Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom Predictions
Ekstraklasa ยท Poland
Wisla Plock
Full Time
0 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 0
Radomiak Radom
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.4(+3% edge)
Match Result
6.8/10Radomiak Edge Wisla Plock in Tight Ekstraklasa Battle
Radomiak Radom secured a hard-fought 1-0 away victory over Wisla Plock at the Orlen Arena, thanks to a decisive second-half strike in the 73rd minute. The visitors dominated possession with 56% and created more clear-cut chances, registering 17 shots with 6 on target, compared to Wisla Plock's 10 shots and just 2 on target. Despite a spirited effort from the hosts, Radomiak's superior attacking intent ultimately made the difference. The match was a tactical chess match for much of the afternoon, with both sides matching each other in corners (7 apiece) and defensive discipline. However, Radomiak's ability to control the midfield and press higher up the pitch paid dividends late on. Wisla Plock, despite a compact 3-5-2 setup, struggled to convert their few opportunities and were ultimately undone by a single moment of quality.
๐ช AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 0
Actual
0 - 1
๐ฐ Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
73' โ Goal
Abdoul Tapsoba scores the only goal of the match, finishing off a well-worked move to give Radomiak the lead.
65' โ Yellow Card
Wisla Plock collect their third yellow card, reflecting mounting frustration and pressure.
80' โ Corner
Wisla Plock win a late corner but fail to capitalize, as Radomiak's defense stands firm.
Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock set up in a 3-5-2 formation, aiming for solidity at the back and numbers in midfield. While they defended resolutely for much of the match and matched Radomiak in set-piece opportunities, their attacking output was limited. Only 2 of their 10 shots tested the opposition goalkeeper, highlighting a lack of cutting edge in the final third. The hosts also picked up three yellow cards, reflecting their struggle to cope with Radomiak's midfield dynamism. Despite a late push, Wisla Plock could not find a breakthrough, and their inability to create high-quality chances ultimately cost them any points from this encounter.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom lined up in a 4-1-4-1 formation, focusing on midfield control and width. They dominated possession (56%) and were more proactive in attack, firing 17 shots with 6 on target. Their patience paid off in the 73rd minute when they finally broke the deadlock, capitalizing on sustained pressure. Defensively, Radomiak remained organized and disciplined, conceding few clear chances and only picking up two yellow cards. The visitors' ability to dictate the tempo and transition quickly from defense to attack was key, and their midfielders consistently found space between the lines to trouble Wisla Plock.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Wisla Plock's 3-5-2 formation prioritized defensive solidity and midfield congestion, but left them short of options in attack. Their wingbacks struggled to provide consistent width, and the front two were often isolated against Radomiak's well-drilled back line. Radomiak, meanwhile, used their 4-1-4-1 setup to great effect, with Christos Donis shielding the defense and allowing the advanced midfielders to push forward. Their ability to stretch play and overload the flanks eventually wore down Wisla Plock's resistance. Both sides were evenly matched on set pieces, but Radomiak's superior ball retention and pressing game forced Wisla Plock into errors and limited their attacking transitions. Tactical substitutions late on helped Radomiak maintain control and see out the result.
Turning Point
Abdoul Tapsoba's goal in the 73rd minute broke the deadlock and shifted momentum decisively in Radomiak's favor.
Man of the Match
Abdoul Tapsoba
Scored the match-winning goal and was a constant threat in attack, making the difference in a tight contest.
๐ฎ Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react โ then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals ยท model says 1.00
Expected goals ยท model says 0.50
Over 2.5 Goals
19%
BTTS: Yes
25%
Likely Scores
0-0 ยท 1-0 ยท 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above โ every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration โ not betting advice.
Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.4
Both teams have a high draw rate in H2H and season stats; low-scoring, tight game expected. Model probability (0.32) exceeds implied (0.29), offering small value.
Read more โ
BTTS: No@ 1.2
Wisla Plock have a strong defensive home record and Radomiak struggle away. Only 1 clean sheet for Radomiak in last 5, but Wisla Plock's attack is modest. 78% model probability for BTTS 'no', but low odds limit value.
Read more โ
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5@ 1.18
Wisla Plock home matches are rarely high scoring (31% over 2.5), and H2H is consistently low scoring. Model probability for under 2.5 is 0.82, but odds offer little value.
Read more โ
More Ekstraklasa Predictions
The Case For This Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom Prediction
Wisla Plock, sitting 3rd and in strong home form, host Radomiak Radom, who have struggled away all season. Both teams have been involved in low-scoring, cagey matches recently, and their head-to-head history is dominated by draws and under 2.5 goal outcomes. Expect Wisla Plock to control the game defensively, with Radomiak likely to be limited to few chances. A narrow home win or a draw is most likely, with goals at a premium.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- โWisla Plock's recent form (WWLWW) is superior to Radomiak's (WLDLD).
Attack
- โBoth teams average under 1.5 goals scored per game in recent matches.
Defence
- โWisla Plock have 8 home wins in 14 and a strong defensive record (10 conceded at home).
- โRadomiak have only 1 away win in 14 and concede over 2 goals per away match.
Injuries & Team News
- โNeither side has key injuries; expected lineups should be strong.
Match Context
- โLast 8 H2H: 5 draws, 5/8 under 2.5 goals, no match with more than 3 goals.
๐ฉ Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.4 corners for Wisla Plock and 4.7 for Radomiak Radom, for an expected total of 10.1. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (55%). Over 8.5: 67% ยท Over 10.5: 43%.
How Wisla Plock and Radomiak Radom Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals รท 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Wisla Plocklast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet โ available after predictions are regenerated.
Radomiak Radomlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet โ available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom โ Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form โ 3+ wins in last 5
What History Says: Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom
Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom Head-to-Head History
Last 9 meetings between these sides
3
Wisla Plock wins
4
Draws
2
Radomiak Radom wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per ยฃ1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per ยฃ1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate โ always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom
- โ ๏ธSome recent match stats (shots, possession) missing for Radomiak's last 5.
- โ ๏ธWisla Plock's attack is inconsistent; if Radomiak score first, game could open up.
- โ ๏ธMarket odds for low goals and BTTS 'no' are very short, limiting value.
- โ ๏ธFixture is low margin; a single goal could swing all markets.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 19 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes โ see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.