Yate Town vs Sholing Predictions
FA Trophy · England
Yate Town
Full Time
0 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 2
Sholing
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Sholing Win
Match Result
5/10Sholing Triumphs Over Yate Town in Dramatic FA Trophy Penalty Shootout
In a tense FA Trophy encounter that ultimately went the distance, Sholing edged past Yate Town on penalties after a goalless draw in regulation time. With neither side able to break the deadlock over 90 minutes, the match was decided from the spot, where Sholing held their nerve to progress. Both teams struggled to create clear-cut chances, and the lack of goals reflected the evenly matched, hard-fought nature of the contest. Despite the absence of goals, the match was not without drama. The defensive units for both sides stood firm, and the lack of bookings underscored a disciplined, if cautious, approach from both teams. Ultimately, it was Sholing's composure in the shootout that proved decisive, sending them through to the next round at Yate Town's expense.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
0 - 1
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
FT' — Full Time
Regulation time ends 0-0 after a disciplined defensive display from both sides.
PEN' — Penalty Shootout
Sholing win the penalty shootout to progress in the FA Trophy.
Yate Town
Yate Town put in a resolute defensive display, managing to keep Sholing at bay throughout regular time. However, they struggled to find attacking fluency and failed to register a goal, ultimately falling short in the penalty shootout. Their discipline was commendable, as they avoided any bookings, but the lack of cutting edge up front proved costly.
Strengths
Weaknesses
Sholing
Sholing matched Yate Town in a tightly contested affair, showing composure and resilience throughout. While they too struggled to create clear scoring opportunities in open play, their focus and nerve during the penalty shootout made the difference. Their clean disciplinary record and ability to hold their shape were key factors in their eventual victory.
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With both teams likely fielding pragmatic formations, the match was characterized by compact defending and a reluctance to commit too many players forward. The lack of goals and cards suggests a tactical emphasis on structure and discipline, with neither side able to unlock the opposing defense. Set pieces and wide play failed to yield decisive moments, and the contest ultimately hinged on the psychological battle of penalties. Substitutions, if any, did not significantly alter the tactical balance, as both sides stuck to their game plans through to the shootout.
Turning Point
The penalty shootout, where Sholing demonstrated greater composure to secure victory.
Man of the Match
Sholing Penalty Takers
Held their nerve in the shootout to clinch victory after a stalemate in open play.
Yate Town vs Sholing: Match Preview
Yate Town approach this FA Trophy fixture off a mixed run, collecting seven points from their last five matches but showing defensive frailty, most notably in a 1-4 home defeat. Sholing's recent form is similarly inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five, but they have shown a reliable ability to find the net, scoring in each of those games. With no league table or season-long records available, both sides have something to prove in a knockout context.
The statistical matchup points to defensive vulnerabilities on both sides: Yate Town and Sholing both concede over 1.5 goals per game on recent form, and neither has kept more than two clean sheets in their last five. Sholing's attack has been marginally more productive, and they have scored four first-half goals in their last five, suggesting a propensity for early breakthroughs. Both teams have seen BTTS in three of their last five games, and the head-to-head record shows Sholing unbeaten in two previous meetings.
The model projects a moderately open game, with the away side's higher scoring rate and positive head-to-head record giving them a slight edge. A 2-1 win for Sholing is the most probable outcome, with the distribution of goal timings and BTTS rates supporting an above-average chance of both sides getting on the scoresheet.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.30
Expected goals · model says 1.55
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS: Yes
57%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Yate Town vs Sholing Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Yate Town vs Sholing that most previews miss.
- 1Sholing have scored in all of their last five matches, while Yate Town failed to score only once in the same span.
- 2Three of the last five matches for both teams have seen both teams score, indicating a 60% BTTS rate.
- 3The only previous meeting at Yate Town ended 0-0, but both sides now average over 1.5 goals conceded per game.
Who do you think wins: Yate Town vs Sholing?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Yate Town vs Sholing(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Sholing Win
Sholing's higher goal output (1.4 per last five) and superior head-to-head record (one win, one draw in two meetings) tilt the probabilities towards the away win, though odds are unavailable to confirm value.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides average over 1.5 goals conceded per game in their last five, and three of their last five matches each have seen BTTS, supporting a 56% model probability for over 2.5 goals.
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More FA Trophy Predictions
The Case For This Yate Town vs Sholing Prediction
Both Yate Town and Sholing enter this FA Trophy tie with mixed recent results and a lack of clear season-long data, but their last five matches suggest a relatively open contest with defensive vulnerabilities on both sides. Yate Town have taken seven points from their last five, while Sholing have two wins but also three defeats, including a 1-3 home loss last time out. The head-to-head record slightly favours Sholing, who have yet to lose to Yate Town in two previous meetings (one win, one draw). Statistically, both teams are conceding at a high rate—Yate Town at 1.6 and Sholing at 2.0 goals per game over their last five. Yate Town's attack has been inconsistent, failing to score in one of their last five, while Sholing have found the net in every recent outing. First-half goals are common, with Sholing scoring four in the opening 45 minutes across their last five, indicating a tendency for early breakthroughs. Both teams have seen BTTS in three of their last five, and neither side has established a reliable defensive base. The model expects a game with scoring opportunities for both sides, but Sholing's superior attacking output and head-to-head edge give them a narrow advantage. A 2-1 away win is the likeliest outcome, with the probability distribution reflecting a moderate goal environment and a slight tilt towards the visitors due to their recent scoring consistency.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Sholing average 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game over their last five matches.
- →Yate Town have managed two clean sheets in their last five but also conceded four in a single home loss.
Match Context
- →Head-to-head: Sholing have not lost to Yate Town in their last two meetings (one win, one draw).
How Yate Town and Sholing Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Yate Town vs Sholing Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Yate Townlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Sholinglast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Yate Town have alternated between strong and weak performances, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five, including a heavy 1-4 home defeat. Sholing's form is similarly patchy, with two wins and three losses, but they have managed to score in every recent outing, suggesting a more reliable attacking threat.
Yate Town vs Sholing — Last 1 Matches
What History Says: Yate Town vs Sholing
Sholing have the advantage in the recent head-to-head, winning 2-0 away and drawing 0-0 at Yate Town. Neither side has managed a home win in this fixture, and both meetings have been low-scoring, though current defensive trends point to a more open contest this time.
Yate Town vs Sholing Head-to-Head History
Last 3 meetings between these sides
0
Yate Town wins
1
Draws
2
Sholing wins
Things to Watch: Yate Town vs Sholing
- ⚠️No season-long home/away or league standing data available; all rates are based on last five matches only.
- ⚠️Absence of bookmaker odds limits ability to identify value bets.
- ⚠️Small sample size for both teams' recent form increases uncertainty in attack/defence rates.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Yate Town 1–2 SholingThe model calls this a narrow 2-1 win for Sholing, citing their consistent scoring run and the absence of a Yate Town win in recent head-to-heads as the decisive factors. The main risk lies in the lack of robust season-long data and the possibility that defensive errors could swing the match in either direction.
Yate Town vs Sholing: Common Questions
Who will win Yate Town vs Sholing?
The model gives Sholing a 40% chance of winning, compared to 28% for Yate Town and 32% for the draw, based on recent scoring and concession rates and a slight head-to-head edge for the visitors.
Will both teams score in Yate Town vs Sholing?
There is a 54% probability of both teams scoring, with both sides averaging over 1.4 goals scored and 1.6+ conceded per game in their last five, and three of their recent matches each seeing BTTS.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Yate Town vs Sholing?
The model estimates a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals, reflecting both teams' high goals-conceded rates and the recent trend of open matches.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Yate Town vs Sholing: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 19 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.