Zlin vs Prostějov Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · World
high confidence
Zlin

Zlin

Full Time

1 - 2

AI predicted 2 - 1

Prostějov

Prostějov

🗓️ Friday, 2 Oct 2026 at 09:00 UTC📍 Letná Stadion, Zlín

Win Probability (1X2)

Zlin 46%Draw 33%Prostějov 21%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Match Result

7/10

Prostějov Edge Zlin in Late Friendly Thriller at Letná Stadion

Prostějov claimed a narrow 2-1 victory over Zlin in an entertaining friendly at Letná Stadion, with all three goals coming in a dramatic seven-minute spell midway through the second half. After a cagey first hour, the match burst into life as Prostějov broke the deadlock in the 66th minute, only for Zlin to hit back almost immediately. However, Prostějov responded with what proved to be the winner just five minutes later. Despite the lack of detailed statistical data, both teams showed attacking intent in the decisive period, but it was Prostějov who capitalized on their chances. Zlin's spirited fightback was not enough, as Prostějov held firm to secure the win in a contest that, while friendly in nature, was played with competitive edge and determination.

🔥 AI Prediction Report

CERTIFIED W

Predicted

2 - 1

⚡

Actual

1 - 2

❌Result
✅BTTS
✅O/U 2.5
❌Score

💰 Bet Results2/2 hit

Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5
✅
Both Teams to Score — Yes
✅

Key Moments

66' — Goal

Prostějov open the scoring to take a 1-0 lead.

68' — Goal

Zlin respond almost immediately with an equalizer.

73' — Goal

Prostějov restore their lead with what proves to be the winning goal.

Zlin

Zlin

6.5/10

Zlin matched Prostějov for long stretches and showed resilience by responding quickly to falling behind. Their equalizer in the 68th minute reflected their fighting spirit, but defensive lapses allowed Prostějov to retake the lead just five minutes later. Despite their efforts, Zlin couldn't find another breakthrough and ultimately fell short at home.

Key Players

Zlin Goalscorer: Scored the equalizer in the 68th minute to revive Zlin's hopes.

Strengths

Quick response after concedingResilience in attack

Weaknesses

Defensive vulnerability after scoringUnable to maintain momentum after equalizing
Prostějov

Prostějov

7.5/10

Prostějov demonstrated clinical finishing in the second half, striking first in the 66th minute and then showing composure to retake the lead in the 73rd. Their ability to respond to Zlin's equalizer so swiftly was impressive, and they managed the final stages well to see out the win, despite late pressure from the hosts.

Key Players

Prostějov First Goalscorer: Opened the scoring in the 66th minute to set Prostějov on their way.
Prostějov Winner: Scored the decisive goal in the 73rd minute to restore Prostějov's lead.

Strengths

Clinical finishing in key momentsComposure after conceding

Weaknesses

Allowed quick equalizerPeriods of defensive uncertainty

Tactical Analysis

With no detailed lineups or formation data available, the match's tactical narrative was defined by a burst of attacking play in the second half. Both teams appeared to adopt a more open approach after the hour mark, leading to a flurry of goals. Zlin's quick equalizer suggested a willingness to commit numbers forward, but Prostějov's response highlighted their ability to exploit defensive gaps. Neither side received any cards, indicating a clean contest focused on attacking football.

Turning Point

Prostějov's second goal in the 73rd minute, coming just five minutes after Zlin's equalizer, decisively shifted the momentum and ultimately secured the win.

Man of the Match

Prostějov Winner

Scored the crucial winning goal and proved decisive in a tightly contested match.

Zlin vs Prostějov: Match Preview

Zlin come into this friendly off a mixed run, with just one win in their last five but a strong attacking output—scoring in every recent match and averaging 1.8 goals per game in that span. Prostějov, meanwhile, are unbeaten in their last four but have drawn three straight, and their away form is a major concern: no wins, one draw, and four losses from five, conceding three per game on the road. With both sides lacking clean sheets and the head-to-head history favouring goals, the statistical environment points to a high-scoring contest.

The tactical matchup is defined by Zlin's consistent home attack against Prostějov's leaky away defence. Zlin average 1.55 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game, while Prostějov's away record reads 5 scored and 15 conceded in just five matches. Both teams have high over 2.5 rates (Zlin 63.6%, Prostějov 83.3%), and recent matches for both have seen open play and defensive lapses. Zlin's corners average is notable at 5.2 per game, suggesting set-piece threat, while discipline looks moderate with both teams averaging under two cards per game recently.

Given these numbers, the model expects a game with multiple goals and both teams on the scoresheet. Zlin's greater home solidity and Prostějov's defensive issues away from home tip the balance towards the hosts, but the draw remains a significant risk given Prostějov's recent tendency to avoid defeat. A 2-1 home win is the most probable outcome, but a 2-2 draw is not far behind.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Zlin1.90

Expected goals · model says 1.90

Prostějov1.35

Expected goals · model says 1.35

Win Probability
Zlin 50% Draw 22% Prostějov 27%

Over 2.5 Goals

63%

BTTS: Yes

63%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Zlin vs Prostějov Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
46%
33%
21%
Zlin 46%Draw 33%Prostějov 21%
Both Teams to Score
60%
40%
Yes 60%No 40%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
65%
35%
Over 2.5 65%Under 2.5 35%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
74%
26%
Over 9.5 74%Under 9.5 26%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Zlin vs Prostějov that most previews miss.

  • 1Prostějov's away games have averaged 4.0 total goals this season, with 80% finishing over 2.5.
  • 2Zlin have scored in 100% of their last five matches, despite winning just once in that span.
  • 3Six of the last eight H2Hs have seen both teams score, with an average of 3.0 goals per match.

Who do you think wins: Zlin vs Prostějov?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Zlin vs Prostějov Prediction

Statistically, this friendly should offer a high goal expectancy: both Zlin and Prostějov average well over 1.5 goals scored and conceded per match this season, with over 2.5 goals landing in the majority of their games. Zlin's home attack is steady (1.55 goals per game), while Prostějov's away defence has been porous, conceding 15 in 5 away league matches. The head-to-head record also favours goals, with only two of the last eight meetings finishing under 2.5. The matchup tilts towards Zlin due to Prostějov's away frailty (0W 1D 4L, 5 scored, 15 conceded away), while Zlin's home record is more balanced. Zlin's recent form is mixed (DWLLL), but they have not failed to score in any of their last five, and their shot volume at home remains solid. Prostějov, despite a three-draw streak, have not kept a clean sheet in four of their last five and have allowed late goals, suggesting vulnerability in the second half. Both sides' discipline records point to a moderate card count, and Zlin's high corners average (5.2 per game in last five) could signal set-piece opportunities. Expect a match with open phases and defensive lapses on both sides, but Zlin's greater home stability and Prostějov's away struggles make the hosts slight favourites. The likeliest scenario is a 2-1 or 2-2 scoreline, with both teams contributing and the outcome shaped by which defence copes better under pressure. Goal markets and BTTS rates are the clearest statistical edges.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →Head-to-head meetings have averaged 3.0 goals, with only 2 of the last 8 finishing under 2.5.

Defence

  • →Prostějov have conceded 15 goals in their last 5 away league matches (3.0 per game).

Match Context

  • →Zlin's over 2.5 goals rate this season is 63.6%; Prostějov's is even higher at 83.3%.

🚩 Zlin vs Prostějov Corners Prediction

low confidence
11.8expected total corners
Over 74%
Under 26%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 6.8 corners for Zlin and 5 for Prostějov, for an expected total of 11.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (74%). Over 8.5: 83% · Over 10.5: 63%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Zlin and Prostějov Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Zlin vs Prostějov Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

ZlinZlinlast 5 matches
T. Poznar
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

D. Smiga
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

T. Hellebrand
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

D. Machalik
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

J. Cernin
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

ProstějovProstějovlast 5 matches
J. Matousek
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

E. Okeke
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

P. Volesky
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

D. Fiser
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Zlin's recent form is patchy (DWLLL), but they have managed to score in every one of their last five matches, showing attacking consistency even in defeat. Prostějov are unbeaten in four but have drawn three in a row, and their away results have been poor, with no wins and heavy goals conceded on the road. Both teams are trending towards high-scoring, open matches.

Zlin vs Prostějov — Last 10 Matches

ZlinZlinLast 10 results
L1-2
L1-3
W2-0
W2-1
L1-2
W3-1
L1-2
L0-2
D3-3
W3-1
Lvs Prostějov1-2
L@ Slask Wroclaw1-3
W@ Polonia Warszawa2-0
Wvs Dukla Banská Bystrica2-1
Lvs Hapoel Tel Aviv1-2
W@ AS Trencin3-1
Lvs Skalica1-2
Lvs Hanácká0-2
Dvs Petržalka3-3
Wvs Vysočina Jihlava3-1

Strengths

  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
ProstějovProstějovLast 10 results
W2-1
W2-1
W4-0
W3-2
W3-2
D1-1
L1-4
L1-2
L1-3
L0-1
W@ Zlin2-1
Wvs Floridsdorfer AC2-1
Wvs Blansko4-0
Wvs Sigma Olomouc3-2
Wvs Sigma Olomouc II3-2
D@ Opava1-1
L@ Zbrojovka Brno1-4
L@ Hodonín1-2
L@ Milsami Orhei1-3
Lvs Floridsdorfer AC0-1

Strengths

  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 84.62% of games this season

What History Says: Zlin vs Prostějov

Zlin have the edge in recent head-to-heads, winning four of the last eight and scoring at least twice in three of their last four home meetings with Prostějov. The fixture has a strong BTTS and over 2.5 goals trend, with only two of the last eight encounters finishing under 2.5 goals.

Zlin vs Prostějov Head-to-Head History

Last 9 meetings between these sides

4

Zlin wins

2

Draws

3

Prostějov wins

44%22% draws33%
2 Oct 26Zlin vs Prostějov1-2
12 Jan 26Prostějov vs Zlin0-2
3 Mar 25Zlin vs Prostějov3-0
31 Jul 24Prostějov vs Zlin0-2
21 Mar 24Zlin vs Prostějov2-2
8 Jul 23Zlin vs Prostějov2-1

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Zlin vs Prostějov

With bookmaker odds unavailable, value cannot be directly calculated. However, the model's strongest statistical edge is in the goals markets, particularly over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, given the high rates for both teams this season and in head-to-heads. If market odds for these are below 1.60 for over 2.5 or 1.70 for BTTS, caution is advised.

Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Zlin Win1.5746.0%-17.7%
Drawvalue3.7533.0%+6.3%
Prostějov Win4.5021.0%-1.2%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.51.5765.0%+1.3%
Under 2.52.3535.0%-7.6%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yes—60.0%—
No—40.0%—

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 3.75EV +0.238
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 @ 1.57EV +0.021

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Zlin vs Prostějov

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so no direct value calculations can be made.
  • ⚠️Standings data is missing, limiting context on league motivation and relative strength.
  • ⚠️Recent match-level stats for Prostějov are incomplete (no shots, possession, or corners).
  • ⚠️As a friendly, lineups and intensity may differ from league form; approach with extra caution.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Zlin 2–1 Prostějov

The model projects a 2-1 win for Zlin, primarily due to Prostějov's severe away defensive record—15 goals conceded in five away league matches. The main risk to this outcome is Prostějov's ability to grind out draws, as seen in their last three matches, and the unpredictable nature of friendly lineups.

Zlin vs Prostějov: Common Questions

Who will win Zlin vs Prostějov?

Zlin are slight favourites with a 46% win probability, compared to 21% for Prostějov and a 33% chance of a draw. Zlin's edge comes from their more stable home form and Prostějov's poor away defensive record.

Will both teams score in Zlin vs Prostějov?

Both teams to score is rated at 60%, with Zlin seeing BTTS in 4 of their last 5 and Prostějov scoring in 4 of their last 5. The head-to-head record also supports this, with BTTS in six of the last eight meetings.

How many goals are expected in Zlin vs Prostějov?

The model gives a 65% probability for over 2.5 goals, based on both teams' season averages (Zlin 1.55 scored, Prostějov 1.83 scored per game) and high over 2.5 rates (Zlin 63.6%, Prostějov 83.3%).

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Zlin vs Prostějov: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 30 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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