Wadi Degla vs Al Ittihad Predictions
Premier League · Egypt
Wadi Degla
Full Time
4 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 0
Al Ittihad
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: No
@ 1.57(+15% edge)
Match Result
7.9/10Wadi Degla Run Riot in Cairo with Emphatic 4-1 Win over Al Ittihad
Wadi Degla delivered a commanding performance at Al Salam Stadium, sweeping aside Al Ittihad 4-1 in a match defined by clinical finishing and relentless attacking intent. The hosts raced into an early two-goal lead with strikes in the 6th and 12th minutes, setting the tone for a dominant display. Despite a brief late push from Al Ittihad, Wadi Degla sealed the result with two more goals in quick succession late on, before conceding a consolation effort in the dying moments. Statistically, Wadi Degla were superior, enjoying 54% possession and firing 16 shots, 8 of which were on target. Al Ittihad struggled to match the hosts' intensity, managing 14 shots (6 on target), and failed to recover after their early setback. The result reflects Wadi Degla's attacking prowess and ability to control the game's tempo, leaving Al Ittihad with little to celebrate aside from a late goal.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 0
Actual
4 - 1
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
6' — Goal
Wadi Degla open the scoring, seizing early control.
12' — Goal
Wadi Degla double their lead, putting Al Ittihad on the back foot.
81' — Goal
Wadi Degla score their third, ending any hopes of an Al Ittihad comeback.
84' — Goal
Wadi Degla add a fourth, capping a dominant display.
89' — Goal
Al Ittihad grab a late consolation goal.
Wadi Degla
Wadi Degla started with intent, pressing high and capitalizing on early chances to build an unassailable lead. Their midfield dictated play, and the attack was ruthless, converting half of their shots on target. Defensively, they remained organized, only conceding late when the result was beyond doubt. Four yellow cards indicate an aggressive approach, but it did little to disrupt their rhythm.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al Ittihad
Al Ittihad were overrun in the opening stages and struggled to recover from the early deficit. While they managed 14 shots and 6 on target, their attacking efforts lacked the precision and composure of their hosts. The defense was exposed by Wadi Degla's incisive play, and the team failed to assert themselves in midfield. A late goal offered scant consolation in an otherwise disappointing outing.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both sides lined up with balanced formations, but Wadi Degla's midfield trio dominated proceedings, pressing high and transitioning quickly into attack. Their use of width and willingness to commit numbers forward overwhelmed Al Ittihad, who struggled to cope with the hosts' movement and intensity. The visitors attempted to respond by pushing more men forward late on, but this left them exposed to counterattacks, leading to Degla's late goals. Set pieces played a minor role, with corners relatively even (4-3), but open play was where Wadi Degla excelled.
Turning Point
The second goal in the 12th minute gave Wadi Degla a cushion and forced Al Ittihad to chase the game, opening up space for the hosts to exploit.
Man of the Match
Franck Boli
Led the attack with a goal and tireless movement, setting the tone for Wadi Degla's dominance.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 0.95
Expected goals · model says 0.45
Over 2.5 Goals
17%
BTTS: Yes
22%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 2-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Wadi Degla vs Al Ittihad Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Wadi Degla vs Al Ittihad?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Wadi Degla vs Al Ittihad(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: No@ 1.57
Both teams have low BTTS rates in recent matches (Wadi Degla 0/5, Al Ittihad 2/5), and both average under 1.1 goals scored per game. Defensive solidity from Wadi Degla (5 straight clean sheets) and Al Ittihad's away struggles (0.81 goals for, 1.12 against) further support this.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5@ 1.38
Both teams have under 2.5 goals in the majority of their games (Wadi Degla 69%, Al Ittihad 61%). Recent form and H2H also suggest low-scoring matches.
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Correct Score: 1–0
Wadi Degla's strong defense and modest attack point to a low-scoring home win as the most likely outcome.
More Premier League Predictions
The Case For This Wadi Degla vs Al Ittihad Prediction
This fixture features a defensively solid Wadi Degla side in strong form (WWDWD, 5 clean sheets in a row) hosting an Al Ittihad team that has drawn 4 of the last 5 and struggles to score away. Both teams average low goals per game and have a strong under 2.5 trend. Expect a tight, low-scoring contest with Wadi Degla slight favorites, but a draw is also plausible. BTTS 'No' and under 2.5 goals are the standout angles.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Al Ittihad: Only 0.81 goals scored per game, 0 wins in last 5 away.
Defence
- →Wadi Degla: 5 straight clean sheets, 0.77 goals conceded per game.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported.
Match Context
- →Both teams under 2.5 goals in 60%+ of matches.
- →Recent H2H: 3 of last 5 meetings under 2.5 goals.
🚩 Wadi Degla vs Al Ittihad Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Wadi Degla and 3.6 for Al Ittihad, for an expected total of 8.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (67%). Over 8.5: 46% · Over 10.5: 23%.
How Wadi Degla and Al Ittihad Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Wadi Degla vs Al Ittihad Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Wadi Deglalast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Al Ittihadlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Wadi Degla vs Al Ittihad — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Defensively solid — 0.2 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
What History Says: Wadi Degla vs Al Ittihad
Wadi Degla vs Al Ittihad Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Wadi Degla wins
4
Draws
2
Al Ittihad wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Wadi Degla vs Al Ittihad
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Wadi Degla vs Al Ittihad
- ⚠️Low margin for error in low-scoring games; a single goal can swing outcomes.
- ⚠️Al Ittihad's high draw rate increases variance.
- ⚠️Some recent away matches for Al Ittihad show improved defense (0-0, 1-1).
- ⚠️Odds on under/BTTS are short; value is moderate.
- ⚠️No lineups available at time of analysis.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Wadi Degla vs Al Ittihad: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 27 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.