Yeovil Town vs Forest Green Predictions
National League · England
Yeovil Town
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Forest Green
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Yeovil Town Win
Recommended Bets: Yeovil Town vs Forest Green
Yeovil Town vs Forest Green: Match Preview
Yeovil Town come into this fixture fifth in the table, boasting 28 points from 16 matches and a positive goal difference of +15. Their last five in all competitions have been a mixed bag (LLWLW), but the underlying numbers remain strong, especially at home, where they've scored 20 in eight matches. Forest Green sit 16th, 11 points adrift, and have taken just two wins from five away games, but recent results (LDWWD) show a side capable of resilience, including three clean sheets in their last five.
Statistically, this is a clash between one of the league's most potent home attacks and a Forest Green side that concedes at a rate of 1.71 per match. Yeovil's games average 2.19 scored and 1.25 conceded, with over 2.5 goals landing in 62.5% of their fixtures. Forest Green, meanwhile, have seen over 2.5 in 64.3% of theirs, but have tightened up recently, conceding just 0.8 per game across their last five. Set-piece threat is limited on both sides, with corners per game low (Yeovil 0.4, Forest Green 2.6 in last five), and discipline is not a major issue.
The model expects Yeovil's attacking rate to tell, projecting a 2-1 home win as the modal outcome. The goal environment is above league average, with both teams likely to contribute given Yeovil's recent defensive record and Forest Green's improved scoring output. However, Forest Green's strong H2H history and recent defensive solidity mean that a draw or narrow away win cannot be discounted.
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Expected goals · model says 1.75
Expected goals · model says 1.25
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS: Yes
59%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Yeovil Town vs Forest Green Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Yeovil Town vs Forest Green that most previews miss.
- 1Forest Green have won seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including the last two at Huish Park without conceding.
- 2Yeovil's home matches average 3.88 total goals (20 scored, 11 conceded in 8 games).
- 3Forest Green have kept three clean sheets in their last five, but only one in five away league matches this season.
Who do you think wins: Yeovil Town vs Forest Green?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Yeovil Town vs Forest Green(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Yeovil Town Win
Yeovil Town average 2.19 goals per game this season and have a +15 goal difference, while Forest Green have conceded 1.71 per match and sit 11 points behind in the table; the home side's attacking rate and league position make them the more likely winners.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have over 2.5 goals in more than 60% of their league matches (Yeovil 62.5%, Forest Green 64.3%), and Yeovil's last five have averaged 4.4 total goals per game.
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BTTS: Yes
Yeovil have seen both teams score in four of their last five, and Forest Green have scored in four of their last five competitive matches.
More National League Predictions
The Case For This Yeovil Town vs Forest Green Prediction
Yeovil Town's prolific attack at home squares off against a Forest Green side that has struggled for consistency on their travels. The underlying rates point to a match with above-average scoring potential, with Yeovil's 2.19 goals per game and Forest Green's 1.71 conceded per game driving a strong likelihood of multiple goals. The hosts' superior league position and attacking output make them favourites, but Forest Green's recent defensive improvement and historical H2H edge keep the draw and away win in play.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Yeovil Town average 2.19 goals scored per game this season, with 20 goals in 8 home matches.
Defence
- →Forest Green have a negative goal difference and concede 1.71 per match, but have lost only once in five away games.
Match Context
- →Both sides' matches go over 2.5 goals more than 60% of the time (Yeovil 62.5%, Forest Green 64.3%).
🚩 Yeovil Town vs Forest Green Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.3 corners for Yeovil Town and 5.6 for Forest Green, for an expected total of 9.9. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 65% · Over 10.5: 40%.
How Yeovil Town and Forest Green Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Yeovil Town vs Forest Green Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Yeovil Townlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Forest Greenlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Yeovil Town have alternated between high-scoring wins and defensive lapses in recent weeks, with a 2-1 away win at AFC Hornchurch and a 5-2 home cup victory offset by consecutive defeats. Forest Green have steadied after a poor run, recording two wins, two draws, and a single defeat in their last five, including three clean sheets and a creditable 2-2 draw with Harrogate Town.
Yeovil Town vs Forest Green — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Yeovil Town vs Forest Green
Forest Green have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning seven of the last ten and both meetings last season, including a 2-0 win at Huish Park. Yeovil have only managed one win in this stretch, but the majority of matches have been competitive, with the last three producing just five goals in total.
Yeovil Town vs Forest Green Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
Yeovil Town wins
2
Draws
7
Forest Green wins
Things to Watch: Yeovil Town vs Forest Green
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value and expected value cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Recent Yeovil defensive lapses (2.2 conceded per last five) raise volatility risk.
- ⚠️Forest Green's strong historical H2H record (7 wins in last 10) is an outlier versus current league form.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Yeovil Town 2–1 Forest GreenYeovil Town are projected to edge this fixture 2-1, with their home scoring rate of 2.5 goals per game the single strongest factor. The main risk to this call is Forest Green's historical dominance in the head-to-head, which could see them frustrate the hosts or snatch a result if Yeovil's defensive lapses persist.
Yeovil Town vs Forest Green: Common Questions
Who will win Yeovil Town vs Forest Green?
Yeovil Town are favoured with a 46% win probability, compared to 24% for Forest Green and 30% for the draw. Yeovil's superior league position and attacking rate underpin their edge, but Forest Green's H2H record means the outcome is far from certain.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Yeovil Town vs Forest Green?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 60%, driven by both teams' season-long rates (Yeovil 62.5%, Forest Green 64.3%) and Yeovil's recent high-scoring games.
Is both teams to score likely in Yeovil Town vs Forest Green?
There is a 58% chance of both teams scoring, as Yeovil have seen BTTS in four of their last five and Forest Green have netted in four of their last five competitive matches.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Yeovil Town vs Forest Green: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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