Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly Predictions
Premier League · Egypt
Zamalek SC
Full Time
0 - 3
AI predicted 1 - 1
Al Ahly
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: Zamalek SC or Draw
Match Result
7.8/10Al Ahly Dismantle Zamalek with Ruthless 3-0 Cairo Derby Triumph
Al Ahly delivered a statement performance at Cairo International Stadium, overpowering rivals Zamalek SC 3-0 in a one-sided Premier League encounter. The visitors struck first through a well-taken goal in the 18th minute, doubled their advantage before the break, and sealed the contest midway through the second half, showcasing clinical finishing and defensive solidity throughout. Zamalek enjoyed more of the ball, controlling 56% possession and registering 13 shots, but struggled to create clear-cut opportunities, managing just two shots on target. Al Ahly, in contrast, were incisive on the break, firing 15 shots with seven on target, and punished Zamalek’s defensive lapses with ruthless efficiency. The result underlines Al Ahly’s dominance in the derby and leaves Zamalek with plenty to ponder after a bruising defeat.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
0 - 3
💰 Bet Results0/1 hit
Key Moments
18' — Goal
Al Ahly open the scoring, capitalizing on a defensive lapse from Zamalek.
32' — Goal
Al Ahly double their lead with a swift counter-attack and precise finish.
74' — Goal
Al Ahly seal the win with a third goal, ending any hopes of a Zamalek comeback.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Zamalek pick up four bookings as frustration mounts; Al Ahly collect three.
Zamalek SC
Zamalek started brightly and controlled the tempo with the majority of possession, but their lack of cutting edge in the final third proved costly. Despite 13 attempts on goal, only two tested the Al Ahly goalkeeper, and their attacking play was blunted by a disciplined opposition defense. The hosts’ frustration was evident in their four yellow cards as they struggled to contain Al Ahly’s pace on the counter. Defensively, Zamalek were exposed, conceding twice in the first half and again in the second, with lapses in concentration and poor marking proving decisive. The midfield failed to provide adequate protection, and the forwards were largely isolated, leaving Zamalek with little to show for their efforts.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al Ahly
Al Ahly executed their game plan to perfection, absorbing pressure and hitting Zamalek with devastating counter-attacks. Their 44% possession belied their attacking threat, as they carved out 15 shots and put seven on target, converting three with clinical efficiency. The front three, led by Achraf Bencharki and supported by Hussein El Shahat and Mahmoud Trézéguet, were a constant menace. Defensively, Al Ahly were disciplined and organized, conceding just two shots on target and limiting Zamalek’s attacking options. Their physical approach was evident in 17 fouls and three yellow cards, but they maintained composure to see out a commanding win.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both sides set up with four at the back, but Al Ahly’s compact defensive shape allowed them to soak up Zamalek’s possession and spring forward on the break. Zamalek’s midfield trio struggled to shield their defense, leaving gaps that Al Ahly exploited with direct running and quick transitions. The visitors’ wide players stretched the play, creating space centrally for their forwards. Set pieces offered Zamalek some respite, as they won six corners, but Al Ahly’s organization nullified these threats. The tactical discipline of Al Ahly, combined with their willingness to commit bodies forward on the counter, proved decisive, while Zamalek’s lack of penetration and defensive vulnerability were ruthlessly exposed.
Turning Point
Al Ahly’s second goal in the 32nd minute, which gave them a commanding lead and forced Zamalek to chase the game.
Man of the Match
Achraf Bencharki
Led the line superbly, scored, and was involved in all of Al Ahly’s most dangerous moments.
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Expected goals · model says 1.05
Expected goals · model says 0.85
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
BTTS: Yes
37%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 1-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Double Chance: Zamalek SC or Draw
Zamalek SC are unbeaten at home this season and show the best defensive record in the league, while Al Ahly's away form is solid but not dominant. Recent form and H2H suggest a close match with the home side less likely to lose.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have low over 2.5 rates (Zamalek 36%, Al Ahly 45%), and recent H2H matches are typically low scoring. Both sides have strong defensive numbers and tend to keep things tight in big games.
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Correct Score: 1–1
The most common recent H2H result is a draw, and both teams’ form and defensive records point to a low-scoring stalemate.
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The Case For This Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly Prediction
This is a high-stakes Cairo derby with first place on the line. Zamalek SC come in with excellent home form and the league's best defence, while Al Ahly have struggled for consistency recently but remain dangerous, especially on the break. Both teams are cautious in big matches and recent head-to-heads have often ended in draws or with a single goal margin. Expect a tactical battle with few clear chances and a strong likelihood of a low-scoring draw.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Recent H2H: 4 draws in last 7, only 2 of last 10 H2H saw 3+ goals.
Defence
- →Zamalek SC are unbeaten at home (8W, 3D, 0L) with only 3 goals conceded.
- →Both teams average under 1 goal conceded per game.
- →Zamalek's last 5: 3 clean sheets, only 2 BTTS.
- →Al Ahly's last 5: 0 clean sheets, 4 BTTS.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Al Ahly have just 1 away defeat all season but only 4 away wins in 11.
🚩 Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.9 corners for Zamalek SC and 6.2 for Al Ahly, for an expected total of 12. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (76%). Over 8.5: 85% · Over 10.5: 66%.
How Zamalek SC and Al Ahly Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Zamalek SClast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Al Ahlylast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
What History Says: Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly
Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Zamalek SC wins
4
Draws
4
Al Ahly wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edge cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, lineups) are missing for recent games.
- ⚠️Both teams have played continental fixtures, which may affect freshness.
- ⚠️Derby matches can be unpredictable due to emotion and pressure.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 27 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.