Wadi Degla vs Ismaily SC Predictions
Premier League · Egypt
Wadi Degla
AI Predicted Score
2 - 0
Ismaily SC
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: No
@ 1.6(+20% edge)
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Expected goals · model says 1.30
Expected goals · model says 0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
22%
BTTS: Yes
19%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 2-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Wadi Degla vs Ismaily SC Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Wadi Degla vs Ismaily SC?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Wadi Degla vs Ismaily SC(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: No@ 1.6
Ismaily have failed to score in 4 of their last 5, Wadi Degla have 2 clean sheets in 5, and both teams' recent matches trend heavily under with low BTTS rates.
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Match Result: Wadi Degla Win@ 1.25
Wadi Degla are in strong form at home and face an Ismaily side with just 2 away goals all season and only 4 wins in 29 games.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 10
While the model sees under as more likely, the odds for over 2.5 are very long compared to a non-negligible model probability, creating a positive value long-shot.
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The Case For This Wadi Degla vs Ismaily SC Prediction
Wadi Degla come into this fixture with clear momentum, boasting a strong home record and a notable attacking edge, while Ismaily SC remain mired in relegation trouble with a toothless attack and poor away form. The data points to a low-scoring match, with Degla likely to control proceedings and Ismaily struggling to create chances. Expect Wadi Degla's superior form and home advantage to be decisive, with a clean sheet for the hosts highly probable.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Wadi Degla: 3 wins in last 5, scoring 2+ in 3 of those, no failed-to-score in last 5
- →Recent H2H: Wadi Degla won both 2026 meetings away (2-1), generally low-scoring
Defence
- →Wadi Degla home record: 6W 5D 4L, 19:13 goals, 34% clean sheet rate
- →Ismaily away record: 2W 5D 10L, 4:15 goals, 24% clean sheet rate
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries for either side
Match Context
- →Ismaily SC: 4 failed-to-score in last 5, only 2 away goals all season
- →Over 2.5 goals only in 24% (Ismaily) and 38% (Degla) of matches
🚩 Wadi Degla vs Ismaily SC Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Wadi Degla and 5 for Ismaily SC, for an expected total of 9.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 64% · Over 10.5: 39%.
How Wadi Degla and Ismaily SC Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Wadi Degla vs Ismaily SC Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Wadi Deglalast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Ismaily SClast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Wadi Degla have hit a strong patch with three wins and a draw in their last five, including a 4-1 home win, and have scored in every recent match. In contrast, Ismaily SC are struggling badly in attack, failing to score in four of their last five and picking up just one win in their last ten, highlighting their relegation-level form.
Wadi Degla vs Ismaily SC — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.2 goals/game
What History Says: Wadi Degla vs Ismaily SC
The recent head-to-head record favors Wadi Degla, who have won both fixtures this season away from home. Most recent meetings have been low-scoring affairs, with Degla keeping Ismaily to a single goal or less in each of the last five encounters.
Wadi Degla vs Ismaily SC Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
Wadi Degla wins
2
Draws
3
Ismaily SC wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Wadi Degla vs Ismaily SC
The model sees significant value in 'BTTS: No' at 1.6, given Ismaily's scoring woes and Degla's defensive solidity. The price for over 2.5 goals is extremely long (10.0), and while the model expects a low-scoring match, the edge suggests a small speculative stake is justified. The home win is fairly priced, but not a strong value play at current odds.
Odds from Betfair. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Wadi Degla vs Ismaily SC
- ⚠️Ismaily's defensive improvement (3 clean sheets in last 5) could limit Degla's scoring
- ⚠️Some missing advanced stats for Ismaily's recent matches (shots, possession) increases model uncertainty
- ⚠️Wadi Degla's occasional home slip-ups (recent home loss) suggest some upset risk
- ⚠️Market odds for over 2.5 goals are extremely long, but model still sees under as more likely
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Wadi Degla vs Ismaily SC: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.