Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Krakow
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Raków Częstochowa
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa
Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa: Match Preview
Wisla Krakow enter this match riding a flawless home record, with five wins from five at Synerise Arena and only three goals conceded on their own patch. Their league position (6th, 18 points) reflects a solid campaign built on defensive structure at home, while Raków Częstochowa arrive bottom of the table, having lost nine of eleven and leaking a league-high 26 goals. Raków’s only solace is their attack’s recent uptick, with 2.2 goals per game over the last five, but their defensive collapse has left them rooted to the foot of the standings.
Statistically, this fixture is shaped by contrasting home/away splits and a shared tendency towards high-scoring matches. Wisla average 2.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home game, while Raków’s away outings see them ship 1.8 goals per match. Both sides are consistently involved in games with multiple goals: Raków’s over 2.5 goal rate stands at 90.9%, and both teams have averaged a combined 3.8 goals per game over their last five. Neither side excels at keeping clean sheets, and Raków have failed to record one all season.
The model expects Wisla’s home advantage and defensive stability to edge a match that should see chances at both ends. Raków’s attack is potent enough to get on the scoresheet, but their defensive numbers make a clean sheet highly improbable. The most likely outcome is a 2-1 home win, with the distribution of scoring chances and defensive records pointing to a high-probability BTTS and over 2.5 goals scenario.
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Expected goals · model says 1.95
Expected goals · model says 1.45
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS: Yes
66%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa that most previews miss.
- 1Raków Częstochowa have seen both teams score in all of their last five league matches, with an average of 4.6 total goals per game in that span.
- 2Wisla Krakow’s home matches average just 0.6 goals conceded per game, the second-best defensive home record in the league.
- 3Raków have not drawn a single match this season (11 played, 2W 0D 9L), indicating a high-variance profile.
Who do you think wins: Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams are trending heavily towards high-scoring matches: Wisla Krakow have seen over 2.5 goals in 54.6% of league games, while Raków Częstochowa's rate is an extreme 90.9%. The last five for both sides average a combined 3.8 goals per game.
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BTTS: Yes
Raków have scored in all of their last five league matches but have not kept a single clean sheet all season, while Wisla average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over their last five.
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More Ekstraklasa Predictions
The Case For This Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa Prediction
Wisla Krakow’s perfect home record meets a Raków Częstochowa side with the league’s highest over 2.5 goal rate, setting up a fixture shaped by attacking intent and defensive frailty. The underlying rates point to a high-probability goal environment, with both teams trending well above the league average for goals scored and conceded. The likeliest scenario is a narrow Wisla win in a match where both defences are breached.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Wisla Krakow are 5/5 at home this season, scoring 10 and conceding just 3.
- →Raków Częstochowa have conceded 26 goals in 11 matches and have not kept a single clean sheet.
Match Context
- →Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in a combined 13 of their last 16 league games.
🚩 Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6 corners for Wisla Krakow and 4.8 for Raków Częstochowa, for an expected total of 10.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (64%). Over 8.5: 75% · Over 10.5: 52%.
How Wisla Krakow and Raków Częstochowa Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Wisla Krakowlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Raków Częstochowalast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Wisla Krakow’s recent form is steady, taking 10 points from their last five (DLWWW) and maintaining a perfect home record. Raków Częstochowa, by contrast, have lost four of their last five league games, but a 2-1 away win last time out hints at a possible uptick in attacking output. The underlying numbers show Wisla as the more consistent and defensively sound side heading into this fixture.
Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +High-volume attack — 17 shots/game
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 90.91% of games this season
- +High-volume attack — 16 shots/game
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa have historically had the upper hand in this matchup, winning five of the last seven meetings, including both of their most recent away trips to Wisla. However, the last encounter was in February 2022, and both teams’ squads and form profiles have shifted significantly since then.
Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa Head-to-Head History
Last 7 meetings between these sides
1
Wisla Krakow wins
1
Draws
5
Raków Częstochowa wins
Things to Watch: Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Raków’s attack has shown recent improvement (2.2 goals per game last five), but their defensive numbers are volatile.
- ⚠️Head-to-head sample is small and somewhat dated, with only one meeting since 2022.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Wisla Krakow 2–1 Raków CzęstochowaThe model projects a 2-1 win for Wisla Krakow, anchored by their perfect home record (five wins from five, just three conceded) against a Raków side conceding 2.36 goals per game. The main risk is Raków’s recent attacking improvement, which could push the scoreline higher or force a draw if Wisla’s defence wobbles.
Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa: Common Questions
Who will win Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa?
Wisla Krakow are favoured with a 46% probability of victory, compared to 25% for Raków Częstochowa and 29% for the draw. Wisla’s perfect home record and Raków’s defensive issues tilt the numbers toward the hosts.
Will both teams score in Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa?
There is a 64% probability of both teams scoring, as Raków have scored in all of their last five matches but have not kept a clean sheet all season, while Wisla average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over their last five.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 68%, driven by Raków’s league-high 90.9% over 2.5 rate and Wisla’s 54.6%. Both teams’ recent matches trend well above league average for goals.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.