Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla Predictions
Premier League · Egypt
Abu Qair Semad
AI Predicted Score
0 - 1
Ghazl El Mehalla
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Recommended Bets: Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla
Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla: Match Preview
Abu Qair Semad and Ghazl El Mehalla face off with both teams locked at the foot of the table on four points from seven matches, each having managed just one win and three goals scored all season. Neither side has found momentum, with Abu Qair Semad coming off a five-match winless run (DLDLL) and Ghazl El Mehalla snapping their own four-game losing streak with a 2-1 win last time out. The stakes are clear: both need points to avoid being cut adrift, but neither brings attacking confidence.
The statistical profile is stark. Abu Qair Semad average 0.43 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per match, with a home record of 1W 0D 2L (2 GF, 4 GA). Ghazl El Mehalla mirror those numbers almost exactly (0.43 GF, 1.57 GA), but have lost all three away games, scoring just once and conceding six. Shot volumes are low on both sides (Abu Qair Semad 8.8, Ghazl El Mehalla 10.2 per game last five), and neither side has kept a clean sheet in the last five. Over 2.5 goals has landed in just 14% of Abu Qair Semad's games and 43% for Ghazl El Mehalla, with both teams to score hitting three times each in their last five.
Given the lack of firepower and the high rate of games staying under 2.5 goals, the model expects a cagey, attritional contest with few clear chances. The most likely outcome is a draw or a narrow away win, with a single goal potentially enough to decide it. The distribution of results is heavily skewed towards 0-1, 0-0, and 1-1 scorelines, reflecting the bluntness of both attacks and the absence of defensive solidity.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 0.65
Expected goals · model says 0.75
Over 2.5 Goals
17%
BTTS: Yes
25%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 0-1 · 1-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla that most previews miss.
- 1Abu Qair Semad's matches have seen under 2.5 goals in 6 of 7 league games (85.7%).
- 2Ghazl El Mehalla have not earned a single point away from home, scoring just one goal in three away fixtures.
- 3Across both teams' last five league matches, only three first-half goals have been scored in total.
Who do you think wins: Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams average just 0.43 goals scored per game and have a combined over 2.5 rate of only 28.6% (Abu Qair Semad 14.3%, Ghazl El Mehalla 42.9%), with neither side showing attacking threat in recent matches.
Read more ↓
BTTS: No
Each team has failed to score in two of their last five matches, and both have managed only three goals in seven league games, indicating a high likelihood of at least one blank.
Read more ↓
Match Result: Draw
With identical records (1W 1D 5L, 3 GF, 11 GA) and a recent 1-1 H2H draw, the most probable outcome is a low-scoring stalemate.
More Premier League Predictions
The Case For This Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla Prediction
Statistically, this is a meeting of two of the league's lowest-scoring and most porous sides, both struggling to create chances and convert them. The data points to a tight, low-event contest with a high probability of a draw or a single-goal margin.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Both teams average just 0.43 goals scored per game over the season.
- →Ghazl El Mehalla have lost all three away games, scoring only once on the road.
Defence
- →Abu Qair Semad have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches.
🚩 Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.6 corners for Abu Qair Semad and 5.4 for Ghazl El Mehalla, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 66% · Over 10.5: 41%.
How Abu Qair Semad and Ghazl El Mehalla Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Abu Qair Semadlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Ghazl El Mehallalast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Abu Qair Semad are winless in their last five league games (DLDLL) and have scored just two goals in that stretch. Ghazl El Mehalla broke a four-match losing streak with a 2-1 home win in their most recent outing, but have also struggled badly on the road. Both teams' season-long form points to major attacking issues.
Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla — Last 7 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla
The recent H2H history is limited but instructive: the last meeting ended 1-1 in the League Cup, and the previous encounter saw Ghazl El Mehalla win 2-0 at home. Both matches stayed under 2.5 goals, with no sign of a dominant side emerging.
Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
0
Abu Qair Semad wins
1
Draws
1
Ghazl El Mehalla wins
Things to Watch: Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value calculations are not possible.
- ⚠️Small sample size on H2H (only two matches).
- ⚠️Recent form is poor for both sides, so minor tactical or personnel changes could have outsized impact.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Abu Qair Semad 0–1 Ghazl El MehallaThe model projects a 1-0 win for Ghazl El Mehalla, with the strongest data point being the abysmal attacking output on both sides (0.43 goals per game each). The biggest risk is a low-quality stalemate, as neither team has shown the ability to break down weak opposition with any consistency.
Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla: Common Questions
Who will win Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
The model gives Ghazl El Mehalla a 33% chance of winning, Abu Qair Semad 27%, and a draw 40%. With both teams level on points and struggling for goals, a draw is the most probable outcome.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
There is an 81% probability of under 2.5 goals, as both teams average just 0.43 goals scored per game and have combined for only six goals in 14 matches.
Will both teams score in Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
The model estimates a 31% probability for both teams to score, with each side failing to score in two of their last five matches and neither attack showing consistent threat.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 24 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla Resources
Abu Qair Semad Predictions
All Abu Qair Semad fixtures & tips
Ghazl El Mehalla Predictions
All Ghazl El Mehalla fixtures & tips
Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
Premier League Predictions
All fixtures for this competition
Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results