setup failed to provide defensive solidity, as they were repeatedly exposed by Würzburg's incisive attacks. The visitors' frustration grew as the match wore on, reflected in four yellow cards and a lack of attacking threat throughout. Despite efforts to shore up the midfield and limit space, Wehen's defense was breached four times, and their forward line struggled to make any meaningful impact. The lack of response after conceding the early goals set the tone for a difficult outing.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Würzburger Kickers’ 3-4-1-2 formation provided them with both defensive solidity and attacking flexibility, allowing their wingbacks to push high and overload Wehen’s flanks. The midfield trio, anchored by Ivan Franjić, dictated play and transitioned quickly to exploit gaps behind Wehen’s advanced wingbacks. The front two stretched Wehen’s back three, creating space for late runners and incisive passing moves. SV Wehen’s 3-4-2-1 setup was intended to match Würzburg in midfield, but their inability to cope with the hosts’ movement and pressing led to repeated defensive breakdowns. Attempts to tighten up after halftime were undermined by further goals and mounting disciplinary issues, as Wehen’s tactical plan unraveled under sustained pressure.
Turning Point
The second goal in the 38th minute, which gave Würzburger Kickers a commanding lead and forced Wehen to chase the game.
Man of the Match
Tarsis Bonga
Led the line superbly, involved in key attacking moments and instrumental in Würzburg’s dominant win.
Würzburger Kickers vs SV Wehen: Match Preview
Würzburger Kickers return to the 3. Liga after promotion, carrying momentum from a strong pre-season that saw them win four of their last five, including a 2-1 playoff victory over Lokomotive Leipzig. SV Wehen, meanwhile, have alternated wins and losses in their friendlies, most recently falling 0-2 to Eintracht Frankfurt II, and start the campaign mid-table on paper but with little to separate them from the hosts in terms of squad continuity.
The statistical matchup is shaped by Würzburger's higher recent scoring rate: 2.4 goals per game over their last five, compared to Wehen's 1.0. Würzburger have also failed to score in none of those matches, while Wehen have blanked twice, suggesting a slight edge for the home attack. However, Wehen's two clean sheets and the H2H record—where away sides have occasionally run riot—temper expectations of a one-sided contest. With both teams lacking competitive league data, goal distribution is forecast to be moderately high, but not extreme, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
The model expects Würzburger's sharper attack to make the early difference, projecting a 2-1 home win but with a significant probability of a draw (33%). The likeliest scenario is a tight first half, with the home side edging ahead, followed by a more open second half as Wehen chase the game. Set-piece and discipline trends are unclear due to missing data, so the outcome should be driven by open play conversion rates.
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Expected goals · model says 1.50
Expected goals · model says 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS: Yes
54%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Würzburger Kickers vs SV Wehen Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Würzburger Kickers vs SV Wehen that most previews miss.
- 1Würzburger Kickers have seen BTTS land in four of their last five matches, compared to just one for SV Wehen.
- 2Three of the last eight H2H meetings ended 0-0, 0-1, or 1-0, but three others produced at least four goals.
- 3Würzburger have scored exactly two goals in three of their last five outings, indicating a stable attacking output.
Who do you think wins: Würzburger Kickers vs SV Wehen?
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More 3. Liga Predictions
The Case For This Würzburger Kickers vs SV Wehen Prediction
This is a season opener with both Würzburger Kickers and SV Wehen entering off mixed pre-season friendlies, so statistical baselines must be drawn from recent scoring rates and historical H2H patterns. Würzburger Kickers have averaged 2.4 goals scored per game across their last five, conceding 1.2, while SV Wehen have posted a more conservative 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded in the same span. The H2H history features several high-margin away wins but also a pair of goalless draws, underlining the volatility of this matchup. With both sides showing a tendency for matches to go over 2.5 goals in friendlies but lacking league data, the model projects a moderately open contest, leaning slightly towards the hosts due to their sharper recent attack.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Würzburger Kickers have scored at least twice in four of their last five matches (avg 2.4 per game).
Attack
- →The last eight H2H meetings have produced three away wins, three home wins, and two draws, with three matches finishing 3+ goals.
Defence
- →SV Wehen have failed to score in two of their last five, but kept two clean sheets.
How Würzburger Kickers and SV Wehen Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Würzburger Kickers vs SV Wehen Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Würzburger Kickerslast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
SV Wehenlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Würzburger Kickers come into this match on a strong run, winning four of their last five and averaging 2.4 goals per game, including a successful promotion playoff. SV Wehen's form is less consistent, with three wins and two losses in their last five, and two matches where they failed to score. Würzburger's attack appears sharper, while Wehen's results have been more variable.
Würzburger Kickers vs SV Wehen — Last 2 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
What History Says: Würzburger Kickers vs SV Wehen
The head-to-head record is mixed, with Würzburger Kickers claiming four wins and SV Wehen two in the last eight meetings. Notably, away teams have occasionally dominated, as seen in Wehen's 4-0 and 5-0 wins in Würzburg. However, there have also been two goalless draws, highlighting the unpredictable nature of this fixture.
Würzburger Kickers vs SV Wehen Head-to-Head History
Last 9 meetings between these sides
5
Würzburger Kickers wins
2
Draws
2
SV Wehen wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Würzburger Kickers vs SV Wehen
No bookmaker odds are available at the time of analysis, so no value or edge calculations can be made. Once odds are published, the model's moderate lean towards the home side and over 2.5 goals should be compared for potential value, particularly if the market undervalues Würzburger's recent scoring rate.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Würzburger Kickers vs SV Wehen
- ⚠️No competitive league data for either side this season; only pre-season and playoff matches available.
- ⚠️Lack of shots, corners, and discipline data limits confidence in set-piece and cards projections.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of analysis, so no value or edge calculations possible.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Würzburger Kickers 2–1 SV WehenThe model predicts a 2-1 win for Würzburger Kickers, primarily on the back of their 2.4 goals per game average in recent matches and their consistent ability to find the net. The biggest risk to this outcome is the lack of competitive league data, which means pre-season form may not translate directly, and the volatility seen in past H2H meetings could resurface.
Würzburger Kickers vs SV Wehen: Common Questions
Who will win Würzburger Kickers vs SV Wehen?
Würzburger Kickers are given a 41% probability to win, with a draw at 33% and SV Wehen at 26%. The model leans narrowly towards the hosts due to their recent scoring rates, but a draw remains a strong possibility.
Will both teams score in Würzburger Kickers vs SV Wehen?
There is a 53% probability for both teams to score, as Würzburger have seen BTTS in four of their last five matches, while Wehen's record is less frequent but not negligible.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Würzburger Kickers vs SV Wehen?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 54%, reflecting Würzburger's attacking output and a history of high-scoring H2H matches, but with some risk due to Wehen's recent clean sheets.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Würzburger Kickers vs SV Wehen: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 7 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.