Worthing vs Solihull Moors Predictions
National League · England
Worthing
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Solihull Moors
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Worthing vs Solihull Moors
Worthing vs Solihull Moors: Match Preview
Worthing arrive in this fixture on a five-match unbeaten run (DWWWD), sitting 8th in the National League with 18 points from 11 games and a positive goal difference. Their home record is solid, with three wins and just two defeats from six, while they have scored at least once in every home outing. Solihull Moors, by contrast, are 23rd with just seven points and have lost eight of their first eleven, conceding a league-high 28 goals—fifteen of those away from home.
Statistically, this is a high-goal environment: both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 8 of their 11 matches (72.7%). Worthing's attack averages 1.82 goals per game, and their defensive frailty (1.55 conceded per match) is matched by Solihull's even leakier back line (2.55 conceded per game). Solihull's away games average 4.8 total goals, and both teams have a strong BTTS profile in recent weeks. The lack of clean sheets (Worthing 18.2%, Solihull 9.1%) further supports the likelihood of both sides scoring.
The model expects Worthing to capitalise on Solihull's defensive issues, particularly at home, but Solihull's ability to score in away fixtures (nine goals in five) means they should not be discounted offensively. The most probable outcome is a Worthing win in a match with multiple goals, with the 2-1 and 2-0 scorelines most likely. However, the open nature of both teams' games leaves room for volatility, especially if Solihull's attack finds early success.
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Expected goals · model says 2.05
Expected goals · model says 1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS: Yes
65%
Likely Scores
2-1 · 1-1 · 2-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Worthing vs Solihull Moors Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Worthing vs Solihull Moors that most previews miss.
- 1Solihull Moors' away matches average exactly 4.8 goals per game (9 scored, 15 conceded in 5).
- 2Worthing have scored in all 6 home games this season, but kept just 1 clean sheet.
- 3Both teams have failed to keep a clean sheet in over 80% of their league fixtures.
Who do you think wins: Worthing vs Solihull Moors?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Worthing vs Solihull Moors(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 8 of 11 matches (72.7%), and the combined average goals per game is 3.18, supporting a high-goal environment.
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Match Result: Worthing Win
Worthing's home scoring rate (1.5 per home game) and Solihull Moors' away defensive record (15 conceded in 5) point to a strong home edge.
BTTS: Yes
BTTS has landed in 4 of Worthing's last 5 and 3 of Solihull Moors' last 5, with both teams averaging over 1 goal scored per game.
More National League Predictions
The Case For This Worthing vs Solihull Moors Prediction
This fixture pits Worthing's robust home attack against a Solihull Moors side struggling defensively on their travels. Both teams' matches trend high-scoring, with over 2.5 goals landing in nearly three-quarters of their games. Worthing's top-eight standing and positive goal difference contrast sharply with Solihull's relegation-zone position and -15 goal difference, making the statistical shape of the match clear: Worthing should control the tempo, but both sides are likely to contribute on the scoresheet.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Worthing average 1.82 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game this season.
- →Solihull Moors have conceded 2.55 goals per match, with 15 allowed in 5 away games.
Match Context
- →Both teams' over 2.5 goal rate stands at 72.7% (8/11 matches each).
How Worthing and Solihull Moors Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Worthing vs Solihull Moors Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Worthinglast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Solihull Moorslast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Worthing are unbeaten in their last five (DWWWD), scoring at least once in each and averaging 1.8 goals per game in that stretch. Solihull Moors have lost three of their last five but did win their most recent match 4-2 away, showing some attacking improvement despite ongoing defensive issues.
Worthing vs Solihull Moors — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 75% of games this season
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Worthing vs Solihull Moors
With no bookmaker odds provided, the model cannot identify specific value edges. However, the probability estimates suggest that over 2.5 goals and Worthing to win would be the most attractive if market prices align with typical National League ranges for these outcomes.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Worthing vs Solihull Moors
- ⚠️No head-to-head history available; model cannot adjust for matchup-specific trends.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Shots and set-piece data missing; limits granularity on expected threat sources.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Worthing 2–1 Solihull MoorsThe model projects a 2-1 Worthing victory, anchored by Solihull Moors' league-worst defensive record away from home (15 conceded in 5). The main risk is that Solihull's attack, which has shown flashes with 4 goals at Woking recently, outperforms its average against a Worthing defence that rarely shuts teams out.
Worthing vs Solihull Moors: Common Questions
Who will win Worthing vs Solihull Moors?
Worthing are favoured with a 51% win probability, compared to 22% for Solihull Moors and 27% for the draw. This is based on Worthing's strong home form and Solihull's defensive struggles away.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Worthing vs Solihull Moors?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 68%, with both sides seeing over 2.5 in 8 of their 11 league matches and Solihull's away games averaging 4.8 goals.
Will both teams score in Worthing vs Solihull Moors?
There is a 63% chance of both teams scoring, supported by BTTS landing in 4 of Worthing's last 5 and Solihull's poor clean sheet rate (9.1%).
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Worthing vs Solihull Moors: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.