Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
Widzew Łódź
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Correct Score: 1–1
Match Result
6.7/10Stalemate in Plock: Wisla Hold Firm as Widzew Łódź Fail to Capitalise
Wisla Plock and Widzew Łódź played out a goalless draw at Stadion im. Kazimierza Gorskiego, with both sides unable to break the deadlock despite a lively contest. Widzew Łódź edged possession with 55% and registered 17 shots to the hosts' 13, but a lack of clinical finishing and resolute defending from Wisla Plock meant the points were shared. The visitors created more clear-cut chances, firing 3 shots on target compared to Wisla's solitary effort, but Bartłomiej Drągowski was rarely troubled in the Widzew goal. The match was punctuated by physical battles, with five yellow cards shown to Widzew players and one to Wisla, reflecting the competitive edge throughout. Ultimately, neither side found the quality needed in the final third to claim victory.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
0 - 0
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
18' — Yellow Card
Widzew Łódź pick up their first yellow, setting the tone for a physical encounter.
37' — Yellow Card
Another booking for Widzew, as frustrations grow in midfield battles.
54' — Shot on Target
Widzew force a save from Rafał Leszczyński, but the Wisla keeper stands firm.
72' — Corner
Wisla Plock win their seventh corner, but fail to convert as the Widzew defence clears.
84' — Yellow Card
Fifth yellow for Widzew, highlighting their aggressive approach late on.
Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock set up in a 3-4-2-1 formation, focusing on defensive solidity and quick transitions. Despite conceding more possession and shots, they managed to frustrate Widzew Łódź with disciplined defending and a compact shape. Their attacking output was limited, producing just one shot on target from 13 attempts, but they threatened sporadically, especially from set pieces, winning 7 corners. The midfield duo of Adam Radwański and Dani Pacheco worked tirelessly to disrupt Widzew's rhythm, while the back three, marshaled by Marcin Kamiński, held firm under pressure. Ultimately, Wisla's inability to create clear chances prevented them from snatching all three points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Widzew Łódź
Widzew Łódź lined up in a classic 4-4-2, controlling the ball for long stretches and creating more opportunities in the final third. Their 17 shots and 3 on target reflected a more proactive approach, with Fran Álvarez and Mariusz Fornalczyk providing width and creativity from midfield. However, a lack of composure in front of goal and some wasteful finishing saw them leave Plock with just a point. Defensively, Widzew were rarely troubled, but their aggressive pressing led to 16 fouls and five yellow cards, disrupting their rhythm at times. Despite their dominance in possession, they could not find a way past a stubborn Wisla defence.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Wisla Plock's 3-4-2-1 formation prioritised defensive solidity, with three centre-backs staying compact and wing-backs tracking back diligently. This shape allowed them to absorb pressure and look for quick transitions, but limited their numbers in attack, as evidenced by just one shot on target. Their reliance on set pieces was apparent, winning 7 corners but failing to capitalise. Widzew Łódź's 4-4-2 provided width and allowed them to dominate possession, with midfielders pushing high and full-backs supporting attacks. However, their aggressive pressing led to frequent fouls and disrupted their own rhythm. Despite creating more chances, their finishing let them down, and they struggled to break down Wisla's low block.
Turning Point
Widzew's inability to convert a flurry of second-half chances, particularly after the 54th minute, ensured the deadlock remained unbroken.
Man of the Match
Marcin Kamiński
Anchored the Wisla defence with authority, making key interventions to preserve the clean sheet.
Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź: Match Preview
Wisla Plock and Widzew Łódź both arrive in Płock with unbeaten pre-season records, each posting 'WWWDW' over their last five friendlies. While league position is not yet meaningful, both sides will look to translate their positive summer momentum into points, with Wisla Plock nominally ranked 8th and Widzew Łódź 15th in the opening table. Both have shown attacking intent, with Wisla Plock averaging 2.6 goals per game and Widzew Łódź 2.4, but have also been disciplined defensively, combining for seven clean sheets in ten matches.
The tactical matchup is statistically balanced. Wisla Plock's attack has scored in every friendly, but Widzew Łódź have conceded just 0.6 per game and failed to score only once themselves. The head-to-head record is instructive: four of the last eight meetings ended level, three of them 1-1, and neither side has managed to dominate the other for long stretches. Both teams' goal output is evenly split between halves, suggesting little in the way of early or late surges, while the lack of detailed set-piece or card data tempers confidence in secondary markets.
With both sides trending positively but lacking competitive data, the model expects a low-margin contest with a modest goal environment. The most likely scenario is a draw, with both teams finding the net but neither able to sustain attacking pressure for a decisive period. The 1-1 scoreline is supported by both recent form and the head-to-head pattern, while the probability distribution makes over 2.5 goals only a slight favourite.
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Expected goals · model says 1.35
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS: Yes
54%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź that most previews miss.
- 1Four of the last eight H2H meetings ended in draws, with three finishing 1-1.
- 2Wisla Plock have scored in every one of their last five friendlies, averaging 2.6 goals per game.
- 3Widzew Łódź kept four clean sheets in their last five, conceding just 0.6 goals per match.
Who do you think wins: Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
The 1-1 draw is the single most probable outcome at 22%, reflecting both sides' strong pre-season defensive records (Wisla Plock 3 clean sheets in 5, Widzew Łódź 4 in 5) and a head-to-head trend of four 1-1 results in eight meetings.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recent friendlies show both teams averaging above 2.4 goals scored per game, but with modest concession rates, the model makes 'over 2.5' a marginal favourite at 52%.
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More Ekstraklasa Predictions
The Case For This Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź Prediction
Both Wisla Plock and Widzew Łódź enter the new Ekstraklasa campaign off the back of strong pre-season results, each unbeaten in their last five with identical 'WWWDW' form strings. The statistical shape of this fixture is balanced: both sides have posted over 2.4 goals scored per match in friendlies, but have also kept three or more clean sheets apiece, and neither has failed to score more than once in five outings. The head-to-head record is tight, with four draws in the last eight meetings and a recurring 1-1 scoreline, suggesting a low-margin contest.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Head-to-head: Four draws in the last eight meetings, including three 1-1s.
Attack
- →Both teams average over 2.4 goals scored per game in their last five matches.
Defence
- →Wisla Plock kept three clean sheets in their last five; Widzew Łódź kept four.
🚩 Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Wisla Plock and 4.4 for Widzew Łódź, for an expected total of 9.2. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (56%). Over 8.5: 57% · Over 10.5: 32%.
How Wisla Plock and Widzew Łódź Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Wisla Plocklast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Widzew Łódźlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Both Wisla Plock and Widzew Łódź are unbeaten in their last five, each posting 'WWWDW' and carrying three-match winning streaks into the league opener. Wisla Plock have scored at least twice in every friendly, while Widzew Łódź have combined attacking output with four clean sheets, conceding just twice in their last five.
Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź — Last 2 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź
Widzew Łódź have the historical edge, winning four of the last eight meetings and drawing the other four. Draws are common, with three 1-1s and another draw in the last six encounters. Wisla Plock have yet to record a win in this head-to-head sample.
Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź Head-to-Head History
Last 9 meetings between these sides
0
Wisla Plock wins
5
Draws
4
Widzew Łódź wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture, so value edges cannot be calculated. Probabilities are derived strictly from recent scoring and concession rates, with no market reference.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź
- ⚠️No league matches played yet this season—friendlies data may not fully reflect competitive strength.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Lack of shots, corners, and possession data limits granularity of attack/defence analysis.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Wisla Plock 1–1 Widzew ŁódźThe model calls this as a 1-1 draw, with both sides showing robust pre-season defensive records and a head-to-head trend that favours stalemates—four draws in the last eight meetings, three of them 1-1. The biggest risk is that friendlies have inflated attacking numbers and the first competitive fixture sees a more cautious approach, leading to a lower-scoring match than the recent averages suggest.
Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź: Common Questions
Who will win Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź?
The model rates this as an even contest: Wisla Plock have a 33% chance to win, Widzew Łódź 31%, and the draw is most likely at 36%. Both sides are unbeaten in pre-season, and the head-to-head record is draw-heavy.
Will both teams score in Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź?
Both teams to score is rated at 55%, reflecting that Wisla Plock have scored in all five recent matches and Widzew Łódź have only failed to score once. However, both sides have also kept multiple clean sheets, so the margin is not large.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 52%, only slightly higher than under. Both teams averaged over 2.4 goals scored per match in friendlies, but defensive records suggest a balanced goal environment.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 24 July 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.