Workington vs Cleethorpes Town Predictions
FA Trophy · England
Workington
Full Time
3 - 2
AI predicted 1 - 2
Cleethorpes Town
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Match Result
8/10Workington Edge Cleethorpes in Five-Goal FA Trophy Thriller
Workington advanced in the FA Trophy after a pulsating 3-2 victory over Cleethorpes Town in a match that kept fans on the edge of their seats until the final whistle. Despite the lack of detailed match statistics and lineups, the scoreline alone tells the story of a fiercely contested affair, with both sides trading blows in a classic cup tie. Neither team managed to take firm control, as the lead changed hands and momentum swung back and forth. Ultimately, it was Workington who found the crucial third goal, holding off a spirited Cleethorpes comeback to book their place in the next round.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
3 - 2
💰 Bet Results2/3 hit
Key Moments
N/A' — Goal
Workington open the scoring to take an early lead.
N/A' — Goal
Cleethorpes respond with an equalizer, leveling the tie.
N/A' — Goal
Workington restore their advantage with a second goal.
N/A' — Goal
Cleethorpes fight back to make it 2-2, setting up a tense finish.
N/A' — Goal
Workington find the decisive third goal to clinch victory.
Workington
Workington showcased attacking intent and resilience, managing to outscore their opponents in a high-pressure knockout fixture. Scoring three goals in a cup tie demonstrates their offensive capabilities and willingness to take risks in search of victory. Their ability to edge out Cleethorpes in a close contest speaks to their mental toughness and determination. However, conceding twice at home will be a concern, as defensive lapses nearly cost them the win. The hosts will be pleased with their attacking output but know improvements are needed at the back for future rounds.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Cleethorpes Town
Cleethorpes Town can hold their heads high after a valiant display away from home, pushing Workington all the way in a five-goal thriller. Scoring twice on the road in a knockout fixture is testament to their attacking threat and fighting spirit. Despite their efforts, Cleethorpes ultimately fell just short, undone by a decisive third goal. Their inability to keep things tight at the back proved costly, but their attacking play and refusal to give in will provide positives to build on.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With no lineups or formation data available, both sides clearly prioritized attacking football, as evidenced by the five-goal haul. The match was likely characterized by open play and end-to-end action, with both teams exploiting defensive gaps. Workington's ability to respond to Cleethorpes' goals suggests tactical flexibility and a willingness to commit numbers forward. Cleethorpes' approach on the road was bold, refusing to sit back and instead matching Workington's attacking intent. However, both teams' defensive structures were breached multiple times, indicating a game where offensive risk outweighed defensive caution.
Turning Point
Workington's decisive third goal, which ultimately proved the difference in a closely-fought contest.
Man of the Match
Workington Attack
Delivered three crucial goals in a high-stakes knockout match.
Workington vs Cleethorpes Town: Match Preview
Workington come into this FA Trophy tie on the back of two straight defeats and just one win from their last five, conceding nine goals in that stretch. Cleethorpes Town, meanwhile, have momentum from two consecutive wins and are unbeaten in five, with a notable 3-0 victory over Rylands and a 5-1 cup win earlier in the campaign. With both sides having played only one official cup match this season, the recent league form provides the clearest window into their current level.
Statistically, Cleethorpes Town hold the edge: their last five matches feature an average of 2.2 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game, while Workington have struggled defensively, conceding 1.8 per game and failing to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in all their season matches so far, and four of Workington's last five have seen both teams find the net. H2H history points to a pattern of tight contests, with two 1-1 draws and a 2-1 Cleethorpes win in their three most recent meetings.
The model expects Cleethorpes Town’s superior attacking output and defensive record to be decisive, projecting a 2-1 away win in a fixture likely to produce goals at both ends. However, the recurring H2H draws and Workington’s ability to score late (two goals after the 80th minute in their last five) mean a narrow margin is most probable.
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Expected goals · model says 1.35
Expected goals · model says 1.85
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS: Yes
62%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Workington vs Cleethorpes Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Workington vs Cleethorpes Town that most previews miss.
- 1Workington have conceded in all of their last five matches, with an average of 1.8 goals against per game.
- 2All three H2H meetings since December 2025 have finished with under 2.5 goals, despite both sides' recent over 2.5 trends.
- 3Cleethorpes Town have scored in every one of their last five, including three matches with at least two goals.
Who do you think wins: Workington vs Cleethorpes Town?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Workington vs Cleethorpes Town(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Cleethorpes Town Win
Cleethorpes Town's last five matches yield an average of 2.2 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded per game, while Workington have lost three of their last five and average 1.8 conceded. The away side's attacking rate and defensive solidity tip the balance.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in their (limited) season records, and their last five match averages (Workington 3.2 total goals, Cleethorpes Town 2.8) support a high goal expectancy.
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BTTS: Yes
Four of Workington’s last five games and three of Cleethorpes Town’s last five have seen both teams score, and the most recent H2H finished 1-1.
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More FA Trophy Predictions
The Case For This Workington vs Cleethorpes Town Prediction
Cleethorpes Town arrive with a more robust recent record and a sharper attack, while Workington’s defensive frailty has been exposed in recent outings. The numbers point to an away win in a match with above-average goal potential, but the H2H trend of close contests tempers outright confidence.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Cleethorpes Town average 2.2 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded per game over their last five matches.
- →Workington have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five, conceding 1.8 per game.
Match Context
- →Three H2H meetings have produced two draws and one Cleethorpes win, all by tight margins.
How Workington and Cleethorpes Town Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Workington vs Cleethorpes Town Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Workingtonlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Cleethorpes Townlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Workington have hit a rough patch, losing back-to-back games and conceding five goals in those defeats, with just one win in their last five. Cleethorpes Town, in contrast, are unbeaten in five, with two recent wins and a strong defensive record, conceding only three goals across that stretch.
Workington vs Cleethorpes Town — Last 2 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: Workington vs Cleethorpes Town
The recent head-to-head record is tight: two 1-1 draws and a 2-1 Cleethorpes Town win in the last three meetings. No side has won at home in this fixture, and all matches have been decided by a single goal or ended level.
Workington vs Cleethorpes Town Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
1
Workington wins
2
Draws
1
Cleethorpes Town wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Workington vs Cleethorpes Town
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture, so it is not possible to identify value edges or compare model probabilities to the market. If odds become available, the model’s lean towards Cleethorpes Town and over 2.5 goals would be the key areas to assess for value.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Workington vs Cleethorpes Town
- ⚠️Season records for both teams are extremely limited (one match each), so most rates are from last five games.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Absence of lineup, set-piece, and discipline data reduces confidence in cards and corners predictions.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Workington 1–2 Cleethorpes TownCleethorpes Town are favoured for a 2-1 away win, underpinned by their 2.2 goals-per-game average over the last five and Workington’s lack of clean sheets. The main risk is the H2H trend of draws and Workington’s late goal habit, which could see the home side salvage a result.
Workington vs Cleethorpes Town: Common Questions
Who will win Workington vs Cleethorpes Town?
The model gives Cleethorpes Town a 45% chance of winning, with Workington at 23% and a draw at 32%. Cleethorpes Town’s stronger attack and defensive record in recent matches tip the balance their way.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Workington vs Cleethorpes Town?
There is a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals, with both teams averaging high total goals in recent games and 100% over 2.5 rates in their limited season records.
Will both teams score in Workington vs Cleethorpes Town?
Both teams to score is rated at 58%, supported by four of Workington’s last five and three of Cleethorpes Town’s last five matches seeing goals at both ends.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Workington vs Cleethorpes Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.